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Latest Forecast

Scattered Relief For the Lucky – TUESDAY Video

Good Morning!  Some lucky communities will get a cooling shower later today, but not every town will get lucky.  Still, though, as you will see on Future radar, you’re chances of seeing one are a little better today. Our “up and down” rain chances will continue.  Our wettest days, though, area still to come.  I’ll show you how rain chances may improve in a big way before this week is over.  Do you have big weekend plans?  We may be dodging a few rain drops.

 

A meandering front will be a big player today.  Along and south of the front, scattered showers and storms will bring cooling relief to a handful of lucky communities.  Good luck!

 

Our “Up and Down”  rain chances continue.  Tomorrow the rain chances are small and the temperature will soar to the mid 90’s   But, look what happens Friday and Saturday (and maybe Sunday, too) as scattered to numerous storms return.

The GFS model suggests that the increased clouds & showers this weekend will knock the high temperatures down a few degrees, but middle 90’s will be back next week, again.

The tropics continue to be amazing quiet.  NHC continues to monitor Invest 98-L way out in the central Atlantic.  Will they waste a name… Ernesto on this system?   Maybe.

 

 

“Up and Down” Rain Chance This Week – MONDAY Video

Good Morning! As we start this new work week, storms will be just a bit more numerous today than over the weekend.  A few towns will see some nice downpours, but not every town.  This will be another week of “up and down” rain chances.  I’ll walk you through the day to day details of which days have the best rain chance.  Plus we’ll look ahead to the weekend, on your Monday morning personal weather briefing.

 

A disturbance brushing by the state today will set the stage for better coverage on those scattered, random afternoon & evening storms today.

“Up and Down” Rain chances for the week ahead.  For instance, the rain chances will be tiny on Wednesday, but the showers will pick up quite a bit in number by Friday and the weekend again.

The Tropics are amazing quiet for the middle of August, with only one “x” on the map in the central Atlantic.

 

On this day in Hurricane history Cat. 4 Hurricane Charely slammed into Punta Gorda, Florida.  That was the first of the Fearsome Foursome in 2004.

 

 

 

SUNDAY UPDATE:  Hot Day Today – “Up and Down” Rain Chance This Week

Are you ready for a hot Sunday?  Looks like today and Wednesday will be the hottest of the next 6 days, with not many storms.  It’ll be another week of “up and down” rain chances as disturbances brush by the state.  No major storm systems to worry about this week, and the tropics remain quiet.   More good meteor shower weather expected late tonight, in case you missed them last night. (more below)

TODAY:   Fog will be dense in spots this morning, But, the sun will burn the fog off before 9.  Sunshine will be in abundant supply, mixed in with a few clouds.  Rain chances will be rather small again…only about 20%.  High in the mid 90’s but the Heat Index will be near 100.  Stay hydrated.  Low tonight 74.

Central Alabama is one of the hottest spots on this map today.

NEXT FEW DAYS: Rain chances get a little better tomorrow as a disturbance brushes by the area.  The days with the lowest rain chance and hottest temperatures will be today & Wednesday.  Rain chances improve again later in the week, as high as 50% by Friday.

TROPICS ARE QUIET:  Although the National Hurricane center has two “x”s on the map, way out in the Atlantic, the tropics are about as quiet as you ever see it in August.  But, remember the example of 1992.  It was a quiet year.  In fact it was August before we had the first named storm.  That storm was Hurricane Andrew.  That’s the point.  Even in a quiet year, it only takes one storm to make it a bad season.  We continue to watch.

PERCEID METEOR SHOWER AGAIN TONIGHT:  Tonight will be the final night of the Perceid Meteor shower “peak”.  The Perceid is one of the best meteor showers of the year.

The best viewing is after Midnight, far away from city lights. You could see as many as 40-50 per hour. They will be just anywhere in the sky, but they will seem to come generally from the northeast sky.

Have a great Sunday!  I’ll have a complete video will be Monday morning by 4:45AM, as we dissect the week ahead.

