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SATURDAY UPDATE: Nice Mother’s Day Weekend – Wet & Stormy Pattern Next Week

  Good Morning!   It’s unusually cool Saturday morning.  Temperatures at Dawn will be in the mid to upper 40’s.  But, after the morning chill fades, we have a nice Saturday warm-up ahead.  It should be a great Mother’s Day weekend.  Lots of sunshine and a big warm-up on Sunday.  Perfect for afternoon  cook-outs. 

     Enjoy the weekend because we have another wet and active week ahead.  Monday through Thursday will be stormy at times.  Rainfall amounts could be quite heavy in spots.  Details below…

TODAY:   Chilly start to the day… in the 40’s near Dawn.  But, there’s a great day ahead.  Sunshine, blue skies will dominate.  Low humidity.  Nice afternoon warm-up..hi82.    
MOTHER’S DAY:  Nice Sunday.  Lots of sunshine.  Warmer.  Upper 80’s.  Dry Sunday evening.  Showers and storms hold off until the overnight hours Sunday night.  

WET & STORMY WEEK AHEAD:  An Approaching front will bring a round of showers and storms to the state Monday.  Some storms could be strong to severe especially across the southern parts of the state, along and south of the US 80/I-85 Corridor.  Damaging wind gusts is the main risk.

During the week, as a frontal system stalls along the Gulf Coast, waves of low pressure will move along the front, bringing rounds of showers and storms for much of the week through Thursday.  Friday looks dry and nice.

Rainfall amounts could be quite heavy in spots.

NEXT FEW DAYS:  Wet times Monday through Thursday.  Showers and thunderstorms.  Much better weather begins Friday.

BEACH FORECAST:  Great weather today and Mother’s Day Sunday.  Wet and stormy days begin Monday.  MODERATE Rip Current Risk today.  Gulf water in the mid 70’s 

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There will be another blog update in the morning.  Have a nice Saturday!  

–Rich

Jacket Weather Tonight – Nice Mother’s Day Week – Active Next Week – FRIDAY Video

Good Morning!  A late season cool front is sweeping across the area.  Today will be breezy & cooler. Tonight will be unusually chilly for so late in the season.  But, the chill will not last.  On this video, I’ll tell you about a Mother’s Day Weekend warm-up.  Timing is everything.  It looks like the next round of showers and storms will hold off until late Sunday night.  Next week looks very wet & active again.  It could be quite a “soaker”.

A late season cool front sweeps through the area today. Breezy & cooler today. Tonight will be unusually cool for so late in the season.

Tonight will be unusually cool for so late in the season. Jacket weather. Upper 40’s by Dawn Saturday.

The chill will not last. Saturday will be warmer. Mother’s Day will be quite warm. Showers and thunderstorms hold off until Sunday night & Monday. Much of next week will be wet and stormy.

I’m very happy to say….if you’re Beach Bound this weekend, the news is very good. It will, however be quite chilly tonight. You’ll need a jacket.

Wet and stormy next week as waves of low pressure slide along a stalled front near the coast.

Again next week…rainfall amounts could be quite heavy in spots.

The coolest day will be today. The coldest morning will be Dawn Saturday. The warmest day will be Sunday.


Nice String of Days – Comfortable Days, Cool Nights – THURSDAY Video

Good Morning!   The news today is good.  We have a very nice string of days ahead, which will carry us through the weekend.  Comfortable days, and cool nights.  The Mother’s Day forecast looks good.  Enjoy this nice, tranquil storm-free pattern, because, already, I see a very wet & active pattern developing again next week.  I’ll fill in the details for here and the Gulf Coast. 

Enjoy what will be a simply beautiful day.

Cool northwesterly flow aloft. Cool nights. We may be near 50 by Dawn Saturday morning. What a nice change.

Looks like a great Mother’s Day Weekend. Showers and storms hold off until Sunday night/Monday. Next week looks very active….again.

Looks like a really weekend on the coast.

Next week looks very wet & stormy again. Lots of rain….Again…

WEDNESDAY Update: Picking Up the Pieces After Turbulent Tuesday – Much Nicer Pattern Ahead

Good Morning!  Folks across Alabama and the Deep South will be picking up the pieces today following a Turbulent Tuesday which brought dozens of reports of wind significant damage and some prolific flooding across the Birmingham metro area. 

