Good morning!  The seemingly endless hot and very dry September pattern continues.  There has been no measurable rain at the airport in the last 19 days.  We have been 90+ for 11 days straight.  The 90+ forecast continues through at least Sunday, if not longer.  It’s possible we may see some isolated showers or thundershowers over the weekend, but don’t bet the farm.  Basically, we will be storm-free for several more days. Here’s my brief video forecast discussion.

TODAY:  Sunshine. Hot & dry.  Still Tolerable humidity.  High in the low 90’s.  Mainly clear and still comfortably cool tonight.  Low 66. (Normal hi/Lo 90/67)

Isolated north Alabama showers? Good luck.

NEXT FEW DAYS:   Hot Dry days will continue.   The 90+ forecast continues through at least Sunday, if not longer.  It’s possible we may see some isolated showers or thundershowers over the weekend, The nights are comfortable in the 60’s.   Fortunately, humidity is still fairly tolerable.  s.

Here’s the projected rainfall through Sunday.  Isolated weekend showers?

Here’s the 10 Day Temperature Trend.  No cool air anytime soon

TROPICAL OUTLOOK:  Invest 92-L in the Tropical Atlantic now has a 90% chance of development.  It’s expected to become a tropical depression soon, and then very likely tropical storm Gabrielle. 

There’s a new area to watch in the far east Tropical Atlantic as a tropical wave comes off Africa.

Here’s what the EURO says about the next 10 days.  There is a high probability of a Tropical storm

Here’s the EURO Ensemble Member Lows  outlook through the next 10 days.  Right now, the central Atlantic looks like a hot bed.  We also notice the southwest Gulf. 

AMAZING HURRICANE ANNIVERSARY DATE:   An incredible day on the calendar in Alabama. Hurricane Ivan made landfall in 2004 and Hurricane Sally in 2018, both crossing the coastline very close to Gulf Shores. 

Hurricane Ivan was a historic Category 3 hurricane that made landfall near Gulf Shores, Alabama, on September 16, 2004, with 120 mph winds, causing over $14 billion in damage to the U.S. The storm impacted 18 states and was one of the costliest and deadliest hurricanes in U.S. history, with the name Ivan eventually retired. Hurricane Ivan spawned a record-breaking tornado outbreak, producing 127 confirmed tornadoes across the eastern United States, extending from Alabama to Pennsylvania. This was the largest tornado outbreak associated with a tropical cyclone in U.S. history at that time.

Hurricane Sally made landfall in Gulf Shores, AL at 5am on Wednesday, September 16th as a strong Category 2 hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 105 mph. Sally produced widespread wind, storm surge, and freshwater flooding across coastal AL and the western Florida Panhandle. Flood and wind damage also extended well inland into inland portions of southwest Alabama and south-central Alabama. Sally was an extremely slow-moving hurricane, which prolonged and exacerbated the local impacts. The storm was moving at less than 5 mph at the time of landfall, resulting in a long duration of tropical storm and hurricane force winds, storm surge, and torrential rainfall.

FALL COUUNTDOWN:  The Autumnal Equinox is now just 6 days away. The first official day of Fall:  Mon, Sep 22, 2025, 1:19 PM

Thanks for reading the blog. Today everything is normal including LIVE on the Radio of NewsTalk 93.1 WACV.  There will be another video forecast discussion and Blog Update in the 4 o’clock hours tomorrow morning.  You can always find my forecast updates hourly on the 8 station Bluewater family of stations every day of the year.

–Rich