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Rain Exits Later – Colder Air Ahead – Rollercoaster Temperatures

Good Morning!  It’s another wet start to the day across much of the area.  The storm system will ease out of the state by early afternoon, as a shot of colder air funnels into Alabama, on gusty NW winds.  We’ll be in the mid 30’s by tonight, and the upper 20’s tomorrow night.  The chilly air will stay in place for a couple days.  But, expect weekend warming, as another storm system approaches.  Rollercoaster temperatures will give us quite a ride over the next 10 days or so.  Strap yourself in.  

Best chance of rain first half of today. Windy and turning colder this afternoon and much colder tonight.

Rain will dominate the morning hours. The rain will start to exit the state after lunchtime.

Much colder Thursday and Friday. Warmer again this week. Another storm system brings in rain Saturday night and Sunday.

COLDEST morning will be around Dawn Friday with upper 20’s in central Alabama.

The next storm system moves in Saturday night into Sunday. Showers, and maybe some thunderstorms. Very mild Sunday. Upper 60’s.

Strap yourself in. Rollercoaster temperatures over the next 10 days, as January ends and February begins.

TUESDAY Blog Update: More Showers & Storms – Active Pattern Next Few Days

Good Morning…Due to the ongoing nature of the overnight/early morning severe weather risk, I had to switch to a BLOG update, rather than a video, as I continue to monitor the southward progress of a line of storms.  Overnight, there was a tornado touchdown in Jefferson county.  Apparently the most significant damage was in the Fultondale area.  (10:43 PM). 

20+ homes “nearly destroyed” or heavily damaged. There were several warnings issued across north Alabama during the overnight hours.  

SEVERE RISK TODAY:  After 6AM the Severe Threat shifts into southeast Alabama.

The front will move closer to the coast by about Noon.

Behind the line of strong storms, spotty showers are possible from time to time for the rest of the day.  Today’s high 74.

TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY:  Low pressure will develop along the front tonight and Wednesday, which means showers and storms will return northward later tonight and Wednesday. 

NEXT FEW DAYS:   After the rain ends Wednesday mid-day, much cooler air will overspread the state.  Windy & colder Wednesday night and Thursday.  We could fall to upper 20’s by Friday morning.  Warming trend Saturday.   Another storm system will move in Saturday night into Sunday. 

Will the storm system be severe?  Too early to say. 

We’ll get back to the “normalcy” of a full video update tomorrow morning.  Stay Weather aware.

–Rich

Active Pattern Ahead – 3 Storm Systems in the next 7 Days

UPDATE from the Storm Prediction Center: The Marginal Severe Risk has expanded quite a bit and now covers all of the northern half of Alabama through 6AM Tuesday. Main threat, damaging wind gusts. #alwx

EARLY MORNING UPDATE:

Good Morning!   Our late January continues. We’ll be in the 70’s again today and Tuesday.  But, stand by…we have a storm system approaching.  Showers and storms become likely by tonight, and this is the first of 3 storm systems in the next 7 days.  Get ready for a very active and wet pattern. 

Warm day today. Mid 70’s Scattered showers this afternoon. Showers and thunderstorms likely tonight.

Future radar snapshot Tuesday morning at 4:00AM. Could be a couple of stronger storms as the front moves through.

Tuesday night a new wave forms along the front, and a new surge of showers and storms will evolve northward into central Alabama.

After the Wednesday storm system departs, it will turn sharply cooler Thursday and Friday. A freeze Friday morning. Warmer Saturday. Another storm system Sunday.

Some parts of central Alabama could easily see 2-3″+ in the next seven days.

SUNDAY UPDATE: Very Mild Sunday – Active Week Ahead – Two Storm Systems.

     Good Morning!  

TODAY:  Increasing clouds.  Very mild again.  High in the mid 60’s.  (We had a high of 65 yesterday)  We should be dry during the day today.  Widely scattered showers possible tonight. Mild.  Low 56.


NEXT FEW DAYS:   Very warm Monday.   Spotty showers possible during the day. Showers and maybe some thunderstorms become likely by Monday night.  Warm day…high in the mid 70’s.    Another storm system brings in another round of showers by Tuesday Night/Wednesday. Much cooler late week.

Here’s the 10 day model trend. Very mild through Wednesday.  Much cooler Thursday & Friday.  Another warm-up next weekend.

MONDAY STORM SYSTEM:  The main event with this storm system rolls through the state Monday night.  There probably will be some thunderstorms, but the parameters for any possible severe weather appear to be lacking. The best upper level dynamics will be far northwest of Alabama.

Right now, the Storm Prediction Center has not introduced any severe weather threat.  We’ll continue to watch for changes. Check with me on my video in the morning for any changes.

ACTIVE WET PATTERN AHEAD:  There will only be a brief break between storm systems.  More rain and maybe thunderstorms arrive Tuesday night into Wednesday. The two storm systems could produce locally heavy rainfall amounts in the week ahead.  Perhaps 2”+ in spots.

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Have a GREAT Sunday! I’ll have a complete video update in the morning. 

–Rich

SATURDAY UPDATE: Great Saturday – Mild Weekend – Wet, Active Week Ahead

     Good Morning!  The weekend weather news is pretty good.  Temperatures will be mild for January.  (Normal high 58, Low 36)   Today and Sunday we’ll be in the low 60’s. 

    Today should be the best day of the weekend, with a good but of sun.  Clouds roll in for tonight and Sunday.  There will be a small rain chance starting Sunday afternoon.  The better chance of showers and thunderstorms will hold off until Monday and Monday night. 

TODAY:    Patchy dense fog early.  Otherwise, expect a mostly sunny day.  High in the lower 60’s.  (Wind NE 6 to 12 mph)   Increasing clouds tonight.  Not as cold.  Low 45. 

SUNDAY:  Mostly cloudy and mild.  Widely scattered showers possible. High in the lower 60’s. 
 The Map shows a northward moving warm front on Sunday.

NEXT FEW DAYS:   Showers and maybe some thunderstorms become likely by Monday afternoon and Monday night.  Warm day…high in the mid 70’s.  (more below)   Another storm system brings in another round of showers by Wednesday.

Mild for the next 5 days. (above normal)   Then, back to below normal temperatures late next week, Thursday & Friday.  Milder next weekend.

MONDAY STORM SYSTEM:  The main event with this storm system rolls through the state Monday night.  There probably will be some thunderstorms, but the parameters for any possible severe weather are lacking. The best upper level dynamics will be far northwest of Alabama.

Right now, the Storm Prediction Center has not introduced any severe weather threat.  We’ll continue to watch for changes.

ACTIVE WET PATTERN AHEAD:  The Monday and Wednesday storm systems could produce locally heavy rainfall amounts in the week ahead.  Perhaps 2”+ in spots.

I’ll have another Blog update early tomorrow morning.  Enjoy what should be a great Saturday.

–Rich