Good Morning! Today will be another very chilly January day with a high near 50 – and it’s back to the upper 20’s tonight. If we get to 60 Wednesday, it’ll seem like a heat wave. Risk of spotty showers begins Wednesday Night and Thursday, with an increasing chance Friday. While rain is likely Saturday there is growing concern over a potential multi-state weekend winter storm, with unknown potential multiple impacts. There are more questions than answers in this highly complex situation. How far south would the Winter Weather impacts extend? All we know is, there will be plenty of cold air available, overriding an ample supply of moisture. Stay tuned, as we continue to dissect the future details of this potential Southern Winter Storm. There is MUCH more detail in today’s Blog. Please read today’s whole blog carefully. Detailed graphics.
59 days till the start of Spring. Here’s my brief video forecast discussion.
TODAY: Sunny, with a high near 50. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
TONIGHT:
Mostly clear, with a low around 28.
NEXT FEW DAYS: If we get to 60 Wednesday, it’ll seem like a heat wave. Risk of spotty showers begins Wednesday Night and Thursday, with an increasing chance Friday. While rain is likely Saturday. But, then the big question. Will we have to deal with Winter Weather Impacts this weekend? Read more below.
WEEKEND WINTER STORMS THREAT?: There is growing concern over a potential multi-state weekend winter storm, with potential multiple unknown impacts. There are more questions than answers in this highly complex situation. How far south would the Winter Weather impacts extend? All we know is, there will be plenty of cold air available, overriding an ample supply of moisture. This graphic below from National Weather Service and it will continue to be refined and updated all week. It shows the probability of Winter impacts –ranging from 20% in the US 80/I-85 corridor to 90% in Northwest Alabama.
Low pressure will develop along the Texas Gulf coast and slide eastward across a Gulf coast frontal system. Meanwhile, plenty of Arctic air will be in place.
But, what kind of impacts? The models are all over the place. DON’T TAKE ANY OF THIS TO THE BANK. It’s only Tuersday. Many factors could change that could affect the situation. Each day we’ll know more.
WORST case scenario would be ice accumulation. 1/10” would be terrible for travel. .25”+ would be severe, and could cause power outages.
Keep in mind. Many of us reading this blog may not have any frozen weather issues AT ALL. Might be all liquid for a lot of folks across the southern half of our state.
Here’s the model blend 10 day temperature trend. Get ready for an another disappointing extended Arctic Pattern starting this weekend starting this weekend through next week.
Here’s the EURO 16 day Ensemble temperature outlook. (Normal 60/36).
DAYS TILL SPRING: 59 days!
Thanks for reading this Blog this morning. This morning we are LIVE on the radio from 6 to 9 on NewsTalk 93.1. I’ll have another update for you in the 4 o’clock hour tomorrow morning. Have a nice day.
–Rich