Good morning!   Our series of very warm days will come to an end today.  We’ve been in the mid 80’s for five day and today we’ll do it for one more time.  Scattered random showers and thunderstorms will pop up in the afternoon and evening hours . An approaching Cold Front will bring a big change on Easter Sunday. Showers and storms will dominate the forecast in the morning and mid-day hours – shifting to southeast Alabama in the afternoon.  Get ready for a change of climate.  Sunday’s high will struggle to reach 70. Expect jacket weather Sunday night – low in the upper 40’s Sunday night through Tuesday night.  Next week looks storm-free and dry.

TODAY:  Partly sunny, continued warm.  High near 86   Risk of Random scattered mostly late afternoon and evening showers & storms is very small. 

TONIGHT:  Scattered showers and storms possible.  The most concentrated rain chance will be along a line of storms after about 4AM.  Low 64.

EASTER SUNDAY: Showers and storms will dominate the forecast in the morning and mid-day hours – shifting to SE Alabama in the afternoon.  Much cooler.  High near 70.  Upper 40’s Sunday night.

FUTURE RADAR TODAY:  Random PM showers and storms will be a little more common in the afternoon & evening hours today.

FUTURE RADAR SUNDAY:   The main action will be along and ahead of the cold front with showers and storms in a line arriving pre-dawn Easter Sunday.  Showers and storms will dominate the forecast in the morning and mid-day hours – shifting to SE Alabama in the afternoon. 

SEVERE RISK:  Northwest Alabama has the best chance of strong/severe storms.  Level 1 Marginal risk along and north of a Tuscaloosa Birmingham line through 7AM Saturday.

NEXT FEW DAYS:    

The best rain chance will along and ahead of cool front on Easter Sunday morning – through mid-day.  Possibly early afternoon. Then it will turn much cooler behind the front.   Highs near 70 Sunday and lower 70’s Monday/Tuesday. . Lows fall back to the upper 40’s for series of nights –  starting Sunday night.  Next week looks storm-free and Dry.

RAINFALL outlook. No heavy totals are expected. WE NEED RAIN!

The 10 Day model Blend Temperature Trend.  (Normal hi/lo 76/50)

BEACH FORECAST: Looks like a stormy Easter Sunday down at the Beach.  Red flags. High Risk Current Risk.

POLLEN FORECAST:  The pollen forecast remains in the high range especially through the Easter weekend.  Little Better Monday and Tuesday. 

Thanks for reading this Blog this morning. The next scheduled complete Blog update and Video Forecast Discussion is scheduled for the 4 o’clock hour on Monday morning.  Have a great Easter weekend.

-Rich