MONDAY Update:  Nice Early Week – Warmer – Thursday Severe Weather Threat

Good Morning!  Get ready for a very nice Monday.  Sunshine will dominate and we will begin a nice warm-up.  On Valentine’s Day we’ll in the low 70’s.  Showers return Tuesday night & Wednesday. The second storm system this week is the one to watch.  Thursday still looks like a potentially “big deal” severe weather event, including the threat for tornadoes.  The ingredients for severe weather appear strong.  Colder air follows the big storm.   Here’s my brief forecast discussion. 

TODAY:     Great start to the week.  Sunshine.  Warm-up begins.  High 65. (Normal 64/40) West wind 5 to 10 mph.  Clear, chilly tonight.  Low 38.

NEXT FEW DAYS:   The nice warm-up will continue.  On Valentine’s Day we’ll reach the lower 70’s.  Expect upper 70’s by Wednesday.    Showers return Tuesday night & Wednesday, as the first disturbance brushes by the area.  Thursday could be a big severe weather day. Concern for Thursday continues to grow.  See below for more. Colder air follows the big storm.  

THURSDAY SEVERE THREAT:   Still looks like a multi-day Severe Weather Event beginning Wednesday in the ArkLaTex and lower Mississippi valley, spreading eastward to Alabama. The dynamics for severe weather look strong.    All modes of severe weather are possible including tornadoes.  The action could begin Thursday morning and continue well into Thursday evening.  It is certainly possible that we’ll see a concerning cellular mode first.  Discrete individual super cells, way ahead of the main body of storms. It appears all the necessary parameters for severe weather will be present.  We’ll continue to closely monitor the threat levels and potential timeline.   

COLDEST DAY ANNIVERSARY:  On this day in 1899…February 13, 1899 it wasn’t just Montgomery’s coldest day ever.  It can be argued that it was America’s coldest day ever.  Montgomery’s Low was -5, Birmingham -10, Mobile -1.   Even Tallahassee recorded Florida’s coldest low ever with -2.  Ice was reported floating in Mobile Bay.  124 years ago today. 

Thanks for reading this Blog this morning! I’ll have another update for you in the morning.  Have a great Super Bowl Sunday!


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