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Mild December Pattern – Late Week Storm System – MONDAY Video

Good morning!  Today will be quite a treat.  Patchy fog this morning gives way to lots of sunshine and a very mild December day.  In fact, there’s no harsh winter air anywhere in the nation as we start this new week.  On this video, we’ll look ahead to the arrival of the next storm system later in the week.  Friday’s first day of winter will feel like winter.  The cool down should be brief.  I’ll show you what to expect on Christmas Day, and who might see a White Christmas.

 

Another mild December day today..

 

Nice through Tuesday…  Increasing clouds, mild Wednesday with maybe an afternoon shower.  Rain becomes likely Wednesday night through Thursday, ending and turning sharply colder on Friday.  (The First Day of winter).  Saturday and Sunday look storm-free.

Looks like an above normal Christmas day.  (Normal high 59..normal low 37)  We should be storm-free, and a fairly mild afternoon is in tyhe cards.

BEST chance of a White Christmas is in the Rockies and parts of the Northeast.  Across much of the Southeast States, the chancxe is nearly zero.

Closest Snow on the ground Christmas morning will be on the Great Smoky mountains of east Tennessee into west North Carolina.

SUNDAY UPDATE:  Much Milder This Week – Late Week Storm System

Harsh winter weather is on hold for next several days – Nationwide.  Temperatures will average near normal or above normal coast to coast and border to border.  Monday and Tuesday will be the BEST days in the next 10.  We have a rather wet late week storm system on the way Wednesday night through Friday morning.  Below, I have the Christmas Day forecast.  Read on…

TODAY:  A cloudy, gloomy morning, should give way to a brighter afternoon, with at least partly to mostly skies later.  Cool today, but now cold.  High 55.  Low tonight 41.  Northwest wind at 6 – 12 mph.

 NEXT FEW DAYS:  Just beautiful for December on Monday & Tuesday!   Highs will be well into the 60’s.  (Normal high 59, normal low 37)  Storm approaches by mid to late week.  Best rain chance will be Wednesday night until Friday AM.  Friday will be the chilliest day of the week.  Highs may not reach 50.  But that cooling trend will not last long.

 

CHRISTMAS OUTLOOK:  We’ll take a more in dept Christmas Forecast over the next few days.  But, for now, it appears we will be in between storm systems.  I’ll call it partly cloudy.  The cold, harsh air will still be locked up in Canada.  So, it cools like a fairly mild Christmas.  Morning low 43.  Christmas Day high 57.  Low Christmas night 47.

Who will see a White Christmas?  Folks spending Christmas in the Smoky mountains in east Tennessee may indeed see snow on the ground Christmas morning!   Here in Alabama, I would say the chances to zero.

 

I will have you a complete video update Monday morning online by 4:45AM.  We’ll get deeper into the details of the week ahead, and more details on the Christmas forecast.  Have a great Sunday!

Rich

SATURDAY UPDATE:  Spotty Shower Risk Today -Mild Pattern in the Week Ahead

This is a big day in the River Region.  There is a lot riding on the forecast, including such events as Christmas on the Coosa, and the Camellia Bowl, and more.  The forecast includes a small shower risk, but on the whole, it’s not a bad forecast, today or tomorrow.

During the week ahead look for above normal temperatures, which could stick around into the following week.  Harsh winter weather is on hold for now, probably through Christmas and beyond.

Today’s Map shows the main surface storm system moving away, but an trailing upper level low will be the culprit for the small shower threat.

TODAY:   It will be mostly cloudy. Sweaters and sweatshirts will feel good.  Highs in the middle 50’s  Spotty showers are possible.  They will widely scattered today and into the evening hours.  Winds: SW at 6 to 12 mph.  Tonight’s Low 45.

A couple of Future Radar snapshots at 2 & 6PM will give you a general idea on the coverage of the showers.

