SUNDAY UPDATE:  Rain Approaching – Then Sharply Colder

Good Morning!  DENSE FOG ADVISORY.  If you are up early, the fog will be particularly dense through 9AM, with visibility of a quarter of a mile or less.  This is a big holiday travel morning.  Please big careful.

Are you ready for more changes?  Here comes the next cold front, which will bring in showers and a few thunderstorms later, then sharply colder air tomorrow through the middle of the week, before temperatures moderate.  There will likely be another storm system by next weekend.

Here’s the set-up map by 6PM tonight, with the first of 2 cold fronts on the way tonight.

TODAY:  After the dense fog this morning…it will be a cloudy, mild day with a high near 70.  Showers could start popping up just after lunchtime, with a better chance  of showers and thunderstorms by late afternoon and tonight, ahead of  cold front.  Showers/storms will taper off between Midnight and 3AM.    SPC says some of the storms near the coast could reach severe limits.  No severe weather expected for most of us.

Here’s a couple of Future radar snapshots this afternoon & this evening.  Showers and even a few thunderstorms.

 SHARPLY COLDER EARLY & MID WEEK:  Much colder air funnels in tomorrow.  Highs will only reach the lower 50’s.  A brisk breeze will make it seem colder.  We’ll be close to the freeze mark on Monday and perhaps a bit colder Tuesday AM.  Tuesday’s high may not quite make it to the 50 degree mark.

NEXT FEW DAYS (through Thursday):   COLD Monday through Wednesday, then a little warmer Thursday and Friday.  We’ll be storm free till the end of the week.  Showers will increase on Friday night, and showers and thunderstorms become likely by Saturday.

 

LONG RANGE TEASER:  Briefly, I’ve been to the mountain top, and I have seen a very interesting profile of the next 15-16 days.  It’s going to be what’s called a “progressive” pattern, featuring fast moving changes, with a series of storm systems and several shots of cold air.  In fact, looking into the first and second week of December, some extremely cold air will enter the country.  Stay tuned.  I’ll get into this a little more on my video in the morning.

 

I will have you a complete video update Monday morning online by 4:45AM.  We’ll get deeper into the details of some colder, and very active times ahead.

Rich

SATURDAY UPDATE:  Mild Weekend – Much Colder Week Ahead

Happy Iron Bowl Saturday!  The weather today will be uneventful, and rather mild, just right for the game.  More on the Iron Bowl forecast specifics below.

The rain, overnight, is quickly exiting into Georgia.  Highs today will rise to the 60’s, and perhaps even 70 or above Sunday.  But, hang on. Some much colder air is headed for Alabama in the week ahead.

TODAY:   Clouds will hang tough this morning, but gradually we will work into partly sunny skies later.  (see images below)   Dry today.  High in the middle 60’s.  (Average high is 66).  For the hunters: west wind at 5 to 10.  Partly cloudy and chilly tonight.  Low 46.

IRON BOWL:  There have been cold & rainy Iron Bowls.  Stormy Iron Bowls, with tornado warnings.  But, this year’s should be pretty nice.  Dense morning clouds will give way to partly sunny skies during the game.  You can’t beat a kickoff temperature of 64.  The temperature will fall to 56 by the end of the game.   Wind should not be a factor.

SUNDAY:  Mostly cloudy, very mild for November.  High 70-72.  Small shower risk in the afternoon (20%).   Scattered showers Sunday night.  Low in the mid 40’s.\

SHARPLY COLDER SOON:   Get ready to sample some very chilly air in the week ahead. An approaching cold font brings showers to the area Sunday night.  Then, much colder air funnels in on Monday.  With highs barely in the lower 50’s Monday and Tuesday, the winds will make it seem colder.  Morning lows will be near the freezing level for about 3 mornings in a row, Tuesday through Thursday mornings.

NEXT FEW DAYS:   Our mild weekend will be replaced by some very chilly air next week.  Best chance of showers will be Sunday night ahead of the cold front.  Much of the week ahead should be mostly sunny.  Warmer later week.  Next big storm system next weekend.

FALL FOLIAGE:  We don’t always see a lot of Fall foliage colors like this, in this part of central Alabama. This is Lake Jordan. Elmore county. Simply spectacular. Thanks to Lisa McMillan Gilliland

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Have a great Iron Bowl Saturday! There will be another blog update for you early Sunday morning, with an update on the Cold week ahead.  I will have your next complete video update Monday morning online by 4:45AM.

