Cool, Brisk Day Ahead – Monday Video

Good Morning!  It’s going to be a rather brisk Monday, as cool air circulates into the area on gusty easterly winds.  I’ll explain this interesting weather phenomenon.  We’ll talk about the week ahead, including a warm up and what looks like a significant late week storm system.  Plus…I’ll show you the important Easter Weekend Forecast.  Lots of good information on your Monday morning personal weather briefing.

 

 

Should be a breezy, rather Brisk day for highs only in the 50;s across the eastern counties, and maybe near 60 in Montgomery.  A few spotty showers are possible.

Warmer air Tuesday and Wednesday.  Then rain chances increase Wednesday night into Friday with that next storm system.  Looks like nearly ideal weather Tuesday evening for the Max Capital City Classic.

Significant storm system Thursday, Thursday night and Friday. Not sure about any potential severe weather threat yet.

This storm system could be a soaker for Alabama.  Amounts from near 1″ in the southeast to over 4″ in the northwest.

So far, it looks like a great Easter weekend Forecast.

 

SUNDAY UPDATE:  Scattered Showers – Much Cooler Monday

Spotty shower are in the cards from time to time, today tonight and Monday.  After an 82° Saturday, we’ll be a few degrees cooler today and more than 20 degrees cooler tomorrow. Chilly air from the east called “a cold air wedge” will affect eastern and central Alabama Monday.  The Storm of the Week will drench the area Thursday into Friday with showers and thunderstorms.

TODAY:  Mostly cloudy.  Scattered showers will be around at time, as a weak frontal system slides southeastward.  Highs in the upper 70’s.  Low tonight 53.  Rainfall amounts will be light, and spotty.

Future Radar gives you a sense of how random and widely scattered the showers will be today & tonight.  Have the umbrellas handy.  You may need them from time to time, or not.

 

MONDAY: “COLD AIR DAMMING” :  Tomorrow’s set-up shows a “Cool Wedge” or an effect called Cold Air Damming (CAD), when chilly air circulates down the Appalachian chain and migrates into eastern and central Alabama on an easterly breeze.  Highs, in a situation like this, vary widely, from west to east across the state.  Tomorrow’s highs will struggle to reach the mid 50’s in Auburn,  while Mobile’s high will be in the mid 70’s. It will be a breezy day with winds gusting to 20 mph or higher at times.  Spotty showers will be around tomorrow.

 

NEXT FEW DAYS:   Monday will be breezy & chilly with a risk showers, but temperatures will bounce back Tuesday through Thursday.  A major storm system will drench are area Thursday and into Friday, before drier air arrives by the weekend.

 

LATE WEEK STORM SYSTEM:  A significant, but relatively slow moving storm system, will affect the state in the Thursday/Friday time frame, as a cold front moves across the state.  The details of how this will unfold are uncertain, because 2 global models, the GFS and Euro are in disagreement on timing and other details.  It does appear to be a “soaker” because of it’s slower movement.  Details of whether any severe storm threat is unclear right now.  We’ll know more as we get closer to this event.

 

I will have a complete video tomorrow morning, online by 4:45AM as we break down the details of the week ahead.

-Rich

SATURDAY UPDATE: Warmer Days – Showers Tonight/Sunday

Not a bad forecast for the first day of Spring.  Today will be the best day.  Warmer.  Dry.  Nice.  And, there’s a decent chance that many of us will get a good view of a particularly good Space Station Flyover tonight.  Clouds are the question mark.  We are looking at the next “big deal” storm system late this week.  Could it bring strong to severe storms?

TODAY:  A sun/cloud mix.  Partly sunny.  Warmer.  High near 80.  Interesting clipper storm system, which will bring a band of snow to several states, will pass harmlessly to the north of us.  Increasing clouds tonight.  Very mild…low 64.  Best chance of scattered showers after midnight.  More about out viewing prospects for the Space Station below.

 

Future Radar shows the spotty nature of the showers.  The evening should be dry tonight.  the best rain chances begin after Midnight.  Then, scattered showers at times Sunday and Sunday night.

NEXT FEW DAYS:   Scattered showers Sunday, but the best rain chances are Sunday night into Monday.  Sharply cooler Monday, but this cool spell won’t last long. So far, the weather looks good for the Max Capital City Classic at Riverwalk Park on Tuesday evening.  Thursday storm system will bring showers & storms.

LATE WEEK STORM SYSTEM:  A  fairly potent storm system, and frontal system will affect the state Thursday, Thursday night into Friday morning.  It’s a little too early to say, but I wouldn’t be surprised if some of the storms could be strong to severe.  ‘Tis the season when most storm systems are suspect. We will continue to monitor as we get closer.

SPACE STATION FLYOVER TONIGHT:  There will be a simply excellent Space Station Fly over tonight. The slight will be almost overhead, from the SW to the NE from 7:53 to 7:56.  Very bright.  Will clouds hide our view?  Maybe.  But not necessarily.  A snapshot of projected clouds on the NAM model, suggest that many of us have a chance to see the flyover.  Good luck.  It’s certainly worth your time.

Potential cloud cover near flyover time.   IFFY for some, but many may get a great vew.

I hope you enjoy what should be a pretty nice first Saturday in Spring today.  I will have another blog update for you first thing in the morning.

-Rich

Weekend Forecast Update – Friday Video

Happy Friday!  What an amazing day ahead…which starts out in the 30’s and ends up into the 70’s for most of us.  That’s what southerly winds will do for you.  I’ll update the details of your Weekend Forecast.  We have some much warmer temperatures to talk about.  There could be some showers at times, but gosh, they will be spotty and not a wash out.  We may even get a chance to see a great Space Station Flyover Saturday night if the clouds cooperate we’ll see.  I’ll show you next week’s “up and down” temperatures.  And, another look at how April could feature a prolonged cool spell, perhaps.  With your toast and coffee this morning, here’s your Friday morning personal weather briefing.

 

After morning lows in the 30’s…southerly winds will bring the start of a nice warm-up today.

 

Tomorrow will be even warmer

Spotty showers will be around at times Saturday night, Sunday, and at times through the early part of next week.

Great Space Station Flyover Tomorrow night IF the clouds cooperate.

 

Looks like the next big deal storm system could be about a week away.

 

The Global Model Guidance

 

 

 

 

Warmer Days On The Way – Thursday Video

Good morning, on an unusually cold and frosty late March morning.  On this video we’ll look ahead.  There are warmer days on the way.  I have an update on the weekend forecast.  I have tweaked the risk of showers.  When is the next big storm system?  I’ll show you.  Plus, more evidence that more cold air may invade Alabama in early April.  Here’s your Thursday morning personal weather briefing.  Have a nice day!

 

FROSTY start this morning, but we should see  a nice afternoon recovery, and tonight will not be quite as cold.

 

Could be some spotty showers around at times Saturday night through Sunday and a better chance Monday

Warmer days ahead.

Next big deal storm system could be about 8 days away, Friday March 30.  Showers & storms.  Severe?  Don’t know yet.  Could be followed by drastically cooler air again.