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Arctic Airmass Approaches – Big Change – Wednesday Video

We are about to get a little “TASTE” or Arctic Air for a couple of days.  In our area it won’t last long, but it will be the coldest of the season so far.  It will feel like the Christmas season.  I’ll let you know if any storm systems are on the horizon. (We may see two in the next 8 days)  I have the new numbers to share, plus our new 16 day temp outlook will get us into Christmas week. It’s your personal morning weather briefing with your toast and coffee.

 

Sample of Saturday Morning Lows

 

Potential Wind chills could fall to the 19 to 22° range on Friday and Saturday morning.  Gloves, hat scarves needed

SEVERE THREAT NOW VERY MINIMAL through Morning

Good News in the early morning hours!  The severe parameters are MUCH weaker now.  The warm front stayed much farther south, which kept the rich Gulf air from moving northward and engulfing the area.  It appears the best threat for severe weather would be over the extreme south and southeast counties through 6AM.  Meanwhile, after 6AM, the threat of severe weather will exit our state to the east.

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I’ll be working on a regular Tuesday weather video for you, which will be online at 5.  We will look ahead to an Arctic Blast on the way later this week.

Overnight Severe Weather Threat – UPDATED

A northward moving warm front will be one of the key factors tonight, as far as the northward extent of the severe weather threat. A ‘slight risk’covers southeast and south central Alabama.  It extends as far north as about Union Springs.  Farther north a marginal risk extendeds almost to the Birmingham area. Primary threat here in central Alabama would be damaging thunderstorm winds and a small chance of a brief spin up tornado or 2.  In the slight risk area, the tornado threat is slightly higher in the 5% range.  Large hail is also a possibility in some of the stronger storms.

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Early this evening a tornado watch covers the Florida panhandle and affects 3 south AL counties:  Geneva, Houston and Baldwin, until 8PM.

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SEVERE THREAT TIMELINE:  During the evening hours, the best threat will be close to the Florida border, but as the night goes on the prime threat window for severe weather in central Alabama appears best from about 10PM until 6AM.  Here are some future radar snapshots late tonight.

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ADDITIONAL RAINFALL:  Some of us could see another inch to inch and a half of rain, on top of what we have had so far.  The Wiregrass could see 3″+.

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TOMORROW MORNING:  It appears the broken line of storms will exit quickly shortly after sunrise.  We should see some improvement, with partly sunny skies by mid-day.

THURSDAY COLD FRONT:  The next big event will be a strong cold front which will sweep across the area Thursday.  Could be some spotty showers as the front moves through.  Then, breezy & colder.  In fact it will turn much colder Thursday night, with mid to upper 20’s by Friday morning.  Friday’s high will barely reach 44, but the wind will make it seem colder.  The low by Saturday morning will reach the low to mid 20’s.

STAY WEATHER ALERT:  Stay close to your weather app tonight for the latest watches and warnings.  Make sure you allow push notifications.  And, since the storms will arrive while most are sleeping, make sure your weather radio is in the Alert mode, so that it can wake you up.  I’ll be doing my best to update twitter, Facebook, the App blog and the radio during the overnight hours.   Not sure if I will have your regular Tuesday morning video for you.  It depends on the level of activity overnight.  Stay weather alert.  Pass the word about the weather app.

Storm System Part 2 – Severe Weather Threat by Tonight – MONDAY video

Very active weather day/night ahead.  A few strong/severe storms possible by tonight.  Brief tornadoes can’t be ruled out.  On this video, I’ll walk you through the timeline.  What to expect and when.  How much rainfall.  Plus the latest on a big cold blast late in the week.  Coldest of the season, so far, by far.  Feel free to share this video.

 

How much rain could fall?   For many of us, perhaps 1+” on top of what we’ve had.

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Another Significant Storm System — Special Sunday Video

Good Morning!  Another 2-part storm system.  Perhaps some drenching rain in spots between now and mid day Tuesday.  Severe weather can’t be ruled out.  And how about this, cold weather fans?  Maybe some big time cold by the end of the week. This little mini-movie will bring you up to speed on the main points.  I hope you have a great Sunday, despite the damp, chilly day ahead.  I’ll see you in the morning for another video at 5.

