For most of us in central & south Alabama today & Sunday will be routine, and just about ideal for your Holiday Weekend outdoor plans, whether you have a backyard BBQ, or a trip to the Lake.  Memorial Day could be problem with showers & storms around at times.  Have a Plan B ready.

It should be noted, that while our weather is nice, a nasty storm system, producing a significant severe weather threat is lurking just north of us, and covers much of the nation.  Keep that mind if you will be traveling north.  In fact, even parts of extreme north Alabama may be grazed by a few storms today, tonight and Sunday.  The severe weather risk includes the farther northern counties.

TODAY:  A sun/cloud mix..  High near 90.  Low tonight 72.  Rain chance about 10%



SUNDAY:  Cloudy in the morning, then a sun and Cloud mix in the afternoon.  Hi 91.  Isolated storms can’t be ruled out.  I’ll keep a 20% chance in the forecast.  Should be a pretty good day, again.

SUNDAY NIGHT:  Scattered showers/storms possible.  40% chance.  Low 72.

MEMORIAL DAY – Monday:  Not a “wash out”, but a pretty significant chance of showers/storms from time to time just about anytime Monday.  I have kept the rain chance at 60%.  High 85.  A few storms could be strong.  I’m not expecting any organized severe weather, but I can’t rule out a warning or two.

NEXT 4 DAYS:  Here’s the forecast in a nutshell.  Best rain chances from Sunday night through Tuesday.

BEACH FORECAST:  Really a pretty good Beach forecast, all things considered through Sunday.  Scattered showers and thunderstorms will be an issue Monday & Tuesday.  BE CAREFUL!  Moderate rip current risk continues.  There were several water rescues on Thursday & Friday.  At least one person was killed.  Please observe the flags at your particular beach.

Our Weather App will come in very handy during this holiday weekend. Among other things, it will keep you update to day on current conditions, hourly forecasts, radar and future radar…plus easily access to my blog updates. PLUS, if you are traveling, it will travel with you – proving local weather for wherever you are headed. That includes push notifications for watches and warnings. It’s free! Go to the App store and search Rich Thomas Weather. Thanks to Alabama Broadcaster’s Association for the Abby award for Best App. We’re proud of it!

Have a great weekend.  There will be other weather posts along the way, especially Monday morning with future radar.  Be safe, but have fun!


Updated Memorial Day Weekend Forecast – Friday Video

Happy Friday!  Alabama will be heating up, just in time for what’s considered the unofficial first summer weekend.  Much of the weekend should be trouble-free, with only tiny rain chances.  However, you may need to at least have a plan B for Memorial Day, when the threat for showers and thunderstorms will be highest.  I’ll walk you through the details for here and the Gulf coast beaches.  Plus, good news on the new Drought Monitor map.  And less than a week before the hurricane season begins, NOAA has their new seasonal outlook.  (for what it’s worth).  Here’s your Friday Holiday Weekend personal weather briefing.


The unofficial kickoff weekend of summer, will be rather routine for the most part.  Rain chances will be relatively small through Sunday. The biggest issue could be Memorial Day Monday with a 60% chance of showers and storms as a frontal system approaches.   Have a Plan B ready.  Boaters on area lakes should watch out for lightning, too.


Pretty pristine Beach Forecast.  Many, many families are headed down for their first Beach weekend of the season.  Best rain chances show up Monday and Tuesday, when showers and thunderstorms will be roaming around.  The Gulf Water temperature at the buoy 12 miles south of Orange Beach is 77.   Moderate Rip Current risk is listed in the outlook.  Be careful…watch for the warning flags on the beach.

This week’s heavy rain wiped out that moderate drought covering east and southeast Alabama.  Good news!   Here’s the brand new drought monitor map which came out yesterday.

We are only 6 days away from the start of Hurricane Season.  Yesterday NOAA came out with their seasonal forecast, showing normal to a little above normal numbers.  Remember: the numbers mean nothing.  It only takes ONE hurricane affecting you for this to be a BIG season.  Always prepare.  Always be ready.




Holiday Weekend Forecast Updated – Thursday Video

Good Morning!  Some really nice air is funneling into the state this morning behind that departing storm system.  On this video, we will dig into the details of the Memorial Day Holiday weekend.  We could be dodging a few raindrops at times, that could affect your backyard BBQ plans or maybe your trip to the Lake.  I’ll update the rain chances and show you how much rain could fall.  Plus, I have the weekend beach forecast.  It’s all in a compact 2 minute package on your Thursday morning personal weather briefing.

In the wake of the storm, cooler, less humid air is moving in on gusty northwesterly winds.  Should be a great Thursday, and another cool, comfortable night tonight.

Scattered showers and maybe some thunderstorms could affect outdoor plans especially Sunday afternoon/night, and anytime Monday Memorial Day.   Have a Plan B ready just in case.


Here’s the potential rainfall totals next 5 days, based on the Euro model.  A new drought monitor map comes out at 8AM this morning, by the way.


Here’s the weekend Beach Forecast.   The better rain chances hold off until late Sunday into Monday.   This from NWS:




More Showers/storms – Drier Air Returns Soon – Wednesday Video

Good Morning!  More showers & storms today as a cool front sweeps through the state. A few of the storms could be strong.  But, hang on.  There’s some nice air and beautiful weather ahead to end this week.  I’ll have the latest details on the Memorial Day weekend.  It’s certainly possible we could be dodging a few rain drops from time to time.  We’ll also take a peak at June outlook and the weekend beach forecast.

Cool front sweeps across the state today and brings another round of showers and storms, before drier air arrives for Thursday and Friday.


Storm Prediction Center has most of the eastern half of Alabama in a Marginal Severe weather risk today.  Some of the storms could produce damaging wind gusts.  Tornado threat is not zero, but on the low side.


Rain chances are small Saturday, but there’s a better chance of scattered showers and storms around from time to time Sunday & Memorial Day Monday.

Euro Model trends next 10 days… A couple of cooler nice days late week.  A hotter weekend.  Scattered showers at times Sunday/Monday.  A couple of shower episodes the following week, too.



Another Round of Rain/storms Tonight & Wednesday

Yet another, the final round, of rain and storms will moves across the area tonight and Wednesday ahead of a frontal system.   This should be the final surge of moisture before we start to dry out for a couple of days.


The Storm Prediction Center says some of the storms could be strong/severe.  Marginal Severe Risk for mainly damaging wind gusts.  This outlook begins at 7AM Wednesday.


Rainfall amounts should not be excessive with this next round.  Many areas will see maybe .5 inches or less, on average.

I’ll have another video update for your first thing in the morning, online by about 4:45AM.  Have a good evening.