THURSDAY Update: Tropical Moisture Returning – Risk of Showers Back in the Forecast

 Good morning!   Again, here’s a brief forecast summary. Thanks for bearing with me as I continue deal with the effects of COVID.

      Alabama’s atmosphere continues to modify.  We are very warm for October. The afternoons have been hot for this time of the year.  Tropical moisture is making comeback.  The threat of showers is returning to our forecast.  In fact, there were even a few spotty showers yesterday in east and southeast Alabama.  Rain chances get a little better today, tomorrow and Saturday.

TODAY:  Tropical moisture from the Atlantic and Gulf is increasing.  There will be a sun/cloud mix.  Random, widely scattered showers and storms will pop up here and there.  High today 84.  Low tonight 67.  East wind at 5 to 10 mph. 

    Here’s a future radar snapshot at mid-afternoon.

NEXT FEW DAYS:   A weak frontal system approaches Alabama.  The chance for showers and thunderstorms get a little better Friday, Friday night and Saturday.

The front is weak, and we will not cool down, at all, behind this “cool front”.   It reaches the coast Sunday.  I have Sunday and Monday mostly dry.  I’ll put in a 20% rain chance on Tuesday as the next front approaches.  It now appears that this front, also, will be rather weak.  The Big Deal Front of next week arrives LATE next week.  There could be sone strong storms ahead of it, and sharply cooler air behind it. 

TROPICAL OUTLOOK:   All of a sudden that Area to Watch is back on the map.  A weak disturbance in the West Caribbean has a low chance of development as it heads northeastward toward the Bahamas.   Epsilon is a Major Category 3 hurricane with 115 mph winds in the central Atlantic, moving northward.   

I’ll have another Blog Update in the morning.  You can hear my forecast every hour across the dial on the 8 Bluewater Broadcasting radio stations.  Have a great day. I’m going to try and get some more rest. Again, thanks so much for bearing with me.  I have read all of kind messages. Forgive me if I haven’t responded.

–Rich

WEDNESDAY Update: More Warm Days Ahead – Showers Returning to The Forecast Soon

 Hello!  Yesterday afternoon I tested positive for COVID 19.  No fever.  I’m essentially asymptomatic, although, I am fatigued.  The doctor suggested lots of liquids, lots of sleep and Tylenol.   I have some vitamin supplements, too. 

    So, here’s the deal.  I will be quarantined in my home.  You will still hear my forecast on the radio.  And, instead of a full blown morning video, I will send out a brief blog update, with a forecast summary every morning.  OK?  Bear with me… Thanks!

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TODAY:  Get ready for another essentially, dry & warm October Day.  We got up to 85 yesterday, and I think we’ll be close to 85 today.  I have the rain chances not quite zero, but under 20%.   I Expect a sun/cloud mix.  Very mild tonight low 67.

NEXT FEW DAYS:   It will continue warm.  Tropical moisture will start to increase.  Widely scattered showers and maybe a thunderstorm is possible Thursday.  The number of scattered showers and storms will increase Friday and Saturday ahead of an approaching front.   There is some question whether the front will make it all the way to the coast, so I’ll leave in a small chance Sunday.  I have Monday dry, right now.  But, showers and thunderstorms will return Tuesday ahead of the next frontal system.

TROPICAL OUTLOOK:   That area to watch in the Caribbean is now off the map.  The only show now is Hurricane Episolon in the central Atlantic with 85 mph winds.  The rest of the Atlantic, the Caribbean and the Gulf of Mexico is quiet. 

I’ll have another Blog Update in the morning.  You can hear my forecast every hour across the dial on the 8 Bluewater Broadcasting radio stations.  Have a great day. I’m going to try and get some rest.

–Rich

Pattern Change Underway – Warmer Days/Nights – Showers Will Return –TUESDAY VIDEO

Good Morning!  Our cooler weekend temperatures are gone.  The days and the nights are warmer.  We’ll be in the mid 80’s next few days.  Tropical moisture is making a comeback.  Spotty showers are possible Thursday.  But, showers and thunderstorms become more likely Friday and Saturday.  Out in the Atlantic, we have yet another new tropical storm. 

We’ll be dry today. Lots of sun. Mid 80’s today mid 60’s tonight.

Risk of showers and storms return Thursday. Showers and storms become more likely Friday and Saturday. Sunday looks nice.

Looks like a much more important cold front arrives next week.

Warming Trend – Late Week Showers –MONDAY VIDEO

Good Morning!  We’ve had a nice string of days.  Gradually the atmosphere is changing.  The cool air is fading.  Warmer days are on the menu.  The humidity is a little higher.  While we should be dry, probably through Wednesday, tropical moisture and showers will return by late week and into the weekend.  Meanwhile, we are still tracking two features in the tropics.  On this video, I’ll bring you up to date on the weather for the week ahead through Sunday.  

The coolness is fading, and we’re getting back to normal. Warmer days and the nights won’t be as chilly.

Warming trend continues. We are mostly likely dry through Wednesday, showers are back as tropical moisture arrives Thursday through Saturday.

Late week Tropical moisture will bring in some much needed showers.

Still tracking Invest 94-L in the the Atlantic. This system could become a named sub-tropical or tropical storm, That area in the Caribbean still could develop and more northward eventually, but, the models are little less bullish of development now.

SUNDAY UPDATE: Clear Sailing Next Few Days – Warming Trend Ahead

  Good morning!  Today’s update will be short and sweet, because there’s not much to say. 

    Saturday was picture postcard perfect.  Montgomery had a morning low of 44, and an afternoon high of 74. 

       Today will be another great day.  Not as cool.  In fact, we have a warming tend in our future.  The days will be a little warmer and nights will not be as cool. 

     I think we should stay in this dry pattern through about Wednesday.  There’s a small chance of showers late in the week as a disturbance approaches. 

      It’s quiet around the SE US today. 

TODAY:  Total sunshine.  Low humidity.  Perfect day.  High near 80.  East breeze at 5 to 10 mph.  Tonight…mostly clear, not as chilly.  Low near 60. 

NEXT FEW DAYS:   Really nice Monday through Wednesday.  Warming trend.  Back to the low mid 80’s daytime.  Lows at night in the 60’s.  Small rain chance returns late week.  No big deal. 

THE TROPICS:  There are two areas being monitored.  Invest 94-L in the Atlantic is likely to become either a depression or some sort of hi-bred tropical storm.  It will not affect the United States.  That Area to Watch in the southern Caribbean is not quite as concerning as it once appeared.  It could still develop into a depression or storm by next weekend at it moves in the general direction of the Bahamas and the Southeastern United States.  The models are a lot less bullish on development of this system as they once were. 

I’ll have a complete video Monday morning. There may be additional updates today as needed.  Stay safe and well. Enjoy your Sunday.

–Rich