Good morning! On this Cinco De Mayo expect a very warm day in the low to mid 80’s. Wednesday will likely be the warmest day of the week with upper 80’s. Risk of a few showers Wednesday afternoon & evening. All eyes on our next storm system. Severe weather threat here in Alabama by late Wednesday night and the pre-dawn hours of Thursday. The greatest tornado risk will be across the northwest half of the state. For most of us- the main threat will be damaging wind gusts. On Thursday the Severe Risk shifts to southeast Alabama. There could be some more scattered showers/storms on Friday and on Mother’s Day Sunday. Here’s my brief forecast discussion.
TODAY: Mostly Sunny and warmer. High near 83. South wind at 5 to 10.
(Normal hi/lo 83/58)
TONIGHT: Partly cloudy and milder. Low 62.
NEXT FEW DAYS: Wednesday will likely be the warmest day of the week with upper 80’s. Risk of a few showers Wednesday afternoon & evening. Severe weather threat here in Alabama by late Wednesday night and the pre-dawn hours of Thursday. For most of us- the main threat will be damaging wind gusts. On Thursday the Severe Risk shifts to southeast Alabama. There could be some more scattered showers/storms on Friday and on Mother’s Day Sunday.
MID-WEEK SEVERE THREAT: The greatest threat for Severe Weather here in central Alabama will be in the pre-dawn hours of Thursday morning. Including the risk of damaging winds and tornadoes. There is a level 2 threat over the northwest half of the state. The Marginal Risk extends as far southeast as Troy.
Notice that the greatest Tornado risk in this situation is in west and northwest Alabama.
The front moves through the area Thursday AM on the way to the coast.
Here’s one of the hi-res models (NAM) at 7AM Thursday AM.
EXPECTED RAINFALL: The models are still very bullish that we could see a generous potential rainfall totals over the next 7 days. Fingers crossed.
The 10 Day model Blend Temperature Trend..
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Thanks for reading this Blog this morning. This morning we are LIVE on the radio from 6 to 9 on NewsTalk 93.1. I’ll have another update for you in the 4 o’clock hour tomorrow morning. You can also watch us during our morning show on You Tube and Facebook. Search Newstalk 93.1. Have a nice day.
–Rich