Good Morning!  Alabama and the rest of the southeast US will be locked into a very active and occasionally wet pattern for the next several days as a series of storm systems parade across the South.  This scenario could affect a lot of plans for the Mother’s Day weekend.  Be flexible with your outdoor plans for here and the Gulf coast. There will be several dry hours. Much of today will be nice but there is a Marginal Severe risk this evening across the area. See below.  Highs will be held down to the mid 70’s over the weekend due to clouds and showers. Here’s my brief forecast discussion.

 TODAY:  Isolated showers/storms possible during the day.Scattered showers and thundershowers more likely by late afternoon and into tonight.  A few stronger storms are possible.  Marginal Severe Risk. Probabilities only 30% daytime and 40% tonight.   High 85.  Southwest wind 6 to 12 mph.  Low tonight 65.

Wet at times over the next few days, but not all the time.

The Storm Prediction Center has a Marginal Risk for all of us today and a Level 2 Risk for north Alabama. Because of cold air aloft, some of the storms could produce large hail, especially in north Alabama. The main risk is damaging wind gusts.  Tomorrow the Severe Risk shifts to southeast Alabama.

Here’s the Timing Map for the severe weather risk this evening.

NEXT FEW DAYS:  Scattered showers and thunderstorms will be around each of the next several day through early next weekend.  It’s not going to rain all the time.  There will be several hours of dry weather.  Highs will be held down to the mid 70’s by clouds and showers over the weekend.  Lows at night in the 60’s.  Rain probabilities will be in the 60% range each day through the weekend, and a little higher by Monday.

Parts of the Southeast US will see drenching rainfall totals over the next 6 days.

Here’s the 10 day model blend temperature trend.  Highs will be held down to the mid 70’s by clouds and showers over the weekend.  But check out those numbers for May15th and beyond.

BEACH OUTLOOK:  Scattered showers and thunderstorms will be around from time to time over the Mother’s Day weekend.  There will also be several dry hours.  Highs in the upper 70’s.  Gulf water temperature 78.  High Rip Current risk especially from about Destin eastward.

Thanks for reading the blog. Today everything is normal including LIVE on the Radio of NewsTalk 93.1 WACV.  There will be another video forecast discussion and Blog Update in the 4 o’clock hours tomorrow morning.  You can always find my forecast updates hourly on the 8 station Bluewater family of stations every day of the year.

–Rich