Wet Weekend at Times – Friday Video

Good Morning!   Beautiful Friday on tap, but weather changes are fast approaching.  I’ll update the Weekend rain chances and how much rain we could see.  Plus: Could we see a few “bumps in the road” in the week ahead?  I’ll show you the next storm system, and some temperature “ups and downs”.  And, some interesting clues in the long-range, may tell us when the Arctic Express will be open for business again.

Great late January day today as the warm-up continues.

Rain is a good bet from time to time this weekend, followed by a brief but sharp cool down early to mid week.

The weekend rain chances will be caused by a cold front approaching from the north and the interaction with a low in the Gulf.  Call it a “squeeze play”.

The heavier rainfall amounts will be closer to the coast and out in the Gulf.  Unfortunately, central Alabama may not see much.

Even after that good rain in parts of central Alabama…the overall Drought Monitor is not looking good.  Moderate Drought in much of Alabama.  Severe drought across the southeast and north central counties.

 

Weekend Storm System – Thursday Video

Good Morning!   We are enjoying stretch of nice days for now.  We’re looking ahead to that weekend storm system, which now coming into better focus.  I have new rainfall estimates.  Plus: interesting pattern ahead for the next 10 days, including a few ups and downs and two storm systems.  For your planning purposes, I have the updated weekend forecast, on your Thursday morning personal weather briefing.

 

Should be a pretty nice January day today, and after a COLD start, we will see a nice afternoon recovery.

The warm up continues of Friday, followed by a weekend storm system.  Then cooler back behind the front early next week.

Rain chances increase by Saturday afternoon.  Rain is likely Saturday night…and periods of rain Sunday.  Heaviest rainfall potential across south Alabama and closer to the coast.

Notice how extremely heavy rainfall totals are located just south of the Gulf coast.

Global Models ..over the next 10 days show two storm systems…plus, a series of ups and downs between storm systems.  Here’s the Euro out 10-15 days and the GFS 16 days.

 

 

Smooth Sailing Till The Weekend -Wednesday Video

Good Morning!   What a contrast from last week at this time.  We have a string of nice days for now, but we will look ahead to a weekend storm system that could bring a nice dose of rain to the state and probably affect a lot of weekend plans, too.  Is there any arctic air in the next 16 days?  We’ll take a peek down the road.  And, there is a great Space Station Flyover this evening that is worth your time.  Here’s your Wednesday morning weather briefing.

 

Not a bad January day, today…  A far cry from last Wednesday.  Today’s high will be very close to the “normal” high for this time of year.  We are headed for a freeze tonight.

Smooth sailing through the end of the week with a tiny warming trend, before the weekend storm system arrives.

Weekend storm system will affect a lot of plans.  Best chance of rain is Saturday night into Sunday.

Expected rainfall Totals look decent…

 

Truly excellent Space Station Flyover this evening from 6:11 to 6:14, from SW to NE…very bright.  Very worth your times.  These happen all the time, but I only tell you about the best flyovers.

 

Cooler But Not Cold – Tuesday Video

Good Morning!   The front that brought localized flooding to central Alabama yesterday is gone.  The air behind this front, though, is cooler not Cold.  So what about the rest of the week?  I’ve adjusted the highs and lows, and now we’re setting our sites on the next storm system which could affect a lot of weekend plans.  How strong will this system be, and how much rain?  I’ve been working the details for you and I have fresh information to share on your Tuesday morning personal weather briefing.

 

Cooler air behind yesterday’s cold front, but no ARCTIC air this time, fortunately…

Pretty nice week ahead with fairly typical temps for January.  Rain holds off until this coming weekend.

Looks like this next weekend storm system could be rather significant with soaking rain over a good part of the region, Saturday, Saturday night into Sunday.

 

How much rain?  Depends on which model you look at.  The EURO model (right) is the wettest by far.

 

Temperature guidance from the Euro and GFS global models indicate the Arctic Floodgates should remain closed for at least the next 10-16 days.

 

Severe Weather Risk Today – Monday Video

Good Morning!   More weather changes on the way, as a frontal system sweeps through the state today.  The Storm Prediction Center has a Marginal Severe Risk for much of Alabama.  I’ll show you Future Radar.  We’ll break down the timeline.  Plus, a look at your week ahead, and what appears to be a significant storm system next weekend. Here’s everything you need to know on your Monday morning personal weather briefing.

 

Cold front enters the state around Lunchtime and east to near the I-65 corridor by 6.  A line of storms will move through ahead of the front.  A few storms could be severe with the threat of damaging  wind and maybe a brief tornado or two.  The Storm Prediction Center has much of Alabama in a Marginal Severe Risk.

The air behind this front is COOLER but no ARCTIC air this time..

Another significant storm system arrives this weekend.  The Global models shows the trend to cooler behind today’s front, followed by late week recovery before the next storm system.  Looks like the Arctic Floodgates remain closed for at least the next two weeks.