BIG CHANGES: Front Tonight Brings Threat of Strong Storms

Get ready for a big change.  A cold front will sweep across the state tonight.  Ahead of the front a potent line of storms will bring a severe weather threat.  However, right now, the primary threat for strong/severe storms is across the northwest counties, mainly in time window from 2PM to 9PM.  The primary threat will be damaging wind gusts and maybe some hail.

Future Radar show a line of strong line of storms in NW Alabama sweeping southeastward.  Notice how the line of storms tens to diminish in intensity as it moves into central & south Alabama this evening.   This should help you plan your evening.  Keep in mid this is just one model and timing will change.  Future radar on our weather app will keep you updated with latest on timing later in the day as new model data arrives.

 

Behind the front, much cooler air moves in late tonight.  The overnight low will fall to the low 50’s by morning.  Sunday’s high will only be near 70, after upper 80’s again today.  Can’t rule out a few leftover showers on Sunday.

Severe Threat Area Expanded/Upgraded

Happy Friday!  Just like summer again today. We may fall just short of a record high again today.  But, significant changes are fast approaching.  Strong cold front moves in this weekend.  Best chance for the stronger storms Saturday night.  More than half the state is in the severe weather risk, which has been adjusted.  Plus, I’ll update you about the dramatic cool-down after the front, and what we can expect for the week ahead.  Here’s your Friday morning personal weather briefing.

Here’s the adjusted severe weather threat from the Storm Prediction Center.  A slight Risk has been added for NW Alabama.  That’s new.  Also, the marginal risk has been expanded much farther southeast in the state and now includes Troy and Andalusia.

The strong cold front will sweep across the state Saturday night/Sunday morning, with dramatically cooler air behind it.  In fact, Sunday, we may not make it out of the 60’s.  We will be just above 50 degrees by Monday morning.  Big change.

Here’s a Future Radar snapshot from the NAM model.  It shows a line of storms approaching central Alabama around 10PM Saturday night.  Don’t take this literally.  It’s just a model idea.  Timing could change.

New Drought Monitor Map came out yesterday and it is a little disturbing.  Moderate drought has now re-appeared in much of east andf southeast Alabama…41% of the state.  Our expected weekend rainfall will be too light to help.

 

 

 

 

 

Strong Weekend Front – Severe Weather Threat – Thursday Video

Good Morning!   We’ll be near or just shy of 90 degrees for the next couple of days, as our early summer preview continues.  But now, all eyes on that important weekend front which will bring the threat of strong to severe storms to the state by Saturday evening/Saturday night.  I’ll have the latest severe weather risk outlook from the Storm Prediction Center, plus we’ll look ahead to the big temperature drop behind the front.   Here’s your Thursday morning personal weather briefing for the weekend ahead.

Strong cool front sweeps through the state this weekend with a line of strong to severe storms out ahead of it Saturday evening and Saturday night.

The Storm Prediction Center has placed a large part of the state in a Marginal Severe Risk for Saturday evening/Saturday night.  Damaging wind gusts appears to be the main threat.  The tornado threat is rather low, but not zero.

 

A big temperature drop follows the front.  Sunday will be a breezy, much cooler day with the high struggling to reach 70.  Low 50’s expected by Monday morning.

Unfortunately, no significant rainfall is expected with the front and line of storms.

A new Drought Monitor Map comes out this morning.  I will tweet the new map when it comes out, and we’ll have it on the Friday morning video.

Watching Weekend Storm System – Wednesday Video

Good Morning!  Our Summer Preview pattern continues.  We’ll be flirting with 90 next 3 days.  We’re getting dry and looking for raindrops.  All eyes on a important frontal system this weekend. Will bring severe weather to the state?  And, how much rain can we expect?  The latest details on a front which will usher in some much cooler air, for awhile, on your Wednesday morning, 2 minute personal weather briefing.

 

Still monitoring an important cold front which will affect the state this weekend.  Ahead of the front, a line of strong to severe storms Saturday night into Sunday morning.  The main threat would be damaging wind gusts.  the tornado threat appears to be rather low with this system.

The strongest severe threat with this system will be across the northwest counties, where a low end tornado threat also exists Saturday night.

 

We are getting very dry across the area, so there’s at least hope for some decent rain with this front, but according to the GFS, not enough rain in central and south Alabama.

Look for a significant cool down behind the front.   Here’s a look at two important global models.

 

Summer Preview Continues – Tuesday Video

Good Morning!  Our early summer preview continues today.  Today will be at least 10 degrees warmer than normal for Mid April.  In fact, we could be at or close to 90 by late week. Spotty pop up showers will be rather scarce.  Our attention turns to an important cold front over the weekend which could bring a line of some strong/severe storms, followed by sharply cooler air.  I have the latest on timing, strength, and the cool down that follows the front.

 

The next big deal front will affect Alabama this weekend.  The cold front is a strong one.  There could and probably will be a line of strong to severe storms ahead of the front.  Right now it appears Saturday night is probably the most likely time for the possible severe risk, with a squall line.  Damaging winds will be the strongest threat.  Right now, the tornado threat with this system appears low.

 

A dramatic change to much cooler air follows the front.  Here’s a peek at 2 global models, the Euro and the GFS.