8:55 PM Saturday Night Update:
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY: 8 southeast Alabama counties. …WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO NOON CST SUNDAY… * WHAT…Snow expected. Total snow accumulations up to one inch. * WHERE…Barbour, Pike, and Russell Counties. Also: Coffee, Dale, Henry, Geneva and Houston counties * WHEN…From 3 AM to noon CST Sunday. * IMPACTS…Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road conditions. #alwx
Good Morning! It’s been wet in the overnight hours as a band of showers moves through ahead of a Cold Front. Risk of scattered showers moving out very early. Then, another small risk of showers by late afternoon and tonight into the overnight hours. Then, breezy and colder. There’s more Arctic air ahead. Sunday high 44. MLK Day – Monday high only near 50.
Coldest nights will be Sunday night, Monday night and Tuesday night with low to mid 20’s. Next risk of showers: Wednesday night and Thursday.
TODAY: Mostly cloudy. High 55. Risk of scattered showers moving out very early. Then, another small risk of showers by late afternoon and tonight into the overnight hours. Then, breezy and colder. Low 31. (That risk of a wintery mix – almost is almost zero here. Slightly better chance in extreme SE Alabama, but no accumulation is expected.
Exactly ONE SE Alabama county — Henry county will be under a Winter Weather Advisory for Sunday morning from 3AM-11AM. * WHAT…Light snow expected. Total snow accumulations up to one inch. * WHERE…Portions of southeast Alabama and south central and southwest Georgia. * WHEN…From 4 AM EST /3 AM CST/ to noon EST /11 AM CST/ Sunday. * IMPACTS…Light accumulations will mainly be confined to grassy surfaces. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS…Where light accumulations occur on Sunday morning, it will be mainly on grassy surfaces. Little to no accumulation is expected on roadways. Sunday afternoon temperatures will reach the 40s, so any accumulations will have the opportunity to melt away #alwx
NWS SAYS: Current forecast data remains mostly the same in terms of the overall chance for wintry weather and snow accumulations along and south of the I-85 corridor: LOW.
Model guidance trends during the day today have continued the drier trend for the most part, with probabilities of 20 to 30 percent of anything accumulating over 1/4 of an inch south of the I-85 corridor including locations such as Troy, Eufaula, and Phenix City. Warm ground temperatures will also prevent a lot of accumulation as well, IF we get enough moisture to make it to the surface. We’ll continue to watch the latest guidance trends over the next 24 hours and if anything changes, you’ll be the first to know!
NEXT FEW DAYS: More arctic air ahead. Sunday high 44. MLK Day – Monday high only near 50. Coldest nights will be Sunday night, Monday night and Tuesday night with low to mid 20’s. Next risk of showers: Wednesday night and Thursday.
Here’s the model blend 10 day temperature trend. Two Arctic set-backs. Sunday and Tuesday. Some very cold nights ahead.
Here’s a peak at the EURO 16 day Ensemble outlook.
SNOWSTORM ANNIVERSARY: There are many big weather anniversaries in January. Do you remember this day in 2018? It was a Wednesday. Several inches of snow fell here in central Alabama. The snow on the roads eventually turned to a sheet of ice. Lots of schools and business closed for a couple of days.
Thanks for reading this Blog this morning. The next scheduled complete Blog update and Video Forecast Discussion is scheduled for the 4 o’clock hour on Monday morning. Have a great weekend.
-Rich