WEDNESDAY UPDATE:  Heat Advisory – Dangerous Heat Index – Routine Random Holiday Weekend Storm

Good Morning!  Today will be another extremely hot summer day with heat indices well into the triple digit range. Heat Advisory in effect.  Heat index as high as 110+ in parts of the state. If you’re traveling, widespread Heat Advisories and Excessive Heat Warnings cover a ,multi-state area. There will be will be spotty random storms will be around Today through Sunday  It looks like a rather routine 4th of July weekend  forecast.  Powerful Major Hurricane Beryl will have encounter with Jamaica today.  Where will Beryl ultimately end up this weekend?  Here’s my brief forecast discussion.

TODAY:     Heat Advisory in Effect.  Sun/cloud mix.  Dangerous Heat.  High 95  Heat index 105 to 110.  Spotty random storms.  Low tonight 75.

Extreme heat continues.  If you’re traveling, widespread Heat Advisories and Excessive Heat Warnings cover a ,multi-state area.  Look at the Heat Index  numbers! 

FUTURE RADAR:  Routine.  Spotty Random hit or miss storms.  This is 3:00 PM today on the WRF model, but radar will look similar through the weekend. .     

NEXT FEW DAYS:  Looks like a fairly routine 4th of July Week Forecast.   Hot and humid.  Highs most days in the mid 90’s. Expect triple digit heat indices each day.   Spotty random storms will return Tuesday through Sunday.  Lows at night in the 70’s.   Watch out for lightning.  This is statistically the biggest week for lightning deaths in the year.

BEACH OUTLOOK:  Looks to be like a very routine 4th of July holiday weekend on the coast with spotty random storms.  Highs near 90.  Watch out for lightning.  This is statistically the biggest week for lightning deaths in the year.  Watch the flags on the Beach for the Rip Current risk.  Too many have died in the last 2 weeks on the coast due to Rip Currents.   A long period swell from Hurricane  Beryl starts to creep into our portion of the Gulf Thursday into
Friday. A high risk of rip currents returns for the weekend as a
result of this swell.

TROPICAL UPDATE:   Powerful Major Hurricane Beryl will have encounter with Jamaica today.  Then,  The Cayman Islands.  Over the weekend, Beryl will cross the Yucatan Friday and into the Gulf.  After loosing a little strength over the Yucatan  it could become a hurricane again in the Gulf,

Invest 96-L is behind Beryl in the Tropical Atlantic.  However, atmospheric conditions have lowered the probability of considerably.

Here’s the GFS Wind Swath on Beryl (into TX) and the GFS Ensemble member forecasts.

Thanks for reading the blog. There will be another complete Blog update and video forecast discussion tomorrow morning.  This morning, everything is normal including LIVE on the Radio from 6 to 9AM on NewsTalk 93.1 – WACV.  Have a nice day!!  

–Rich

· · ·