New Tornado Watch

NEW TORNADO WATCH (12:30AM 4/18/19) New Tornado Watch for much of east and southeast Alabama until 8AM.
Damaging winds up to 60 mph and tornadoes are possible in the watch

Severe thunderstorms with damaging wind gusts are also possible along with large hail quarter size or larger.

The threat of severe weather will continue through the night and will not exit SE Alabama until perhaps 5 or 6 AM Friday morning.

Obviously, the nigh-time severe weather/tornado threats are extremely dangerous.  If you live in a manufactured home or mobile home, it’s best to leave for a more substantial structure.  Many community centers in several counties will be open tonight.  Even some churches.

Make sure you have at least a couple of reliable ways to receive a warning,  including a weather radio, which can wake you up in the event of a warning.  Our Weather App will also instantly alert you for a warning for your area.  Do not rely on hearing a tornado siren.

FROM NWS:

Tornadoes and damaging winds up to 60 mph are possible through 5 am
for all of Central Alabama. Rainfall will be 1 to 3 inches overnight
and these rain amounts may lead to localized flooding. Ahead of the
line of thunderstorms, breezy conditions are expected with wind
speeds of 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 35 mph.

FUTURE RADAR:  Here’s one model idea (HRRR) of the potential storm movement and timing of the movement tonight.  Don’t tale this laterally.  This is just for general guidance purposes.  As you can see, it looks like a long night ahead.

 

AFTER THE STORMS – EASTER WEEKEND AND BEYOND:  

Friday will be a brisk, chilly day…windy & very cool.  High perhaps near 60.  Occasional showers.   Friday night will be COLD…low 43.  Cool and breezy Saturday.  High 66.  Chilly for Easter sunrise services, with middle 40’s…but, a nice day and a nice Easter recovery.  High near 80.  Tuesday and Wednesday look nice.

 

ENHANCED Severe Weather Risk This evening and Tonight – SPECIAL THURDAY Video

’Enhanced’ Risk of Severe Storms & tornadoes this evening and tonight.  The set-up raises concern regarding tonight’s severe weather threat.  There’s some model differences on how it could unfold.  The threat includes severe storms with damaging winds and tornadoes.  The fact that it’s happening at night is also concerning.  On this video, I’ll break down the details on what we know, and the possible timeline.  More details, later in the day, could change this scenario.  I’ll do my best to keep you up to date.    Plus: The latest on a nice Easter forecast for here and the Beach

 

 

FUTURE RADAR (NAM model):  Let me caution you.  This is only ONE model’s possible solution of how the evening and night could unfold.  Some models are very different on timing and details.  Do not take the timing and position of the storms literally.

It suggests possible supercell development well in advance of the main line as early as late this afternoon into this evening across west Alabama.  These storms could be tornatic.  Then, the emphasis shifts to the main line of storms, moving across the state tonight and through the overnight hours. This model appears to me a bit too SLOW.  Some model solutions are FASTER with this line and some are SLOWER.  Embedded cells could produce tornadoes along the line.

I like what the NWS in Birmingham has done with their suggested time window for the severe weather threat tonight.  It’s very reasonable.

 

Friday, the storm threat shifts east, including  the Severe Weather Risk.  For Alabama it will be an unusually cool breezy day with leftover showers around from time to time.

After the cool, breezy Friday, Saturday AM start off chilly….in the mid 40’s  Cool day Saturday, but the Sun is out.  Easter Sunday at sunrise is cold…mid 40’s.  But, the day Sunday is beautiful, with a high near 80.  Monday and Tuesday will be nice.  We’ll be storm-free for several days in a row.

Not a fun beach day Friday.  Nice Saturday and Sunday.  Cool Saturday,  but a little warmer on Easter Sunday.

 

.

Severe Weather Threat Thursday Evening/Night – WEDNESDAY Video

Good Morning! We are batting a thousand this week on the nice weather days, so far. Enjoy today! Because, the next system will affect the state by late tomorrow. This storm will produce tornadoes in the nation’s mid-section today, and severe threat will reach Alabama late Thursday & Thursday night. On this video, I have new threat level from the Storm Prediction Center, which has increased a notch, for a big chunk of our state. I’ll show you Future Radar. Plus, we’ll look ahead at what looks a great Easter Weekend forecast for here and the Gulf Coast Beaches.

 

We’re going to enjoy another quiet, warm today.  Meanwhile there could be a significant tornado outbreak in the nation’s mid section spreading east tomorrow.

The Severe Threat Level from SPC for Thursday PM and Thursday night has increased to an ENHANCED risk, now, for all of the state along and west of about I-65, including the risk for tornadoes.  Severe thunderstorms with damaging wind gusts included.

 

 

 

 

 

Two More Nice Days – More Severe Weather Thursday – TUESDAY Video

Good Morning!  After a nearly perfect Monday, looks like we’ll do it again today.  We are enjoying a quiet/nice start to the week, but looming, is yet another severe weather threat arriving in Alabama by Thursday afternoon/Thursday night.  Once again we’re going to have to be watchful for all modes of severe weather including a tornado threat.  On this video, I have the latest outlook from the Storm Prediction Center, and we’ll update timing.  Plus, I’ll preview what looks like a nice Easter weekend.

 

Enjoy another text book perfect day today.

Strong thunderstorms could develop out ahead of the main line late Thursday and Thursday evening.  Looks like a stormy Thursday night.

SPC has us in the Level Two Severe Risk area again.  That’s the same risk level we were in Sunday when Alabama has at least seven tornadoes.  ALL modes of severe weather are again possible Thursday and Thursday night.

Warmest day is Wednesday.  Severe weather threat late Thursday and Thursday night.  Breezy and cool Friday..risk of showers.  Cool but nice Saturday and nearly PERFECT on Easter Sunday.

 

 

 

Quiet Early Week – Severe Threat Thursday – MONDAY Video

Good Morning!  Alabama is enjoying a few, much deserved quiet days, with and sunshine and comfortable temperatures.  However, looming on the horizon, later in the week, is yet another Severe Weather episode, arriving by Thursday or Thursday night.  On this video, I’ll walk the details of the week ahead, and I have the updated severe threat map from the Storm Prediction Center.  We’ll also take a peek ahead to the weekend.

 

Wednesday should be nice here, but we note a very ominous severe weather threat in the Nation’s mid section spreading eastward.

The Stage is set for another severe weather threat entering the state Thursday afternoon, and moving across the state Thursday night.  It appears we’ll see all modes of severe weather.

All modes of severe weather are possible Thursday, including damaging winds, large hail and tornadoes.  Be ready.  Download our weather app if you don’t already have it.