SUNDAY UPDATE: Hot Days Ahead – Very Few Storms

Good Morning!  This will be a rather brief update this morning, because, we have a rather routine summer pattern  The biggest story….a series of hot days ahead, and storms will be few and far between, particularly today.  Again today, the big player happens to be that big upper ridge, which suppresses showers and promotes some very hot days.  I’m here in St.Louis this morning at the National Weather Association Conference where today, its even hotter than Montgomery with an Excessive Heat Warning inn effect. Fortunately we will be in cool conference rooms from about 8:30 to 5.  Outside the heat index may be as high as 108.

Here’s a very hot Upper Air map, showing the big heat ride dominating the Gulf states.

TODAY:   Much like yesterday, high temperatures will soar into the low 90’s, and the heat index will be getting dangerously closer to triple digits.  Yesterday, there were a couple of stray showers on radar.  Again, today, they will be few and far between, with rain chances generally less than 20%.  Tonight’s low was 73.  Yesterday we had a nice easterly breeze.  Today winds will be east at 5-10 mph.

FUTURE RADAR: Remember, never take Future Radar literally, as far as storm placement.  The point of showing you this mid afternoon snapshot is to underline the fact that showers will be very rare today.  You see a few specks on the radar here and there.  You may want to get out the sprinklers.

 

NEXT FEW DAYS:  Hot days will dominate this last week of August.  Highs will easily be in the low to mid 90’s with triple digit heat indices.  Scattered “hit or miss” storms will be around each day.  Routine.  Rain chances get just a little more numerous by late week.

LABOR DAY WEEKEND TEASE:  Labor Day Weekend is traditionally thought as the “end of summer”.  Take a look at the expected upper air pattern on Labor Day.  If this verifies, it will be sizzling hot.  Stand by.  We’ll watch it.

 

Today is an important day for us here at the National Weather Association Conference.  Although, meteorologists  from all segments of the meteorological world are here this week, today is the Broadcaster’s Workshop.  We have quite an agenda.  Yesterday I was a tourist, today I will be listening and learning with a couple hundred of this nation’s broadcast meteorologist. Happy and proud to be here.

I’ll have a complete video will be Monday morning by 4:45AM from here in St. Louis, as we look at an exciting weather week ahead.  Have a great Sunday.

Rich

WEEKEND UPDATE:  Summer Heat and Humidity Returns – Not Many Storms

After a rare,nice break, earlier in the week, summertime heat & humidity is back. Rain chances over the weekend are small, but not zero.  Good Morning from the National Weather Association Conference in St. Louis.  (an impressive thunderstorm is underway as I type this)

Another big high pressure “heat bubble” is starting to influence Alabama’s weather again.  Typically that means that means showers & storms will be in short supply.  It might be time to get the sprinklers out.

I see the airport had a shower yesterday evening with .08” and dewpoints were back in the middle 70’s.  OUCH.

Here’s what’s happening up at 20,000 Ft.  That upper high to the west of us is spreading it’s wings.  That spells heat and not a lot of storms.

TODAY:   Rain chances are not zero, but rather small.  I have the rain chances for most of us at or below 20%.  Rain chances are a little better across the southern strip of counties and in some of the western counties, like Marengo.  High today around 92, low tonight 73.    Here’s a Future Radar example snapshot showing you how limited the rain coverage should be at mid afternoon.

NEXT FEW DAYS:  The forecast is very routine for the next few days, through mid week.  Highs will range from the low to mid 90’s.  Widely scattered storms are possible, but the better rain chances hold off until later in the week.

BEACH FORECAST:  The “seabreeze front” will be a player today and tomorrow, and that’s why I took the rain chances a little higher..into the 40% range.  But, all in all, a fairly decent beach forecast.  Typical for August.

THE TROPICS:  Nada.  There is absolutely nothing I can see to worry about in the week ahead

I’m planning another Blog update first thing Sunday morning, from here in St. Louis.  The next complete video will be Monday morning.    Have a nice weekend!

Rich

 

Weekend Forecast Update – FRIDAY Video

Happy Friday!  We are going to be easing out of this “nicer” airmass, as the humidity creeps back in, and pop up showers return to the forecast.  On this video, I’ll update you on the weekend forecast details for here and the coast, and we’ll look ahead to hotter  days next week.  Plus, I have the latest news from the tropics on this anniversary of a big hurricane.

 

The drier air is receding, and slowly, the more humid air is returning today..  Can’t rule out a few isolated storms later today.

Dewpoints will rise from the 60’s back to the more unpleasant lower 70’s later today, and that will continue over the weekend.

ROUTINE is the best word for this forecast.  Scattered hit or miss afternoon storms, with highs in the low 90’s.

 

 

 

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Brief Nice Break – THURSDAY Video

Good Morning!  Today will feel just a little better than yesterday, and still no storms on the radar.  The humidity level will dip just a bit.  On this video, I’ll tell you about how the moisture & humidity will slowly start to creep back in over the next few days.  We’ll check out the return of showers over weekend, and look at some potential hotter days next week.  Out in the tropics there’s a new “x” on the map in the Atlantic, as dangerous Lane moves very close to Hawaii later today.

 

Today will have “somewhat” lower humidity than yesterday, and, for the second day in a row, no storms on the radar.

The Dewpoints today will not be wonderful, but they will will be a little lower than yesterday.  You’ll feel a difference, particularly by afternoon.

 

Moisture will  start to creep back in, gradually.  And, we’re back to a routine summer forecast over the weekend and into early next week, with scattered, random, “hit or miss” storms.

Pretty good weekend Beach Forecast.  Just about as routine as it can get.

New disturbance coming off Africa, is and area to watch from NHC.  Small 20% chance of development next 5 days.

 

Powerful, dangerous Category 4 Hurricane Lane, with 145 mph winds,  will have an encounter with the Hawaiian Islands today.  Major impact.  Hurricane Warning in effect for most Islands.

 

 

 

 

Rare Summer Treat – WEDNESDAY Video

Good Morning!  The front that came through overnight is good news for our forecast for the next couple of days.  Gradually, the humidity level will come down, and we’ll take a break from storms for a couple of days. But this “nicer air” may not be around for  long.  On this video, I’ll break down the details for the rest of week and through the weekend.  Plus, some very interesting news in the tropics..on the Pacific side.

 

Drier air pushes that front into the Gulf this afternoon.  Storms will be off the radar today and tomorrow and tonight will be slightly cooler.

The key to everything in the summer, of course, if the dewpoint.  The dewpoint, which is still in the 70’s  early this morning will drop a few points into the 60’s by this afternoon..  You will feel the difference.

Tomorrow afternoon, the dewpoint will be even a tad lower.  This will feel NICE!

Humidity will start to creep back Friday with small rain chances.  It’s business as usual this weekend with lower 90’s and scattered random storms,

 

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