Rich

SATURDAY UPDATE:  Fewer Storms – “Double Feature” Tonight

After a couple of active storm days, the atmosphere calms down, just in time for the weekend.  Storms will be few and far between, and there will be a good bit of sunshine.  Hopefully, we will see very favorable viewing conditions for the big Double Feature in the sky tonight, including a Space Station Flyover and a Meteor Shower.   Read on.

TODAY:   Considerable clouds early, will give way to a fair amount of sun later.  Any storms that do get going today will be few and far between.  Rain coverage will be maybe 20% in the central counties, to 30% across the southern strip of counties.  High today lower 90’s, which is exactly normal.  Low tonight in the low to mid 70’s.

NEXT FEW DAYS:  Small rain chances are in the cards through the weekend.  An upper level disturbance, may pike the rain chances a little bit.  But, a typical 30% chance will return Tuesday and Wednesday.  Highs will be in the low to mid 90’s.

BEACH FORECAST:  It’s a pretty routine forecast with scattered hit or miss storms around, but most of the time it’ll be dry.  Highs mostly in the upper 80’s  Moderate rip current risk through the weekend.  Gulf water temp. still in the mid 80’s.

DOUBLE FEATURE IN THE HEAVENS TONIGHT:  What a feast!  Viewing conditions are likely to be rather favorable for viewing a particularly spectacular Space Station flyover tonight, followed by the first of two nights when the Perceid Meteor shower will peak.  Skies will be partly cloudy this evening, and mostly clear late tonight.

ISS FLYOVER:  A truly excellent Space Station flyover tonight.  It will be very bright.   Look in the northwest sky at 8:03PM.  It will pass practically overhead, and exit the southeast sky at 8:06 pm.   It disappoints, and it’s always exciting.  The ISS passed overhead, 250+ miles above us, traveling at 17,500 mph, with 6 human astronauts aboard.  It’ll make you smile.

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PERCEID METEOR SHOWER:  One of the BEST meteor showers of the year, the Perceid Meteor Shower will peak Saturday & Sunday night.  The best viewing is after Midnight, far away from city lights.  You could see as many as 40-50 per hour.  They will be just anywhere in the sky,  but they will seem to come generally from the northeast sky. A New Moon will aid in the viewing of the meteors.  Enjoy!  Should be worth your time.

 

Have a nice weekend!  I’m planning another Blog update first thing Sunday morning.  The next complete video will be Monday morning.  Enjoy the free show in the sky tonight.

 

Rich

Potentially Wet/Stormy Today – Fewer Storms This Weekend– FRIDAY Video

Happy Friday!  Once again today, the stage is set for an active day, with scattered to numerous storms.  I’ll show you Future Radar, which looks quite colorful and active.  Do have big weekend plans?  Looks like we may get a little break in the action, especially Saturday, as the number of storms thin out.  I have once again “tweaked” the rain chances for the weekend and into next week.  And, fingers are crossed that the clouds will cooperate tomorrow night, for a big Double Feature in the heavens above.  Watch the video for details.  Have a great weekend!

In the upper atmosphere, that trough of low pressure just to the northwest will be the perfect catalyst for widespread scattered to numerous storms today.

But, tomorrow, that will feature will be gone.  Tomorrow the atmosphere will stabilize.   Storms will be “isolated” in nature.  More sinking air than rising air.

The rain chances are at a low point Saturday.  Then the chances will get a little better late Sunday through Monday, before the chances start to ease back down Tuesday and Wednesday.  We should return to the mid 90’s by the middle part of next week.

Decent 50/50 chance of encountering a thunderstorm down on the coast today and tomorrow, with a slightly smaller chance Sunday.

 

Truly excellent Space Station flyover Saturday night.  It will be very bright.   Look in the northwest sky at 8:03PM.  It will pass practically overhead, and exit the southeast sky at 8:06 pm.  Hopefully the clouds will cooperate.

One of the BEST meteor showers of the year, the Perceid Meteor Shower will peak Saturday & Sunday night.  The best viewing is after Midnight, far away from city lights.  You could see as many as 40-50 per hour.  They will be just anywhere in the sky,  but they will seem to come generally from the NE sky.