Expected Rainfall through Tuesday morning.

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ANOTHER 2 PART STORM SYSTEM LOOMS – Cold Air A Few Days Away

Similar to last week’s storm system, another 2 parter is on the way.  Most concentrated rain between late tonight and early Tuesday.  Could be a severe weather threat again by late Monday/Monday night.  And, cold weather fans: keep reading.  The real-deal kind of cold you’ve been waiting for is just a few days away.

TODAY’S SHOWER THREAT:  Lots of Christmas events are going on today including parades and tree lightings in various cities and towns.  One of them is Millbrook at 2.  Your umbrella may come in handy at times.  A random shower through early afternoon, a better chance of scattered showers as the afternoon wears on. Here’s a few future radar snapshots.

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LATE TONIGHT/SUNDAY AND BEYOND:  Expect a very rainy period beginning late tonight through much of the day Sunday. There could be a lull Sunday night, before part 2 brings a round of rain and thunderstorms Monday afternoon/Monday night into early Tuesday before ending.  How much rain?  Much of the Gulf coast states will be drenched again.  A lot of around here could see between 2.5 and 3.5”.   Combined with last week’s storm, that’s a lot of rain.

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SEVERE WEATHER THREAT:  ‘Tis the season.  Once again parts of central and south Alabama could see a threat of strong to severe storms and a low end tornado threat can’t be ruled out.  We will update this threat tomorrow as we get closer.

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AND THEN COMES THE COLD: Let me wet your appetite, by showing you this map from  CPC showing 6-10 day temps.

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A cold front arrives on Thursday.  By Thursday night, we are likely to fall into the upper 20’s.  Friday will be a raw day, with the high barely reaching 45.  I wouldn’t be surprised if we are in the low 20’s Saturday and Sunday morning.  Get ready.  It arrives late this week and you will need heavy coast next weekend.  We’ll update the cold and the numbers tomorrow.

Have a great weekend!   More about our approaching storm right here tomorrow.  Spread the word about the weather app. Download it before the bad weather gets here.  Search Rich Thomas Weather Network in your app store.

Another 2 Part Storm System Approaches — Friday Video

Happy Friday!  We have a nice day on the way.  But, already we are looking at the next storm system on the way.  It’s another 2  part system over the period of Saturday night into Tuesday.  Could be a very wet system and I can’t rule out severe weather perhaps by Monday night.  I will walk you through the details of the weekend and we’ll look at how much rain could fall over the next week.

 

The drought Monitor may came out yesterday.  This one was prepared Tuesday morning, before the rain from the last storm was calculated into the mid.  This shows 85% of the state in extreme or exceptional drought.  Next Thursday’s map should show a substantial improvement we hopedrought_monitor.

 

VERY ACTIVE PATTERN NEXT 2 WEEKS – Thursday Video

After that 2 part storm system which brought tornadoes and a lot of rain, we are quieting down for a couple of days before our next round.  Looks like a very active pattern over the next 2+ weeks with multiple storm systems.  I’ll update you on the weekend details. And, wait till you see how much rain we may get from this next 2 part storm system.  It’s all here for you, with your toast and coffee.  Your Thursday morning personal weather briefing.

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT – 10:30 Update

The Storm Prediction Center let the Tornado watch for North Central Alabama expire at 10.  The severe weather parameters have slacked off just a bit, at least for now.   However, I would not let your guard down much.  We still have a strong line of storms moving through central Alabama, and conditions are  favorable for additional watches and warnings later, especially as the storms slip southeastward. The greatest threat will be wind damage, but isolated tornadoes are not out of the question.   The storms could will through the metro hour between now at Noon and then eastward into SE Alabama this afternoon.

Here’s a look at Future radar snapshots at Noon and 3PM

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For now, officially, SPC still has us in a slight risk.  That includes most of central and SE Alabama.

At this hour, a Tornado Watch continues for parts of SW Alabama until Noon.

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If you have NOT downloaded our new weather app yet, get it today and allow notifications.  It will be your best friends in severe weather situations!   Latest radar and future radar, hourly forecast, 10 day forecast, access to all my videos, blog posts and tweets too.  Plus LIVE streaming in severe weather.  Search Rich Thomas Weather Network in the App store.