SUNDAY UPDATE:   Spotty Storms Today – Triple Digit Heat Index

Good morning!   Today will be rather routine for a summer day.  Some towns will get wet.  Many towns will not.  Monday will be very similar.   The big story today will be heat and humidity, as the heat index soars to 100 or higher.

It’s looking more and more like this week will be a lot like last week.  By mid to late week, showers and storms will be rather numerous each day.  This active pattern may even spill into at least part of the Fourth of July weekend.

Blame a weakness in the atmosphere which will migrate into Alabama from the northeast, for the increase in storms this week.

So, if your lawn needs to be cut, the days with the smallest rain chance will be today and tomorrow.  I would avoid the middle of the day, though, when the heat will be intense.  My grass is growing like crazy. 😊

TODAY:  We’ll be dealing with some cloudy intervals, but I think we’ll actually finally start to see some sunny intervals, too.  It will be a hot & humid day.  High near 93.  The heat index will reach 100 to 103.  Stay hydrated.  Spotty random cooling thundershowers will be around, but the will be widely scattered.  Many towns will get skipped.   Low tonight 73.

Here’s one model’s snapshot of late afternoon, just to give you some sense of the coverage on the storms.

 

NEXT FEW DAYS:  Monday will be routine. A 30% rain chance is a summertime normal.  But, notice how the rain chances start to dramatically increase, especially by mid to late week, and perhaps into the early part of the Fourth of July holiday weekend.  It’s a bit too early to determine if the whole holiday weekend will be unsettled.  I’ll let you know.

THE TROPICS:  It is amazingly quiet in the Atlantic basin, including the Caribbean and the Gulf of Mexico, for at least the next 5 days.

UPDATE:   

 A tropical wave located several hundred miles west-southwest of the 
Cape Verde Islands is moving west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph.  
Some slow development of this system is possible during the next 2 
to 3 days.  After that time, environmental conditions become less 
conducive for development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Meanwhile, at least for now, the Saharan Dust plume has dispersed, over us and has migrated to the Southeast U.S. Coast.

Sunset over Lake Jordan last night, enhanced by Saharan Dust. Beautiful. Thanks to our friend Lisa, for the picture.

I’ll have a complete video update for you tomorrow morning, posted by 4:45AM.

Stay safe and well. Enjoy your Sunday …

–Rich