Cooler Days – Chilly Nights – TUESDAY Video

Good Morning!   Cooler air is funneling in behind the storm system which brought severe weather to the state yesterday.  Look for a couple of cooler days and chilly nights, before we start to warm up.  On this video, we’ll look ahead to the next storm system which arrives this weekend.  Could this be the first of several storms in a row?  Looks like an active pattern as March ends and April begins.  We’ll take a peek over the horizon at what looks like a potentially busy period.

 

 

Cool days and Chilly nights are on the menu until a late week warm-up takes us back to the 70’s   Showers and thunderstorms return by Saturday night/Sunday.

Thirty-seven severe weather reports from Monday, including large hail and wind damage. Notice how Alabama was clearly in the bulls-eye on the severe weather yesterday. Busy day. Lots of warnings. Fortunately, this time, no tornadoes.

 

No relief at all for allergy sufferers.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH till 9PM

 

Severe Thunderstorms Watch till 9PM. Large hail and damaging wind gists are the main threat.

 

 

Good Morning!  The first storm system in more than 10 days will affect the state today with a Severe Weather Threat.  Some supercell thunderstorms could produce wind damage and perhaps large hail.  On this video, I have the latest threat level from the Storm Prediction Center.  We’ll look at the potential time window.  It looks we are easing into more active pattern with perhaps 4 storm systems in the next 15 days.  Are we done with cold nights?   Maybe not.  I’ll show you a few nights that need to be watched.

 

Approaching Cold Front will be the catalysis for strong to severe storms today.

The Storm Prediction Center has gone up a notch on the severe weather risk in central Alabama this afternoon this afternoon and this evening.  The primary threats in this situation are damaging wind gusts and large hail.  The primary threat window will be about 1PM to 8PM.  Particularly late afternoon and early evening.   The tornado threat is slim in this situation.

Cooler air is on tap behind the front.  Chilly mornings on Wednesday and particularly Thursday morning.  Nice warm-up Thursday & Friday.  Next storm system this weekend.

Showers and thunderstorms return by Saturday evening and Saturday night.  Too early to say if there will be a severe weather threat.

Raw numbers off the Euro model suggest a couple of mornings in the 30’s are possible by about April 1 & 2nd.

SUNDAY UPDATE:  Nice Today – Risk of a Few Strong/Severe Storms Monday

It has been a great extended stretch of quiet, storm-free days.  Today is Day 10, and the final day.   An approaching frontal system will be a round of showers and storms to the state tomorrow.  It’s possible there could be a few stronger, potentially severe storms during the afternoon and early evening.  Details below.

Another shot of cooler air will follow the front.  Much of the rest of the week will be dry until Friday Night/Saturday when the next storm system approaches.

TODAY:   Looks like another great day.  Abundant sunshine.  The warm-up continues.  High today near 80.  Winds will be light out of the south.  Increasing clouds, but dry tonight.  Not as cool.  Low 54.

MONDAY’S SEVERE RISK:  The frontal system approaching the state tomorrow, will arrive at the right time, tomorrow afternoon, to work with some “juicy” air.  A few super-cell thunderstorms are possible.  Damaging wind gusts up to 60 mph and large hail, up to ping pong size will be possible in the stronger storms.   The tornado threat in this situation is very low.  The greatest risk window will be from 1:00 to 8:00 PM.  All of central and much of south Alabama are included in then higher risk zone.

NEXT FEW DAYS:   After the Monday storm system, cooler air is on tap Tuesday & Wednesday with highs in the 60’s.  The two coolest mornings will be Wednesday and Thursday, with lower 40’s  It will warm up Thursday and Friday, well into the 70’s.  Storm system arrives by Saturday.

POLLEN FORECAST:  The pollen count continues in the very high range today.  It will be a notch or two lower Monday and Tuesday, before returning to the high range later in the week.

I’ll have a complete video update Monday morning.  I’ll have more details of the potential for strong storms Monday afternoon & evening. Have a great day today.

–Rich

SATURDAY UPDATE:  Perfect First Spring Weekend – Monday Storm System

We are enjoying a nearly perfect First Weekend in Spring.  This will be the ninth storm-free day in a row, which has been a rare treat in the month of March – a month that has brought so many tornadoes to our state.  It appears our storm-free days will  continue through Sunday. This is great news for the thousands on Spring Break. Temperatures, which have been below-normal, are starting to moderate.  Montgomery had a high of 72 on Friday.  We’ll be warmer today and Sunday, after some chilly mornings.  Showers and thunderstorms return on Monday.

TODAY:   Just about perfect.  Chilly morning.  But, with nearly total sunshine, temperatures will rise to the middle 70’s, with relatively light northeast wind at 5 to 10.  Cool again tonight.  Low 47.  Sunrise at 6:47, sunset at 6:58.

NEXT FEW DAYS: Sunday will be the last text-book perfect day in this long series.  High in the upper 70’s.  Showers and storms are likely Monday.  It will be cooler Tuesday and Wednesday, with highs in the 60’s and some chilly mornings.  It will start to warm again by late week. Another storm system will arrive by the next weekend (March 30/31).

MONDAY STORM SYSTEM:  So far, there is no clear indication that this will be a severe weather threat.  There’s just not evidence at this time.  Showers and thunderstorms are likely, as a front approaches.  The front moves through Monday evening/Monday night.  Cooler air is on tap Tuesday.  Here’s the map set-up on Monday morning at 7:00AM.

BEACH FORECAST:  While temperatures have been somewhat cool, the weather has been otherwise spectacular.  (Yesterday’s high in Gulf Shores was 73, Destin 71)   Not much change today & tomorrow.  Sunshine will be abundant.  Northeast wind 10 to 15.  Seas 1 to 2 feet.  Rip current risk is listed as low.  Gulf water is chilly.  The average buoy temperatures are around 65.

 POLLEN FORECAST:  The news continues pretty awful.  The pollen count remains in the high to very high range through the next few days.

– –

I’ll have another blog update on Sunday morning, early.  Enjoy the nearly perfect weekend forecast!

-Rich

Stage Set For Perfect Weekend – FRIDAY Video

Happy Friday!  We will be nearing the end of our string of storm-free days soon.  But, not yet.  Timing is everything, and the timing is coming together for what looks like a text-book first Spring weekend.  I’ll fill in the details for here and the Gulf Coast Beaches.  Plus, I have the latest details on two storm systems on the weather menu for next week.  I’ll have the latest on timing and strength.  Will we have to deal with any strong to severe storms?  I’ll run it all down in a couple minutes on your Friday morning personal weather briefing.

 

GREAT day today.  Close to normal on the afternoon high,  Very chilly night ahead.  Low by Dawn 40 to 42.

Text book perfect weekend.  Cool nights, nice days.  Showers and storms Monday.  Cooler mid week.

A little cool…but otherwise very nice.  Upper 60’s and breezy today.  Near 70 over the weekend.  Cool nights,  Gulf water…cold at 65.

 

Front brings showers and storms.  Will there be some strong to severe storms when the front arrives?  We don’t know yet.

The GFS suggests there will be enough instability for some stronger storms Monday afternoon.

The next big deal storm system arrives by the end of next week.