Good Morning! It’s a quiet, nice forecast on this Friday the 13th. Our hi8gh will be near 70. There’s a lot riding on the Valentine’s weekend forecast, with lots of Mardi Gras parades and festivals. The news is good for Saturday. It should be mainly dry and comfortable. Showers and storms are most likely starting in the overnight hours Saturday night and especially on Sunday. There is a Marginal Severe Risk Sunday. Damaging winds are the main threat, but a few brief tornadoes can’t be ruled out. Locally heavy rainfall is possible. The above normal temperatures will continue for several days. Here’s my Video Forecast Discussion.
TODAY: Mostly Sunshine. High in t near 70. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph.
(Normal 64/39)
TONIGHT: Mainly clear. Chilly. But, close to normal. Low near 43.
Watch as that next large storm system assaults Texas and Oklahoma today with a Severe Threat. spreading east to Alabama Sunday.
There is a Marginal Severe Risk Sunday. Damaging winds are the main threat, but a few brief tornadoes can’t be ruled out. Locally heavy rainfall is possible.
NEXT FEW DAYS: The news is good for Saturday. It should be mainly dry and comfortable. High in the lower 70’s. Showers and storms are most likely starting in the overnight hours Saturday night and especially on Sunday. There is a Marginal Severe Risk Sunday. Nice weather returns for President’s Day Monday — and Mardi Gras Fat Tuesday, too.
The 10 Day model Blend Temperature Trend. Winter is still on hold for now. How about near 80 Thursday.
Here’s the EURO 16 day Ensemble temperature outlook. Still no arctic air in sight.
DROUGHT MONITOR: Latest Drought Monitor Map continues to grow worse. Now, roughly 30% of the state is in an extreme drought category with a few counties in the Extreme Drought classification inn parts of east central and south Alabama. This weekend’s expected rainfall totals will certainly help. Fingers crossed.
Beneficial rain with this next storm system – we hope.
AMERICA’S COLDEST DAY ANNIVERSARY: On this day in 1899…February 13, 1899 – it wasn’t just Montgomery’s coldest day ever. It can be argued that it was America’s coldest day ever. Montgomery’s Low was -5, Birmingham -10, Mobile -1 Even Tallahassee recorded Florida’s coldest low ever with -2. Ice was reported floating in Mobile Bay.
https://www.weather.gov/bmx/climate_feb_1899_arctic_outbreak
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Great_Blizzard_of_1899
DAYS TILL SPRING: 36 days!
Thanks for reading this Blog this morning. This morning we are LIVE on the radio from 6 to 9 on NewsTalk 93.1. I’ll have another update for you in the 4 o’clock hour tomorrow morning. Have a nice day.
–Rich