SATURDAY UPDATE:  Stormy at Times Next Few Days

Are you ready for the 80’s?  Get ready for several warm days.

There will be stormy episodes, at times over the next few days, but there will also be many warm/dry hours, too.  On this blog,  I’ll tell you about storm threat today, and we’ll look ahead to some potentially strong storms arriving Sunday night into Monday.  As you’ll see below, it’s possible we could be dealing with multiple severe weather threats over the next couple of weeks.

TODAY:   Patchy fog areas this morning.  Partly sunny today.  A warm day.  High near 81.  Much of the morning of the morning and mid day  should be dry.  Scattered thunderstorms will develop this afternoon and this evening.  (Scroll down to future radar, for more on the potential Marginal Severe Weather Risk) Not everyone will see a storm, but some of the storms could put on quite a show with gusty winds and a lot of lightning.  The storm threat  will quiet down later tonight.  Overnight low 63.

FUTURE RADAR AND STORM THREAT: 

If you have outdoor plans today, I’m going to be honest, we’re going to be radar watching especially later this afternoon.  A northward moving warm front will be the focus for scattered showers and storms.  A couple of the storms later this afternoon could be quite strong, with damaging wind gusts possible.  Keep an eye on our weather app this afternoon and this evening.  I know some folks with a 4 o’clock outdoor wedding.  Future radar shows and “iffy” situation by the 4:00PM time frame. The Storm Prediction Center has us in a lower level Marginal severe weather risk.

NEXT FEW DAYS:  Much of Sunday will be dry and warm with high in the mid 80’s.  The storm threat increases by later Sunday night into Monday.  Some of the storms could be severe on Monday.  Scroll down to the severe weather threat below.  There could be a few leftover showers Tuesday.  Wednesday and Thursday look almost summer-like with highs well in the 80’s.  Chance of thunderstorms by Thursday night.

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT NEXT SEVERAL DAYS:  As I look 15 days into the future, I’m a little concerned that there could be, potentially multiple severe weather episodes between now and April 19th.  Some of the of the more concerning set-ups are in a time span from about April 14 to 19th.

In the shorter term, however, besides today’s Marginal Risk, let’s talk about Sunday evening and Sunday night.  The greatest severe weather threat will be across the western and northwestern counties.  There will be a much more significant  centered west and northwest of our state, over a huge part of the nation’s mid section.  We’ll be watchful Sunday night.

Monday is a bit of head scratcher.  Right now, we are ALL in a Marginal Severe Weather Risk.  Showers & storms are likely.  But, the extent of our threat is unknown.  Our risk level may increase before we get to Monday.  It depends of several complicated factors.  Stay tuned.  More tomorrow.

LATE NEXT WEEK:  We have our eyes on two future storm systems.  A Thursday night storm system could push a squall line in through our state.  Too early to say about any severe weather threat.   Next weekend, April 13-14, there will be a storm system, we’ll dealing with at some point, which looks concerning to me.  That’s too many days out to get too worried.  Then, there will be another one out toward the April 18-19th time frame.  The point is, as I look deep into the future, over the next 2+ weeks, we could be dealing with bunch of storm systems which could, potentially, cause severe weather problems.  April is a very dangerous month, especially here in Dixie Alley.

BEACH FORECAST:  After a very stormy Beach day Friday, the news has gotten a lot better for today and Saturday.  The front which caused yesterday’s problems is lifting northward.  Widely scattered storms today.  Mainly dry Sunday.  Thunderstorms move in Sunday night and Monday. Moderate Rip current risk through Tuesday.  Gulf water is still chilly.

 

POLLEN FORECAST:  Medium to high today and very high tomorrow and Monday.

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I’ll have another blog update on Sunday morning, early.  Hope you have a nice weekend!  Good luck on your outdoor activities today.  Watch for lightning!

-Rich