    Early this morning, the front that brought the widespread severe weather is in central Alabama heading southeast.  The risk of showers will end early.  Cooler, much less humid air will funnel in.  That will lead to some big improvements this afternoon and tonight.  Thursday and Friday will be very comfortable.  So far, most of Mother’s Day weekend looks nice.  Showers and storms should hold off until Sunday night into Monday.

TODAY:  Risk of leftover showers early.  Showers exit the state before lunchtime.  Not as humid this afternoon.  Mostly cloudy with a few sunbreaks.  High near 80.  Mostly clear and pleasantly cooler tonight.  Low 58. 

This is kinda interesting. Look at the dramatic drop in Dewpoint from 73 at Midnight to 42 by Friday Evening. MUCH less humid!

NEXT FEW DAYS:  Beautiful Thursday & Friday.  Cooler.   Much less humid.  Sunshine.  Warmer, but nice Saturday.  Mother’s Day looks dry and warm during the day.  Risk of showers and storms hold off until Sunday night/Monday.

TURBULENT TUESDAY:  Tuesday played out as expected.  A mesoscale convective complex raced through the Deep South.  The preliminary Storm Reports map from SPC show 470 Wind Damage reports from Texas to Virginia, 17 reports of Large Hail and 6 tornado reports.

Alabamians will be picking up the pieces today after the major wind event produced widespread 60 to 75 mph winds in spots.  The official highest wind gust in Montgomery at the airport was 58 mph.  Here’s a closer look at the large number of preliminary Severe Reports from Tuesday.  Here’s a link to the interactive map.  You can click on individual reports.

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/reports/

Can you see where the strongest winds occurred? Early this morning many neighborhoods are dark. Over 76,000 Alabamians without power.

BEACH OUTLOOK:  Looks like a very nice Mother’s Day weekend down on the coast.  Upper 70’s on the Beach.  Gulf water temperature is 72.

I did a Blog Update instead of a video this morning.  I was up late..  We’ll get back to a regular full video tomorrow morning.  Enjoy a much quieter day today!

–Rich

TORNADO WATCH – Widespread Wind Damage Threat

(3:20PM 5/4/21)

Tornado Watch till 10PM Risk of tornadoes, damaging wind gusts to 80 mph, ping pong size hail. Enhanced Severe Weather Risk. ALL of Alabama is included in the risk. A complex of thunderstorms will race through Alabama this afternoon and this evening.. The line will make it into southeast Alabama tonight. Along the leading edge of this storm complex widespread wind damage is possible, if not likely.

This may help your planning. A powerful squall line will rapidly sweep through central AL late this PM into the evening. All modes of severe weather are possible, especially widespread damaging wind gusts perhaps to 75 mph. The line reaches SE AL tonight. Be prepared For many of us, this would be between 6 to 9PM tonight. The line could accelerate to 50 mph as it sweeps through.

UPDATED Day 1 outlook from the Storm Prediction Center now includes an upgrade to Level 4 Moderate Risk across parts of Mississippi and West Alabama. #mswx#alwx

As of early this morning, weather watches already extended more than 1000 miles from Texas to Tennessee. Now watches extend as far NE as Washington DC.

EARLY MORNING UPDATE:

Are you ready for another round of big storms today? Be ready.  The Storm Prediction Center has us in a Level 3 Enhanced Risk.  There could be a couple of rounds of storms this afternoon and this evening.  A massive of complex of storms will set the stage for the potential for widespread wind damage, localized flooding, large hail and the risk of tornadoes.  This is ahead of a Cold Front which will sweep through the state overnight. Much nicer air will follow.  Thursday and Friday will be nice days.  We’ll look ahead to the Mother’s Day weekend.  On today’s video I’ll outline the details of today’s severe risk. Wait till you see Future Radar.

ENHANCED Severe Weather Risk today. This is a much more significant situation for the state than yesterday.

All modes of severe weather are on the table today. Be ready. Our Weather App will instantly alert you to a Watch or Warning for your location.

Here’s a sample of Future radar. There could be widespread wind damage across the area today

Like yesterday, there could be localized flooding in spots.

NICE air follows the storms. Thursday and Friday will be comfortable. Saturday will be warmer. Sunday will be warm & dry during the daytime.