WEDNESDAY UPDATE: Late Week Showers – Still Watching the Gulf

Good morning!  Our quiet, dry, comfortable pattern continues for now, with mostly sunny, tolerable humidity days and comfortably cool nights.  An approaching front will bring a small rain chance Thursday night and Friday. Meanwhile, we’re still monitoring the Gulf  for possible Tropical Development late in the week or over the weekend. Here’s my brief forecast discussion.

TODAY: Mostly Sunny and still quite warm.   High 86.  North wind at 5 to 10 mph.  Clear and comfortable tonight.  Low tonight 67.

A fizzling front moves through the state today, but will have little or no effect on our nice pattern.

NEXT FEW DAYS:  .  Our  warm days with tolerable humidity, and clear, pleasantly cool nights continue through Thursday. Spotty showers are back in the forecast by Thursday night and Friday.  Saturday looks dry.  Widely scattered showers Sunday.  Highs in the 80’s.  Lows in the 60’s. 

Here’s the expected rainfall through the next 7 daysBest chance of showers Friday.  All the big rains will stay in the Gulf.

TROPICAL UPDATE:  NHC is still monitoring Hurricane Kirk.  Plus, there’s Invest 91-L in the far eastern Tropical Atlantic.  Neither of these systems should impact land areas

.  We’re still monitoring that Area to Watch that extends from the west Caribbean into the Gulf. The tropical wave in the Caribbean could become a Depression, somewhere in the Gulf over the weekend. There area still many question marks on a future track and potential strength.

Here’s the EURO’s Probability of a Tropical Storm.  The EURO is still quite bullish on the idea of eventual tropical development. Here’s the tropical Storm probability.

The Canadian  CMC model is still  bullish on the idea of development in the eastern Gulf, but not right away.  We’re watching.

Thanks for reading the blog. There will be another complete Blog update and video forecast discussion tomorrow morning.  This morning, everything is normal including LIVE on the Radio from 6 to 9AM on NewsTalk 93.1 – WACV.  Have a nice day!  

–Rich

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