Good Morning!  Spring-time in February continues.  Today and Friday will be just a few degrees cooler than yesterday, but not much.  Nights will be chilly but near normal. It’s a quiet, nice forecast through Friday.  There’s a lot riding on the Valentine’s weekend forecast, and the news is getting better for Saturday.  There could be some isolated showers in the afternoon and Saturday evening, but mainly dry and comfortable. Showers and storms are most likely starting in the overnight hours Saturday night and especially on Sunday.  Based on the latest model runs, there’s a good chance some of the storms could be strong to severe.  Rainfall amounts could be locally heavy.  Here’s my Video Forecast Discussion.

TODAY:   Sunshine.  High in the upper 60’s to near 70.  Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph.

(Normal 64/39)

TONIGHT:   Mainly clear.  Chilly.  But, close to normal.  Low near 40.

NEXT FEW DAYS:  Friday will be quiet and nice.  High near 70.  There could be some isolated showers in the afternoon and Saturday evening, but mainly dry and comfortable. Showers and storms are most likely starting in the overnight hours Saturday night and especially on Sunday.  Some storms could be strong to severe.  Rainfall could be heavy.

Potential Rainfall through Sunday. The models have backed off on the totals just a little bit.

The 10 Day model Blend Temperature Trend.  Winter is on hold for now.

Here’s the EURO 16 day Ensemble temperature outlook.  No Arctic Air is indicated in the next 16 days.  Fingers crossed.

On this day in TORNADO history:  Montgomery’s WORST Day ever… Deadly F3 tornado. February 12, 1945. 5:18 PM. 26 dead. Hundreds injured. he storm occurred around 5:18 p.m., Destroying roughly 100 homes—particularly in the Chisolm community—along a 13-mile path. It was part of a larger, deadly mid-February outbreak. 

Key details of the 1945 Montgomery tornado:

• Damage: The tornado, along with other storms in the outbreak, caused massive destruction to homes, warehouses, and a freight train.
• Location: The funnel hit the Chisolm community and moved through the northern part of the city.
• Observation: The U.S. Weather Bureau described it as perhaps the “most officially observed” tornado in history at that time, as it passed within roughly two miles of multiple official, radar-equipped, and military observation areas.
• Context: The event was part of a broader, lethal Alabama outbreak that killed dozens across the state. 

The 1945 tornado remains the most significant and deadliest in Montgomery’s history, with no equivalent in intensity until a 1984 tornado. 

DAYS TILL SPRING:  36 days!

Thanks for reading this Blog this morning. This morning we are LIVE on the radio from 6 to 9 on NewsTalk 93.1.  I’ll have another update for you in the 4 o’clock hour tomorrow morning.  Have a nice day.

–Rich