SATURDAY Update:  Nice New Year’s Day – Big Storm This Week – Tuesday Severe Risk

             Good Morning!  Yesterday’s rain arrived right on schedule.  Today, more showers are possible this morning and through mid-day. It will be a mild last day of 2022.  If you have plans to ring in the New Year this evening, the weather should be dry and mild.  The first day of 2023 will be quiet.  After some fog in the morning, the sun will come out later.  Highs in the lower 70’s is a great way to start the New Year.  But, there’s a major storm system in our future next week.  Showers and storms will be numerous, particularly Tuesday.  Severe weather is a good bet.  Rainfall could be excessive.  Much cooler air will follow the big storm.  Here’s my very brief forecast discussion.

TODAY:   Patchy AM fog.   Risk of Scattered showers this morning and through about mid-day, before ending.    High today near 70. Dry this evening and tonight.  Patchy fog late tonight.  Low tonight 53. 

Future Radar at 11AM shows some leftover scattered showers around.  The showers will exit during the early afternoon.  


Expect Dry this evening and tonight for New Year’s festivities.   Midnight temperature 56.  Overnight low 53. 

New Year’s Day will be storms-free, dry and comfortable.  Morning fog will giveway to a Partly cloudy day.  Very mild.  Normal high 60.  Expect lower 70’s on Sunday. 


NEXT FEW DAYS:    Next week will be rather unsettled from Monday night through Wednesday.   Showers and storms will be numerous, particularly Tuesday.  Severe weather is a good bet.  Rainfall could be excessive.  Much cooler air will follow the big storm. 

SPC Severe Outlook Monday looks ominous.  Significant threat in the ArkLaTex region, spreading eastward to Alabama Tuesday.  All modes of severe weather including tornadoes.

Locally excessive rainfall is possible across the Gulf South. 

Here’s the 10 day Model Temperature trend.  It turns much cooler behind the mid-week storm system next week…But, there’s no sign of Arctic Air at this point. 

Thanks for reading this Blog this morning! This morning we are LIVE on the radio from 6 to 9 on NewsTalk 93.1.  Watch us on TV on CBS 8 and ABC 32.  I’ll have another update for you in the morning.  Happy New Year!

–Rich

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