Good morning!  This seemingly endless hot and very dry September pattern continues.  There has been no measurable rain at the airport in the last 20 days.  We have been 90+ for 12 days straight.  The 90+ forecast continues through at least Sunday, if not longer. (Normal 89/67)  It’s not out of the question we could see some isolated showers or thundershowers over the Sunday through Tuesday, but chances are very remote.  Basically, we will be storm-free for several more days. Here’s my brief video forecast discussion.

TODAY:  Sunshine. Hot & dry.  Still Tolerable humidity.  High in the low 90’s.  Rain chance 10-15%. Mainly clear and still comfortable tonight.  Low 66.   (Normal hi/Lo 89/67)

Could there be a shower somewhere today. Perhaps. Rain chance under 20%. Here’s the WRF model at 3:45 PM. Good luck.

NEXT FEW DAYS:   Hot Dry days will continue.   The 90+ forecast continues through at least early next week if not longer.  It’s not out of the question we could see some isolated showers or thundershowers over the Sunday through Tuesday, but chances are very remote.  The nights are comfortable in the 60’s.   

Uh oh.  Those dewpoints that we have been enjoying will be rising.  We don’t like that 70+ level.  Ouch.  Thursday and Friday look particularly uncomfortable.

Here’s the projected rainfall through the next 7 days.  Obviously, not much.  The new Drought Monitor Map comes out tomorrow.

Here’s the 10 Day Temperature Trend.  I don’t see any Fall cool-down yet.

TROPICAL OUTLOOK:  Invest 92-L in the Tropical Atlantic  has a 90% chance of development.  It’s expected to become a tropical depression maybe today, and then very likely tropical storm Gabrielle. 

There’s an Area to Watch in the far east Tropical Atlantic as a tropical wave comes off Africa.

Here’s what the EURO says about the next 10 days.  There is a high probability of a Tropical storm.  Almost certainly.  

Here’s the EURO Ensemble Member Lows  outlook through the next 10 days.  Right now, the central Atlantic looks like a hot bed.  We also notice The Bahamas and the Gulf, too.    

FALL COUUNTDOWN:  The Autumnal Equinox is now just 5 days away. The first official day of Fall:  Mon, Sep 22, 2025, 1:19 PM

Thanks for reading the blog. Today everything is normal including LIVE on the Radio of NewsTalk 93.1 WACV.  There will be another video forecast discussion and Blog Update in the 4 o’clock hours tomorrow morning.  You can always find my forecast updates hourly on the 8 station Bluewater family of stations every day of the year.

–Rich