Big Weekend Warm up – January Thaw Begins – Friday Video

Good Morning!   Many of us are in the teens again this morning.  But, on this video, I am pleased to bring you news of Warmer Days Ahead.  Wait till you see the weekend numbers.  That next storm system has slowed down a little bit.  But, will it bring us enough precious rain drops?  I’ll show you the new, disturbing Drought Monitor map, with some bad news for Alabama. Plus –A look ahead.  How long will the “Thaw” last, before Old Man Winter screams back into town?  Here’s your Friday morning personal weather briefing.

 

Today will be a day of moderation as we actually climb above the 50° mark.  Another freeze tonight, though.

Bog weekend warm-up ahead.  Monday storm system.  Not much cooling behind the Monday front.

Monday storm system will bring showers & thunderstorms to the state, but apparently not a lot of rain.

 

Disturbing new Drought monitor map, showing the Moderate Drought has expanded and parts of the state is in a Severe Drought now.

The Global models advertise that Cold Arctic air will stay away from the state for at least two weeks…maybe more.

The CFS has us pretty mild until roughly February 12th.  ALL bets are off after that.

 

Hang on! Warmer Days Ahead -Thursday Video

Good Morning..on the day after a truly historic high impact winter weather event. A big day in our weather history.  Second snow of the winter for many of you, and lots of winter still left to go.  We are in the teens early this morning, but on this video, I’ll fill you in on a remarkable warming trend, through the weekend and beyond.  The numbers will make you smile. Plus, that next storm system, has slowed down a little bit, but the rain will be welcome!  Hope you are warm and snug this morning.  Here’s your Thursday morning personal weather briefing with your toast and coffee!

 

Warming today…in fact we will warm above freezing by mid morning for the first time in 40 hours!  Here’s out weather app!

 

Next Few days…big warming this weekend then a Monday storm system with showers & t’storms.

 

 

GOOD NEWS:  The global models say this warming trend will stick around for several days through the end of the month, and probably into the start to February.

 

A look back at some preliminary snow totals from yesterday’s historic snowfall.

WED. PM UPDATE: Dangerous Travel Conditions & Another Hard Freeze Tonight

ROUGH TRAVEL CONTINUES:  Alabama Emergency Management officials, continue to report extremely hazardous road conditions across central Alabama in multiple counties.  In many cases, roads are just a sheet of ice.  And, with temperatures not expected to climb above freezing today, travel is not likely to improve.  In fact, the next time the temperature is likely to be above freezing in Montgomery would be about 11AM Thursday. PLEASE stay off the roads today.   That would be 40 hours straight at or below freezing.  We’ll be back to the teens tonight.

 

EXTREME WIND CHILLS:  Lowest wind chill in Montgomery this morning was -3.  With northwest winds at 15 to 24 mph, blowing over a snowpack, wind chills will stay in the teens and single digits much of  tonight and Tuesday morning.  Here’s a snapshot of early afternoon wind chills.  Bundle up.  Dress in layers.  Take care of your pets.

 

NEXT FEW DAYS:  Hang on!  A big warm-up is on the way.  60 or above Saturday and mid 60’s Sunday.  Risk of showers and storms returning either late Sunday night or more likely Monday.

LOOKING AHEAD:  The Global Models…the GFS and EURO continue to advertise the January Thaw is not only coming, it may indeed be long-lasting, through the rest of January and maybe even into February.

Stay weather aware!   You can do that with our weather app.  I’ll keep you up to date.  Plus: There will be a complete video online Thursday morning at 4:45AM.  Thanks!

Stay warm.

 

Rich

NEARLY IMPOSSIBLE TRAVEL CONDITIONS -DANGEROUS WIND CHILL – UPDATED

SOME UPDATES:  

 

7:10AM   Local metro county EMA’s have declared a “civil emergency”. Do not attempt to travel unless it’s an emergency. There have been reports of vehicles sliding off roadways. Traffic cameras show ice on the I-85/I-65 interchange in Montgomery.
Travel is a very bad idea early Wednesday. Roads will be difficult if not impossible to navigate. With temperatures below freezing most of the day, there will be icy spots throughout the day

‪7AM Montgomery Regional has 15° with a windchill of 2. Prattville 13, Alex City 12. The Alex City wind chill is -1. #alwx. ‬

 

The snow has now left the state but we have a very windy/cold/raw winter’s day in progress:

 

Stay off the roads.  They are impassable and dangerous from overnight snowfall.  The snow, which is still occurring as I make this will exit later this morning.  I have an abbreviated video which will update you on the extreme cold you can expect today and tonight, and a look ahead to warmer days ahead.  Stay home if you can…

 

Dangerous wind chills this morning.   Precip. should be out of the state by Noon..then winy and cold.  High may not make it past freezing.

 

Back to the teens tonight all the way to the coast.  But warmer days area on the way!

 

 

TUESDAY PM UPDATE:  Small Snow Accumulation Possible – Extremely Cold Temperatures/Wind Chill

Old Man Winter takes over Alabama tonight.

No significant changes to the forecast.  Precipitation in central and SE Alabama may actually start as rain briefly  before changing to light snow.  Light snow is likely through the evening hours and into the overnight hours.  It should shift SE of the I-85 corridor after 2AM and exit SE Alabama close to 6AM.  A winter weather advisory continues for the whole area due to potentially significant travel impacts from the snow.  See below for accumulation and timing.  Plus the latest on the Extreme Cold.

FUTURE RADAR:  Hi-res Future radar (HRRR) snapshots do a good job, telling the story.  Possible rain, maybe rain/snow mix early evening, then gradually transitioning to snow later in the night, and shifting southeast into the Wiregrass during the wee hours of the morning.  Should be exiting the state close to Dawn.

 

POTENTIAL ACCUMULATION:  Most models, including the NAM/WRF and the GFS (and others),  depict about an inch to just over an inch of snow, in general, from  along and perhaps just north the I-85 corridor, south to about Ozark and Opp.  There could be isolated areas close to 2”.  That should be the exception rather than the rule.  Probably the most bullish of the models is the Euro, which paints close to 2” in spots, in east central and SE Alabama.  Even a little snow will cause potentially significant travel impacts.  Here’s a peek at 2 models…the NAM and the Euro

 

 

EXTREMELY COLD TEMPS AND WIND CHILL:  Overnight lows will fall to the teens.  Expect some potentially dangerous wind chill readings Wednesday morning, which will fall to the single digits even in south Alabama.  A Hard Freeze Warning and a Wind Chill Advisory area in effect.

Nome, Alaska tomorrow morning: 24 degrees, wind chill 19. Montgomery, Alabama tomorrow morning: 16 degrees, wind chill 5. #ArcticBlast #alwx

That’s the latest for now.  Our weather app will keep you on top of changes all the time!  Get it on your phone or tablet, if you don’t already have it.  I’ll have another update if needed.  Complete video online by 4:45AM tomorrow.  Stay off the roads tonight if you can, and watch for icy spots in the morning.

Have a nice evening!

–Rich