Rich

WEEKEND UPDATE:  Two Storm Systems Next 4 Days – Iron Bowl Forecast Update

Shoppers won’t have much to worry about weather-wise today.  Looks like the rain will hold off until tonight and clear out early in the morning.  The Iron Bowl forecast continues to look good, and I think we have a pretty comfortable weekend forecast.  But, hang on.  There’s another cold front approaching.  More showers will drench the air Sunday night before much colder air funnels in to start the new week.

TODAY & TONIGHT:  It will be mostly cloudy, but dry. Breezy today, with a brisk east wind at 6 to 16.   High in the mid 50’s  Showers should hold off until tonight, especially after 8PM and through the overnight hours.  Low tonight 49.  No heavy rain is expected.  Most places will see .50” or less.  The risk of rain will stick around through the early AM hours of Saturday.

IRON BOWL FORECAST:  :  Attention tailgaters:  Slight chance of morning showers in Tuscaloosa.  Otherwise,it should be a cloudy first part of the day.  Then it will give way to Partly sunny.  Highs will reach the mid 60’s by gametime.  A great Iron Bowl Forecast.

 

NEXT STORM SYSTEM:   Sunday will be dry and warm for November.  But, it should be dry during the day with showers moving in Sunday night, and clearing out by early Monday morning.  Sharply colder air will follow the front.

NEXT FEW DAYS:  Our mild weekend will be followed an approaching cold front, will bring in showers Sunday night, followed by sharply colder temperatures for the early part of the week.

Hope you have a great holiday weekend.  I’ll have blog updates later in the weekend.

Rich

HAPPY THANKSGIVING:  Nice Holiday! – Friday Night Storm System

Good Morning!  Happy Thanksgiving.  In our part of the country the news is very good.  We have a great Holiday forecast.  We are tracking a Friday Night storm system, which should move through overnight and get out of the way for the Iron Bowl weekend.   Look for some warmer days Saturday and Sunday, before colder air arrives at the beginning of next week.

TODAY:  Mostly cloudy this morning, giving way to lots of sunshine later.  After a chilly start in the 30’s, the afternoon high will reach 61.  Low tonight near 40.  East wind at 5 to 10 mph.

 FRIDAY & FRIDAY NIGHT STORM SYSTEM:  Much of Black Friday will be dry.  It will be mostly cloudy and cool with a high in the mid 50’s  There could be a late day shower. Rain will overspread the area overnight Friday and into Saturday morning as a frontal system crosses the area.  Fortunately, on Saturday, the rain threat will mostly be early in the morning.

 

IRON BOWL FORECAST:  Could be cloudy for much of the morning, for the tailgaters.  Morning rain chance at 20%.  But, partly sunny skies will warm things up into the 60’s.  Kickoff temperature around 66.  A great Iron Bowl Forecast.

 

NEXT FEW DAYS:  A mild weekend forecast.  High well up into the 60’s Saturday and into the low 70’s Sunday.  Another front brings in showers Sunday night, before it turns sharply colder early next week.

ELSEWHERE TODAY:  Bitterly cold air engulfs the Northeast, where many areas could see their coldest Thanksgiving in over 100 years.  In New York City, where wind chills are in the single digits, the big question is whether the winds will be too strong to fly the big balloons in the Macy’s Thanksgiving parade.  As I type this at 5:55AM, officials say there’s a decent chance the balloons will fly.  Meanwhile a big storm is lashing the US West coast, with snow in the inter-mountain west.

 

Have a Happy Thanksgiving.  I’ll have blog updates later in the weekend.

Rich

Nice Thanksgiving Forecast – Black Friday Storm System Ahead –WEDNESDAY Video

Happy Thanksgiving Eve!  There’s much tom tell you about on this video.  I have a great Thanksgiving forecast, holiday travel forecast, and we’ll look ahead.  There are two storm system lined up in the next five days.  And, some very cold air is poised to move our way very soon.  I’ve also made some nice tweaks in the Iron Bowl Forecast.

Snowy in the Lakes and the northeast today, and a big storm system coming into the west  with lots of wind and rain, but much of the nation is storm free on this big travel day.

Stormy in the west on Thanksgiving, with heavy snow in the Rockies.  VERY cold across the northeast US.  A few showers tease the Gulf Coast, but we have some nice weather to look forward to in our neighborhood.

 

Two storm systems in the next 5 days.  Late Friday into early Saturday.  Then, another one late Sunday into early Monday.  Much colder air will follow.

Hard to improve on this Iron Bowl forecast!

Much Colder air moves funnels in stages starting Monday.  Cold days ahead next week.

Here;s just a sample of some RAW numbers from the GFS.  Don’t take the actual numbers literally.  We’re just looking at trends, here.