Good morning! The front that brought the rain is now parked in southeast Alabama.  There could be a few leftover showers and storms today, but they will be very isolated in nature.  By tonight, and over the weekend, expect lower humidity and much nicer air.  Highs over the weekend will be in the 80’s with cooler low to mid 60’s at night. In the Tropics Invest 94-L could eventually become Imelda and perhaps have a substantial impact in the Southeast states in the coming days. Here’s my brief video forecast discussion.

TODAY:  Sun/cloud mix.  There could be a few leftover showers and storms today, but they will be very isolated in nature.  High in the mid 80’s. Nicer air will move in overnight.  Low 64.

FUTURE RADAR:  The best chance of spotty showers today will be south of I-85 and east of I-65.

NEXT FEW DAYS:  By tonight and over the weekend expect lower humidity and much nicer air.  Highs over the weekend will be in the 80’s with cooler low to mid 60’s at night.  Drey weather will dominate the forecast through mid-week.

Here’s Future Rainfall through Tuesday.  Look at the Carolinas.  Future Imelda could have a significant impact.

Here’s the 10 Day Temperature Trend.  Ready for some more reasonable temperatures?

DROUGHT MONITOR:   Here’s the new drought monitor map, which comes out every Thursday. (Based on data through Tuesday). Not good. 95% of our state has some level of drought. 46% moderate drought or higher. Even severe drought in spots in west and East Central Alabama.

TROPICAL OUTLOOK:  

Humberto is growing stronger in the Atlantic and could eventually become a major hurricane over the weekend. 

In front of Humberto, Invest 94-L, with an 90% chance of development could become a Depression later today as it approaches the SE Bahamas.  Eventually this system will get the name Imelda and will likely threaten the SE US.  NHC says:

While there is significant uncertainty in the long-range track and intensity of the system, the chances of wind, rainfall, and storm surge impacts for a portion of the southeast U.S. coast during the next several days are increasing. Interests in this area should also monitor the progress of the system.

The Tropical Spaghetti models are disturbing.  This looks to be the biggest threat of the SE US so far this system.

The EURO model Ensembles Member Lows Map indicate potential trouble for the Southeastern US Coastline.  So far, the biggest potential  US threat of the season. 

Thanks for reading the blog. Today everything is normal including LIVE on the Radio of NewsTalk 93.1 WACV.  There will be another video forecast discussion and Blog Update in the 4 o’clock hours tomorrow morning.  You can always find my forecast updates hourly on the 8 station Bluewater family of stations every day of the year.

–Rich