NEXT FEW DAYS:   Sunday will be a little cooler then expected.  Chilly again..high in the mid 50’s.  But, Monday and Tuesday especially look rather remarkable, with a good bit of sun and highs in the lower 60’s.  Rain arrives Wednesday night into Thursday, as the next storm system brushes by area.

WINTER TAKES A BREAK:  Above normal temperatures for most nation next week, could even spill into Christmas week. The Map from the Euro shows above normal temps for most of the nation on Christmas morning. Raw temp guidance confirms, no harsh winter weather in the next 15 days.

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Remember last Saturday?  It was simply awful. Today will be a much Saturday.  Whatever you have planned today, I hope you have a great day!

There will be another blog update for you early Sunday morning, with an update on the week ahead.  I will have your next complete video update Monday morning online by 4:45AM as we started looking toward the details of Christmas week.

Rich

Will Rain Affect Weekend Events? – Updated Rain Chance – FRIDAY Video

Good Morning on a very wet Friday morning!   A two part storm system is affecting the state.  Carry the umbrella today.  You will need it at times.  What about the Montgomery Parade tonight?  Christmas on the Coosa and the Camellia Bowl tomorrow?  On this video, I’ll break down the details with the updated rain chance.  The heavy coats, gloves and scarves may not be needed for quite some time.  I’ll show a very mild week before Christmas for the entire nation.  Will the mild weather last through Christmas?  We’ll look two weeks into the future.

 

It won’t rain out of the time, but showers will be around for time to time.  There could even be a few rumbles of thunder.  By Parade time in Montgomery this evening, I have a 40-50% chance of showers at Parade time.,

The storm system affecting us today, will begin to pull away tomorrow.  Rain chances on Saturday are small but not zero.

 

The forecast Sunday through Tuesday is shaping up very well.  Should be dry, and relatively mild for December.  Small rain chance Wednesday as a Gulf coast storm system brushes by the area.

 

Looks like Winter will go on hold  next week for the entire nation.  Much above normal temperatures.

The 15 day Raw Temps on the EURO model suggests the very mild pattern will continue for at least the next two weeks.  No freezing temperatures indicated.  A very nice break from winter….

THURSDAY UPDATE:  Storm System on the Way – Weekend Forecast Update

Get ready for some more weather changes as a two part storm system approaches the state.  Expect some drenching rains from the first part by tonight and tomorrow morning (the surface system), and a lingering shower threat Friday & Friday night from part two (the upper level system).  A few thunderstorms can’t be ruled out, but we are not expecting any severe weather here.  There could even be a leftover shower or two Saturday.

Here’s set up for this evening and tomorrow morning, showing a multi-faceted storm system.

TODAY:  Cloudy and mild today.  We had a high of 61 yesterday..today I thick we’ll be near 60.  I can’t rule out an afternoon shower in the area.  Becoming breezy with east wind 10-15  today, gusting to 20-25+ tonight.   Rain and perhaps a few thunderstorms are likely.  Low tonight 53.

Here’s a snapshot of 8PM tonight clearing showing Part 1 on our door step, and Part 2 back in Texas, causing a little snow.

‘The Storm Prediction Center is highlighting a severe weather threat today from the ArkLaTex area eastward to the Alabama and NW Florida Gulf coast through 6am Friday.

SATURDAY:  There are many important events on the line.  The list is long. Two of the biggest are Christmas on the Coosa and The Camellia Bowl.  Although the rain chances are not zero, they are very small.  There could be an isolated shower.  Mostly cloudy.  High in the upper 50’s.

THE NEXT FEW DAYS:  After Saturday, the weather is looking pretty nice Sunday through Tuesday.  Storm-free and very comfortable for December.

No video this morning due to the office Christmas party last night.  (I slept a little longer).  But, there WILL be a video online tomorrow morning at 4:45AM.   We’ll take a closer look at that big pattern change next week, as Winter takes a break over the whole country.  Will that pattern still be in place on Christmas Day?  Join me in the morning.  Have a great day today.

Rich