Good Morning! Cooler air is funneling into the state. After a record of 85 yesterday, we’ll be in the low 70’s today and the mid 40’s tonight. It should be just a beautiful weekend. Sunday starts off chilly, but there will be a nice afternoon warm-up. We’ll be back near 80 by Monday. On this Blog update, we’ll look ahead to the distant horizon. Could we see a big pattern chance to colder air by the middle of the month? There are more and more signals from the models hinting at a big change.
Here’s my brief forecast discussion.
YESTERDAY’S CLIMATE REPORT: Yesterday was a rather remarkable day. Montgomery had a record high of 85, breaking the record of 84 from 1899. 10th day of 80+ degree highs. Morning low 56. (Normal 69/42) Rainfall: .02” Maximum wind gust 45 mph from the SW.
FRIDAY’S SEVERE WEATHER: There were dozens of warnings across north Alabama Friday. Multiple reports of wind damage and at least 4 tornado reports from north Alabama to Ohio. A total of 225 severe weather reports. Fortunately, for many of us, the southern end of the squall line fell apart.
![](https://richthomasweathernetwork.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/storm_reports.jpg)
TODAY: Sunshine. Cooler, but nice. High 73. Northwest wind 6 to 12 mph. Clear, chilly tonight. Low 47.
![](https://richthomasweathernetwork.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Prog_Sat-2.jpg)
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NEXT FEW DAYS: Sunday starts off chilly, with a nice afternoon recovery. We’ll be at least in the mid 70’s by afternoon. A beautiful Sunday. The warm-up continues Monday. We’ll be near 80 both Tuesday and Wednesday. Cooler by Wednesday and Thursday. Widely scattered showers Tuesday through Thursday. Small chance of rain.
![](https://richthomasweathernetwork.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/week_ahead-3-1024x576.jpg)
MID-MONTH PATTERN CHANGE ?: All signs point to a potentially significant pattern change around the middle of the month. Important cold front brings showers and storms around Monday the 13th. Sharply colder air will follow.
![](https://richthomasweathernetwork.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/prog_distant.jpg)
The Ensemble models are just starting to pick up on the intensity of the temperature drop. Will there be a late season freeze? Too early to say. Average date of the last freeze is March 8th. Stay tuned.
![](https://richthomasweathernetwork.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/gfs1.jpg)
![](https://richthomasweathernetwork.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/16Day_Graph_ECMWF-1024x557.jpg)
Thanks for reading this Blog this morning! This morning we are LIVE on the radio from 6 to 9 on NewsTalk 93.1. Watch us on TV on CBS 8 and ABC 32. I’ll have another update for you in the morning. Have a nice day!
–Rich