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SUNDAY UPDATE:  Strong/Severe Storms This afternoon/Evening – Dangerous Heat Index This Week

 

NOON UPDATE:

A severe thunderstorm watch now covers all of central Alabama, as far south as Lowndes, Montgomery and Bullock counties until 7PM. Our Weather App will keep you on top of any warnings for your area. Damaging wind gusts are the main threat.

11:30 UPDATE:

The Storm Prediction Center is monitoring a large portion of central Alabama, for a potential severe thunderstorm watch, as a complex of storms (MCS) over north Alabama migrates southward over the next several hours.  The main threat here in central and south central Alabama could be in the 3 to 7 pm time frame.  

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Good morning!   Yesterday we got a small break from the extreme humidity.  Today, the humidity will be on the rise again.  The heat index will rise to 100 to 105.  That’s the “extreme caution” range.  Dangerous heat indices will return in the week ahead.  Expect a week of intense heat every day.

A complex of storms will move southward across Alabama today.  It will reach central Alabama this evening.  We could see a few stronger storms.

Routine, spotty random scattered storms will be around each day in the week ahead.  A few lucky towns will be cooled down by the spotty storms.

TODAY:  There will be a good bit of sunshine again today.  Hit today.  High 97.  Heat index 100 to 105.  Much of the day will be dry.  But, A complex of strong/severe storms will move southward across Alabama today.  It will reach central Alabama this evening.  A few storms could produce damaging wind gusts.  Much of the state along and west of I-65 is in a Level 2 Severe Risk.  The rest of the state is in a Marginal Risk.

Here’s a Future Radar snapshot at 5:00. This is just a model idea of what the radar might look like, as the complex of storms moves southward into central Alabama.

NEXT FEW DAYS:  The big story will be the intense heat.  Highs in the mid to upper 90’s. Lows at night in the mid 70’s.  The daily heat index will reach the 105 danger range or higher.  We will be close to the Heat Advisory criteria each day.  There will be typical, routine spotty storms each day. Stay hydrated.

THE TROPICS:  Fay is off the map.  The rest of the tropical Atlantic, the Caribbean and the Gulf of Mexico are quiet as a mouse.

I’ll have a complete video update for you tomorrow morning.

Stay safe and well. Enjoy the rest of your weekend …

–Rich

SATURDAY UPDATE:  Hot Weekend – Excessive Humidity & Storms on Sunday

 

Good morning!  There is somewhat better news for today, in that the humidity will not be as high as yesterday.  So, no heat advisory today, and radar should be quiet.  No storms.

All of that will change on Sunday, though.  The humidity will make a big comeback and there could be a few strong to severe storms in the afternoon & evening.  The heat index will rise above the 105 danger level again.

No doubt about it, the week ahead will be very hot and we’ll be close to Heat Advisory criteria for much of the week. Scattered storms.

TODAY:   A good bit of sunshine.  Not as humid as Friday, but still hot.  High in the mid 90’s.  The heat index may stay below 100.  Most towns will be dry today and tonight.  Low tonight 71.

SUNDAY:  Hot and humid again.  High 97.  Heat index above the 105 danger range.  Scattered thunderstorms will develop.  A Few storms could reach severe limits with damaging wind gusts possible.  Our weather app will alert you to any warnings.  There is a Marginal Severe Risk, roughly from about Noon to 8PM.

NEXT FEW DAYS:  Hot week ahead.  Highs well up in the 90’s.  The heat index could be above 105 most days.  A heat advisory is possible.  Scattered thunderstorms will cool down a few lucky towns.

BEACH FORECAST:  Pretty typical July weekend Beach forecast.  Highs in the upper 80’s to near 90.  Widely scattered storms.  Low rip current risk today and tomorrow.

TROPICS:  Post Tropical Cyclone Fay is located not too far from Albany, NY. Moving north at 17, causing heavy rain in the northeast.  The rest of the tropics are quiet.

I will have another Blog update tomorrow morning.  Follow me on Twitter:  @RichThomasWX.   Stay safe and well.

-Rich

Dangerous Heat Indices This Weekend – Spotty Storms Each Day – FRIDAY Video

Happy Friday!   Alabama will be heating up in a big way …over this weekend and beyond.  Dangerous heat.  Scattered storms will pop up each day and cool some lucky towns, but the storms will be far fewer in number than earlier this week.  I have updated the weekend weather details for here and the coast.  We’ll look ahead to next week.  And, I have an update on Tropical Storm Fay as it moves up the East Coast.

 

Heat Advisory today.  Dangerous heat index of 105 or higher.

The heat will continue to expand eastward.  Dangerous heat this weekend.

The big story for the next several days will be the intense heat.  Scattered random storms each day.

Just a sample of some of the dangerous heat indices Sunday…

Much better weekend Beach Forecast than last weekend.

Because Tropical Storm Fay will hug the coast…not much intensification is expected.  The rest of the tropics are quiet.

Fewer Storms – Hotter Days – Sizzling Weekend – THURSDAY Video

Good Morning!  Our weather pattern is evolving.  There will still be storms around, some with heavy downpours, but there will be fewer storms on the radar each day, and temperatures will be a little hotter every day.  The Heat Index will reach the danger range over the weekend and beyond.  On this video, I’ll update on the Hot weekend details.  The rain chances have been updated for here and the coast.  Plus, I have the latest on Invest 98, which could become a Tropical Depression or Tropical Storm Today.

 

Storms will not be not quite as numerous today.  Highs will reach 90 or above.  The heat index will be near 100.

There will still be some random heavy downpours roaming around, but not as numerous as earlier in the week.

As that Upper High Pressure Ridge expands eastward…the heat will build Friday and over the weekend.

Scattered storms but fewer storms.  Hotter days.  Very humid.  Triple digit heat index.

The Danger Range on the Heat index begins at 105.  We will be above that level over the weekend and into next week.

Incest 98-L on the North Carolina coast  will emerge into the Atlantic.  It’s likely to become a Tropical Depression or maybe even Tropical Storm Fay later today.

More Storms Today – Fewer Storms Late Week – Heat Builds This Weekend – WEDNESDAY Video

Good Morning!  Rinse and repeat… Today will be another day with widespread showers and storms.  There will be locally heavy downpours again.  But, our pattern will be evolving.  Storms will thin out in coverage Thursday, Friday and over the weekend.  Meanwhile, fewer showers means more sun and our will build.  We are headed for potentially dangerous heat indices over the weekend.  I have adjusted the daily rain chance for here and the Gulf coast beaches.  We’ll check the tropics including Invest 98-L.

 

 

One again today…at atmosphere is primed for action.  Showers and storms will be numerous, again…just like the last three days.

Numerous but random showers and storms.  Local tropical downpours.

Storms will thin out in number late week and into the weekend as intense heat expands eastward into Alabama.

Fewer storms and hotter days ahead.

Heat index near the 105 danger range this weekend.

Invest 98-L over the Carolinas could become a Depression over the Atlantic and eventually, perhaps, Tropical Storm Fay.