Good morning  on this last day of September! Still no big changes in our future weather over the next several days.  Basically the storm-free, dry forecast will continue well into the future.   Future Radar tries to paint a couple of isolated showers in east central Alabama this afternoon. But, the rain chance is under 20%. It continues to be a very warm forecast for now. Expect upper 80’s again today.  (Normal hi/lo 86/62) By late week, temperatures will come down just a little bit.  Thursday through Saturday expect highs in the low to mid 80’s and near 60 by Friday morning.  Isolated showers could return on Sunday. In the tropics, good news for the SE US, except for high surf and rip currents.   Imelda and Humberto are headed out to sea.  Imelda will likely become a Hurricane today. Here’s my brief video forecast discussion.

TODAY:   Mostly sunny.  PM Rain chance 20% or less.  Light wind.  High 87-89.  Mostly clear tonight.  Low 66.

FUTURE RADAR tries to paint a couple of isolated showers in east central Alabama this afternoon.  Rain chance mostly under 20%

NEXT FEW DAYS:  It’s still a quiet forecast.  Sunny days.  Mainly clear nights.  Still mainly dry through Saturday.  Highs mostly in the upper 80’s.  Low mainly in the middle 60’s. A little cooler late week.  Isolated showers could return on Sunday. 

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Here’s Future Rainfall for the next 7 days.  The drought is getting worse.

Here’s the 10 Day Temperature Trend.  Late this week, we briefly get into more reasonable temperatures.  (Normal hi/lo 86/62)  

TROPICAL OUTLOOK:  

We can thank Hurricane Humberto for influencing the track of Imelda away from a direct SE US impact.  Humberto’s winds are now category 2 at 100 mph, as it moves toward the open Atlantic.

Behind Humberto is Imelda, which is almost a hurricane now with 70 mph winds.  It will become a hurricane today.  The combination of both systems will cause tremendous wave action and extreme rip currents along the SE US coastline and even Tropical Storm conditions in Bermuda.

Humberto and Imelda are the only two systems at the moment in the Atlantic basin.,

The Tropical Spaghetti models for Imelda.  Wave goodbye to Imelda. 

Here’s the EURO model Ensembles Member Lows Map.  Will we have to watch the SW Gulf down the road? 

Thanks for reading the blog. Today everything is normal including LIVE on the Radio of NewsTalk 93.1 WACV.  There will be another video forecast discussion and Blog Update in the 4 o’clock hours tomorrow morning.  You can always find my forecast updates hourly on the 8 station Bluewater family of stations every day of the year.

–Rich