Good morning! For now, and into the foreseeable future the storm-free/Dry day pattern will continue – with a significant weekend warming trend. While we are in the heart of the Severe Weather/Tornado season, our forecast is quiet for several more days. However, before this month is over that may change in a big way. Starting this weekend through at least mid to late week, the heartland of America will see a multi-day dangerous threat. Will that translate eastward into the Gulf south before this month is over?
We’ll be near 81 today, and well into the 80’s over the weekend. Abundant sunshine will dominate for here and the Gulf coast. Here’s my brief video forecast discussion.
TODAY: Abundant sunshine. High near 81. East wind 5 to 10mph.
(Normal hi/lo 77/52)
TONIGHT: Clear and cool tonight. Low 53.
NEXT FEW DAYS: The forecast this week is uneventful. Storm-free/Dry days continue. Lots of sunshine. Temperatures will warm back to the mid 80’s over the weekend. Perhaps upper 80’s by Tuesday. No rain in the outlook for the next 7 days. Storm-free.
Rainfall outlook for the next seven days. The forecast remains bone dry.
A strong persistent Upper High Pressure dome over the Gulf and the Southeast will continue to keep us storm-free and warm, while the American heartland prepares for a multi-day Severe Weather Outbreak – starting this weekend and through most of next week.
DROUGHT MONITOR: The new Drought Monitor map came out yesterday. Not looking good. The drought expands and worsens. Much of South and Southeast Alabama is now in an extreme drought.
The 10 Day model Blend Temperature Trend.
BEACH FORECAST: Nice forecast. Pleasant storm free pattern. Mostly sunny. Highs mostly in mid 70’s Gulf water is now at 70. High rip current risk Friday and Sunday, especially along the Florida panhandle. Red flags.
Here at the National Tropical Weather Conference – South Padre Island Texas – the much anticipated Colorado State University Seasonal Hurricane forecast was presented yesterday. by Dr. Phil Klotsbach. Calling for a perhaps Super El Nino, the numbers for the season ahead are slightly below normal. BUT, it only takes ONE storm to have a major impact on YOU. By the way — Andrew in 1992, Opal in 1995 and Michael in 2018 happened in El Nino years. That should speak volumes about what can happen in an El Nino year.
Here’s the NTWC Class of 2026. Great Conference.
Thanks for reading this Blog this morning.
I’ll be here at the National Tropical Weather Conference – South Padre Island Texas until tomorrow. Have a nice weekend.
–Rich