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Late Week Cool Front – Monday Video

Summer heat continues for now.  But, hang on, some nice relief is on the way.  By the weekend you will feel a nice change.  It will feel more like Fall.  I have new numbers to show you that you’re going to like.  Tropical Storm Warning on the Carolina coast.  Hurricane Maria is destined to have an impact on the US coastline by mid week.  It’s all in a nice 2 minute package for you…everything you need to know to get your week started on your Monday morning personal weather briefing.

Today will be another hot day with some widely scattered storms in the PM, and highs at least around 90.  Tonight’s low 70.  Look at that front in the middle of the country heading this way.

Hot days at least through Thursday.  I think Wednesday could be the hottest days of the week.  Relief arrives in two stages by end end of the week into the weekend.

Hurricane Maria will have a close encounter with the United States by mid-week.  Tropical Storm Warning now along the Caroiina coast.  The same trough that will deliver cool air here by the weekend will be the steering mechanism  to take Maria out to sea with a abrupt right turn.

 

The other Hurricane is Lee.  Lee is a “fish storm”.

 

It’s Fall, But Still Feels Like Summer

I know what you want.  But, can you wait for just a few more days?  Some nice air is in our future, but I’m afraid we won’t feel it until next weekend.  But, it’s coming.  Hang on!

On this Blog,  I will detail our steamy weekend forecast, the hot week ahead, the relief on the way, which will come in 2 stages, and how that cold front will be a big player in the future steering of Maria.  Everything works in concert.  It’s all connected.

MORE SUMMER HEAT:  Have you had enough heat?  Well, here’s some more.  We will be in the low to mid 90’s again today…just a like any day in July.  Isolated storms will be around but very spotty next few days.  I think we will be near or above 90 for much of the weekend ahead.  Rain chances will be small.

COOLER, NICER AIR:  An important trough of low pressure in the upper atmosphere will be a BIG player later in the week, not only for our weather, but also as the mechanism that will hopefully pick up Maria and take  her out to sea.  More on Maria in a moment.  Two cool fronts are in our future.  Stage one of the nicer air will knock the temperatures down Friday.  The much nicer Stage 2 cooling will be in place next weekend as we end the month of September.  Much nicer days with lower humidity and pleasantly cool nights will be knocking on the door soon. Be patient!

LATEST ON MARIA:  Latest trends on Maria are making may folks along the US East coast more and more nervous.  Timing is everything.  It appears that nice trough that should steer Maria out to sea, may not “grab” the storm quick enough.  Latest NHC cone and the trends on the spaghetti models have shifted westward, and it appears that portions of the Carolinas may indeed be brushed by Maria.  The extent of Maria’s direct impact on United States is not fully known yet.  Many complicated, subtle factors in the atmosphere will be monitored carefully over the next few days.

 

ELSEWHERE IN THE TROPICS:  Lee has regenerated into a tropical storm, with a track that loops in the eastern Atlantic.  Lee is a “fish storm”.  So, is that it?   Will we get into a quieter pattern soon in the tropics?  Maybe not.  Let me just say this.  Over the next 10 days I will be watching for some sort of development in the warm waters of the western Caribbean.   We’re watching…

Have a great weekend!

–Rich

 

Maria’s Potential Affect on the US – Friday Video

Welcome to the first day of Fall!  But, it will feel like summertime, until we get a nice little break in about a week.  I’ll update the steamy weekend details. Maria is still a powerful hurricane, and everybody is still wondering: How much of an affect Maria could have on the US.  The future steering is complicated.  I’ll run it all down for you.  Do you have a couple of minutes?  This is your Friday morning personal weather briefing.

Storms will be few and far between on this first day of Fall.  Scattered PM storms will fade out after dark.  Highs at or above 90.  Low tonight near 70.   Yesterday we had a sizzling 94.  How about that firs the last full day of summer!

Next few days….We are still about 7-8 days away from some real nice air.

Cold front arrives at the end of next week.  Stage 1 Friday, Stage 2 Saturday.  (Maria will slow up the arrival time)

MUCH nicer Fall Air, begins the last weekend in September, then it hangs around for while.

Now the latest on Powerful Hurricane Maria.   Still a strong Cat 3 with 125 mph winds.   Here’s the NHC cone.

 

 

The future steering of Maria is extremely complicated.  It involves some intricate details, including the future position of stalled Jose, and an approaching trough of low pressure in the upper atmosphere, including it’s speed, and intensity, and track.  Maria, as you can see from the major global models below, certainly may have a significant impact on the weather across the eastern US seaboard next week.

 

Maria is Re-intensifying Again – Special THURSDAY Video

Hurricane Maria gaining strength again as it lashes the Dominican Republic.  What about Maria’s future?  Jose could play a role in the future steering of Maria.  Will look at the projected patch.  Plus, our local weather.  Will you be dodging raindrops over the weekend?  I have tweaked the rain chances.  Best news I have for us involves a cold front about a week away.  Here’s your personal weather briefing for the last day of Summer,

Routine weather day for us.  Hot, humid…lower 90’s.  Widely scattered PM storms.  Not many around.  Heat index near 100.  Low tonight near 70.  Tomorrow a 30% chance of PM storms, but storms will be few and far between over the weekend.

We are about a week away from a very nice, much cooler airmass!

Maria is getting stronger again…back to category 3 status with 115 mph winds, moving NW at 9, raking the coast of the Dominican Republic today and heading close to the Turks and Caicos later.

Jose off the US East Coast could play an important role in the future steering of Maria,  creating a weakness in a ridge of high pressure and hopefully giving Maria a narrow “corridor” to keep it just east of the US coastline next week, but not by much.  A lot of things could go wrong to mess this up.

The Global spaghetti models.

The Euro model next Wednesday.

 

 

Monster Maria Makes Puerto Rico Landfall – Special Wednesday Video

MARIA TERRORIZES PUERTO RICO– SPECIAL WEDNESDAY VIDEO: (8:00 AM 9/20/17)  Hurricane history of the worst kind being made in Puerto Rico now,  I’ll bring you up to date on what’s happening with Monster Maria now and Maria’s potential future.  Will this Dangerous Hurricane affect the United States.  All that, plus an update on our local forecast through the weekend on this Special Wednesday video.

Category 4 made landfall in Puerto Rico at 6:15AM local time, with 155 mph winds.  First Cat 4 landfall since 1932.  Here’s the final radar images from the San Juan radar before the radar failed at 5:06AM.

Now we are relying on Hi-res Satellite images.  Here’s Maria dominating Puerto Rico this morning.

Besides the Cat 4 extreme winds, prolific rainfall and mudslides will create a catastrophic life-threatening situation today.

Jose off the US coastline could be an important player in the future steering of Maria.  It could create just enough of a weakness in the high pressure ridge to facilitate a “corridor” that could keep Maria off the US coastline….maybe.  Many unknown factors,  Here are the global model spaghetti plots.

Our Local Weather will be uneventful next few days.  Today storms will be widely scattered in nature, following that big cluster of evening storms last night.  Today…partly sunny.  High near 90.  Low around 70.  Fall officially begins Friday at 3:02PM.   Here’s the next few days.

Everything is back to normal tomorrow.  My alarm goes off at 2AM, you will have a video posted by 4:45AM.  I’ll be LIVE on the radio tomorrow from 6-9AM on Newstalk 93.1.  Have a good day.  Keep the people of Puerto Rico in your thoughts and prayers.

–Rich