SATURDAY UPDATE:  Warm/Dry Start to June – Pattern Change Next Week

Welcome to June! In the weather headlines: We have a nice quiet forecast for the first weekend on June.  We need some rain.  On the not too distant horizon I see a pattern change that will bring in a wetter and cooler period, perhaps by the end of next week.  And, today begins the 2019 Hurricane Season.  Right on cue, we’re tracking Invest 91-L heading into the southwest Gulf of Mexico.

TODAY & SUNDAY:  Warm & dry.  Mostly sunny.  High today and Sunday in the lower 90’s.  Northwest breeze 5 to 10.  Low tonight middle 60’s.  A great start to the month of June.

NEXT FEW DAYS:  Quite warm Sunday through Wednesday, with highs in the low to mid 90’s.  Widely scattered storms are possible by Wednesday.  Scattered storms Thursday.  The rain chances will ramp up to about 50% by Friday.  Scattered showers and storms will be around next weekend.

PATTERN CHANGE AHEAD:  We need rain, so the news about a significant pattern change, on the not too distant horizon, is very good news for Alabama and the rain-starved southeast US.  The models strongly hint at a wetter more active pattern, beginning at the end of this week, and continuing in place for several days.  Not only will rain chances improve, temperatures will be lower, as an upper trough of low pressure approaches from the west.  Fingers crossed.

INVEST 91-L IN THE GULF:  A broad are of low pressure is emerging from the Yucatan into the Bay of Campeche (SW Gulf of Mexico).   This system, which has been given the designation Invest 91-L, has a 40% chance of development into a depression or the storm as it heads in the general direction of the Mexican coast.

Today is the first day of the 2019 Hurricane season. The season continues until November 30th.   The “A” name has already been used.  Is your name on this list?  Let’s hope we don’t get to the end of the list.  Last year we got down to the “O” name.

Set your DVR for “Safe From the Storm” Tonight at 6 on CBS 8 and ABC 32.  I have cameo appearance with Shane and the Mets from the Alabama News Network.

BEACH FORECAST:  A stalled front could be the focus for some scattered storms today.  Rain chances are not overwhelming.  Sunday and Monday will be mostly dry and warm.  The rip current risk for this weekend is listed as LOW, but please monitor the flags on the Beach.  Gulf water Temperature is now at 85.   Future radar shows a few showers later today.

 

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I will have another forecast update on Sunday morning.  I hope you have a great weekend!  Enjoy this quiet pattern!

-Rich