Good Morning! Our storm-free, dry pattern continues for a few more days. Here’s my brief forecast discussion.
CLIMATE DATA: Yesterday’s high was 86, after a chilly morning low of 47. It was the coolest morning of the season so far. Normal: 84/59. Rainfall: 0.00”. Sunrise 6:44, sunset 6:21.
TODAY: Today will be the warmest day of the week. Sunshine. Tolerable humidity. High 88. NW wind 6 to 11 mph. Clear and cool again tonight. Low 56.
A Cold Front sweeps through the state today, but it is a “dry front. No rain.
![](https://richthomasweathernetwork.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/10/prog_fri-4.jpg)
![](https://richthomasweathernetwork.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/10/prog_fri2.jpg)
It will be breezy and cooler behind the front Saturday. Northwest winds at 12 to 22 mph. Highs in the 70’s.
![](https://richthomasweathernetwork.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/10/Prog_Sat-5.jpg)
NEXT FEW DAYS: Our long string of dry, storm-free days continues. A Cold front will swings across the state this evening.
It will be noticeably cooler this weekend behind the front. Breezy & Cool. Highs in the 70’s. Chilly 40’s at night. Still dry for several more days, at least through the middle of next week.
![](https://richthomasweathernetwork.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/10/week_ahead-6-1024x574.jpg)
We should be dry for at least through next Wednesday. This is day 18 without rain. Here’s the Euro model through next Wednesday.
![](https://richthomasweathernetwork.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/10/qpf-5.jpg)
The new Drought Monitor map came out yesterday. There has been a significant escalation since last week. Much of the state is in the Level 1 Abnormally Dry stage. And now, parts of south Alabama are in the Moderate Drought stage.
![](https://richthomasweathernetwork.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/10/drought_monitor-2-1024x588.jpg)
Now, more than 2/3 of the United States are in some Drought Level. I’ve never seen the map look like this.
![](https://richthomasweathernetwork.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/10/drought_monitor2.jpg)
RAIN NEXT WEEK?: FINALLY, it looks like a frontal system next Thursday could bring showers back to Alabama.
![](https://richthomasweathernetwork.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/10/Prog_thurs.jpg)
![](https://richthomasweathernetwork.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/10/gfs1.jpg)
TROPICAL OUTLOOK: Tropical Depression 13 could become Tropical Storm Julia today. This system is expected to become a hurricane before landfall in Central America Sunday.
![](https://richthomasweathernetwork.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/10/cone.jpg)
Tropical Depression 12 has fizzled and is now just a post tropical remnant low.
The rest of the tropical Atlantic is very quiet for now.
![](https://richthomasweathernetwork.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/10/TWO-7.jpg)
Thanks for reading this Blog this morning! I’ll have another update for you in the morning. Have a nice day!
–Rich