11:30 AM Update:
Unfortunately, SPC has upgraded the Tues/Tuesday night Severe Risk for most of us. Level 2 out of 5 for most of us. Main threats Damaging winds and Large Hail. Brief isolated tornadoes. Mostly afternoon and evening for the main threat. It’s uncanny how many Thanksgiving Weeks involve a Severe Threat. Many, many.
Good Morning! Weather changes are on the way for this holiday week, but not right away. Today with be a great travel day with lots of sun and highs in the upper 70’s. A Tuesday storm system will bring the risk of strong/severe storms to the state. SPC has issued a Marginal Severe Weather Risk covering north and central Alabama through Tuesday night. Damaging winds and hail will be the main threat. Isolated tornadoes can’t be ruled out. A big temperature drop will follow starting Wednesday. Wednesday night will be Colder in the 30’s. Thanksgiving will be chilly with highs in the 50’s. It will be quite cool though Iron Bowl weekend with Cold nights. (Normal hi/lo 67/41) Here’s my brief video forecast discussion.
TODAY: Patchy Fog early, Mostly sunny, with a high near 78. TONIGHT: A 30 percent chance of showers after midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 59.
NEXT FEW DAYS: Tuesday storm system will bring showers and thunderstorms by afternoon, more likely by evening and Tuesday night. Some storms strong/severe. It will turn sharply cooler. By Wednesday night we’ll be in the 30’s. Thanksgiving will be chilly with highs in the 50’s. We’ll be close to a freeze by Black Friday dawn. It will be quite cool though Iron Bowl weekend with Cold nights. (Normal hi/lo 67/41)
SPC has issued a Marginal Severe Weather Risk covering north and central Alabama through Tuesday night. Damaging winds and large hail will be the main threats. Isolated tornadoes can’t be ruled out.
It could be a multi-round severe event Tuesday — Just about anytime from late Tuesday morning through Tuesday night. Our weather app will keep you on top of the action.
That Tuesday frontal system will bring the storms then a big cool-down on Wednesday. By Wednesday night we’ll be in the 30’s.
FUTURE RADAR: There could be multiple rounds of showers & storms Tuesday. Some of the strongest storms, perhaps would be Tuesday evening and Tuesday night.
Here’s expected rainfall through Wednesday. Hopefully at least SOME much needed rain.
Here’s the 10 Day Model Temperature Trend. Much cooler air will arrive by Wednesday night. It will be much cooler Thanksgiving into Black Friday and Iron Bowl weekend. Expect a recovery during the first week of December.
THANKSGIVING: Breezy and quite cool. Mostly sunny. Morning low 38. Daytime high only 56. Low Thursday night 32.
IRON BOWL: The biggest game of the year in Alabama will take place in Auburn this season, kicking off at 6:30 p.m. on Saturday, November 29. The forecast calls for clear, cold conditions, with temperatures dropping through the 40s during the game. Saturday’s high in Auburn 55. Low Saturday night 40.
Then the next storm system could bring more showers and storms next Sunday. That’s a big travel day.
Thanks for reading this Blog this morning. This morning we are LIVE on the radio from 6 to 9 on NewsTalk 93.1. I’ll have another update for you in the 4 o’clock hour tomorrow morning. Have a nice day.
–Rich