10:00 AM Update:

Few teaks in the tonight’s Severe Risk – with the Level 2 area now extended as far east as the Georgia line. The The 5% Tornado threat did not change much. There could be some mainly embedded tornadoes along a squall line (QLCS). The new SPC Tornado Risk product indicates perhaps up to EF-1 status. Also check out the updated Timing map. Critical overnight hours for many of us.

Good Morning!  The 80+ degree heat continues for one more day before the bottom drops out.  Yesterday Montgomery (MGM) tied another record with 86. Second day in a row.  We’ll be near 85 again today. Alabama’s next Severe event is looming for Wednesday evening and Wednesday night.  The Severe threat covers all of Alabama. The northwest counties have a Level 2 threat.  All modes of Severe Weather are possible including tornadoes. The new SPC Tornado Risk product includes the threat of EF-1 tornadoes overnight.  Thursday will be at least 20-25 degrees colder. We could reach the upper 30’s Thursday Night.  The Big Cool-down won’t last too long.  We’ll rebound to the upper 70’s Saturday and lower 80’s Sunday. But,  Expect another temperature plunge around Monday and Tuesday, St. Patrick’s Day. CHILLY. Rollercoaster temperatures next 10 days.  Here’s my brief video forecast discussion.

TODAY:  Mostly Cloudy .  High 86. (Record 88/1955)  Low 64.  South wind 10 to 15 gusting to 25 mph.

(Normal 71/46)

TONIGHT:   Showers and thunderstorms in the overnight hours.  Some strong/severe.  Low near 50.

Very stormy night ahead.  Calming down first half of the day Thursday.  Then colder. 

SPC Severe Risk through tonight has the Level 2 Severe Risk as far east as a Talladega/Troy line.  All modes of severe weather:  damaging winds, Large Hail, tornadoes. 

The new SPC Tornado Risk product includes the threat of EF-1 tornadoes overnight.  5% risk of any point withing 25 miles.  2% in the Level 1 area.

FUTURE RADAR speaks for itself.   This is the HRRR model.  Very stormy night ahead.  Squall line marches eastward.  (QLCS)  Some storms Severe. Level 2 Severe risk as far east as a Talladega/Troy line. All modes of severe weather including tornadoes. Make sure our weather App has notifications turned on.  Keep it next to you.  Make sure the weather radio is plugged in and in the Alert mode.  Do not trust hearing Tornado Sirens.

Expected rainfall through Sunday.

NEXT FEW DAYS:  Thursday will be at least 20-25 degrees colder. We could reach the upper 30’s Thursday Night.  The Big Cool-down won’t last too long.  We’ll rebound to the upper 70’s Saturday and lower 80’s Sunday. But,  Expect another temperature plunge around Monday and Tuesday, St. Patrick’s Day. CHILLY..

The 10 Day model Blend Temperature Trend.  Crazy rollercoaster temperatures.  Lots of ups and downs.  

Here’s the GFS Ensembles 16 day guidance. 

POLLEN FORECAST:  My car already looks yellow.  Here we go for the next several weeks….

Thanks for reading this Blog this morning. This morning we are LIVE on the radio from 6 to 9 on NewsTalk 93.1.  I’ll have another update for you in the 4  o’clock hour tomorrow morning.  Stay weather aware.

–Rich