SATURDAY UPDATE:   Dry Weekend – Monday Storm System – Severe Risk

Timing is everything.  We are going to enjoy a weekend in-between storm systems, before some early week drama arrives.  The storm that brought the drenching rain has exited.  Only the clouds remain.  Temperatures will begin a warm-up, especially Sunday and Monday.  And, that will set the stage for a potential Severe Weather Threat late Monday and Monday night.  Then, get ready for another BIG Temperature Plunge.        Lots of active and changeable weather is in our future over the next few days, so we are going to enjoy this quiet weekend.

Here’s the Monday morning map set-up.

 

TODAY:   Rain-free and pretty nice!  A sun/cloud mix.  The normal high for this time of year is 60.  Today we will be close to normal.  Tonight’s low will fall to about 41.  (Normal is 38).  West wind at 6 to 12 mph today.

MONDAY SEVERE WEATHER RISK:   Monday will be very warm, with a high in the mid 70’s.  With ample Gulf moisture heading northward, ahead of a strong cold front, the stage is set for severe weather in Alabama.  It’s a classic set-up, with low pressure moving northeast from Louisiana to Tennessee.  Looks like by far the greatest threat is along and north of I-85, and the Level 2 (slight risk) threat area covers about the north and west 2/3 of the state.  The Risk window is from about 2PM West to 2AM in the far southeast.  All modes of severe weather are possible including damaging winds to 60+ mph, large hail and some tornadoes.  We will continue to monitor developments through the weekend.

Here’s the updated Severe Threat Map from NWS Birmingham, covering their area of responsibility.  It is very similar to the coverage area from the Storm Prediction Center.  Notice, even southeast Alabama is in a Level 1 Marginal Severe Weather Risk.

Here’s the Map from the Storm Prediction Center, showing a wider view of the region.  The Marginal Risk extends through SE Alabama inot Georgia and north Florida.

 

NEXT FEW DAYS – BIG CHANGES:  Upper 60’s  Sunday and mid 70’s Monday.  Thunderstorms Monday afternoon & Monday night.  Rain tapers off Tuesday morning.  Falling temperatures Tuesday, leading to a Big Temperature Plunge by Tuesday night.  Coldest mornings Wednesday and Thursday morning with upper 20’s.

Have a great Saturday!  Enjoy the various Christmas Events, including Christmas on the Coosa!

 

-Rich

Wet Friday – Dry Weekend – Active Pattern Next Several Days – FRIDAY VIDEO

Good Morning!  Take the rain gear today.  It’s going to come in handy.  A couple of low pressure storm systems in the Gulf will bring more rain, and maybe a couple of thunderstorms. Timing is everything, and it looks like the Weekend will be dry, in the brief widow between storm system.  A more ominous situation could be in the cards for Monday, with the next storm system.  I’ll update you on the Severe Weather Risk for Monday, and the huge temperature plunge which will follow the storm.

 

A couple of Low pressure systems moving out of the Gulf will cause a couple of surges of rain and maybe some t’storms.  First surge this morning.  Second surge later today and into tonight.

Timing is everything.  We are dry for the weekend, in between storm systems.   Significant Monday storm system with a severe weather threat.  Another huge temperature plunge behind the storm system.

 

All modes of severe weather possible Monday including tornadoes.  This graphic will be updated later this morning, but ALL of us are in at least a Marginal Risk area, while the greatest tornado Risk will be along a west of a Birmingham to Demopolis line.

This is where the Storm Prediction Center thinks the greatest severe risk will be on Monday and Monday night.

After the storm look for another BIG temperature plunge… Here’s the WEDNESDAY map showing the much colder air.

Rain Returning – Gulf Storm System – THURSDAY VIDEO

Good Morning!  Get ready for more weather changes.  A developing storm system in the Gulf is heading northward.  Showers return to the area today.  Rain and possibly a few thunderstorms are likely tonight and tomorrow.  I have the latest on timing.  I have tweaked the weekend forecast, but I am very optimistic that we will be in-between storm systems and the weather should cooperate for your weekend plans.  BUT, another ‘big ticket’ storm system is looming for the first of next week, before yet another Temperature Plunge.  We have much to discuss on your Thursday morning video

 

Low pressure spreads rain back into our area today.  Rain and some thunderstorms tonight and Friday.

The low pressure area reaches the Florida coast in the morning and moves northeast into Georgia.  Rain and some thunderstorms tonight and Friday.

Over the weekend we are in-between storm systems.. Good news on the luck of timing.  By Monday, the rain and storm threat begins again.  Sharply colder by late Tuesday into Wednesday.

We’re going to have to monitor the Monday storm system very carefully for the threat of severe weather, including a possible tornado threat.

The Cold Front will deliver another HUGE temperature drop.  Falling temperatures Tuesday.  Cold Tuesday night.  Very cold Wednesday.

 

Much Cooler Reality – Late Week Storm System – WEDNESDAY VIDEO

Good Morning!  What a change in reality in 24 hours.  Instead of the 70’s,  today will be rather brisk – breezy and cool with highs in the 50’s.  Looks like an active pattern over the next 6 to 7 days.  Another storm system emerges from the Gulf Friday, and a Strong Cold Front will affect the state by Monday night.  On this video, I’ll bring you up to date on the details.  We’ll look at the weekend ahead, and I’ll show when to expect the next big Temperature Plunge.

 

Showers exit the state before lunchtime.  It will be a brisk and cool day today, with a stiff northerly wind and highs only in the 50’s

A Gulf Storm System brings more rain to the state Thursday night into Friday.

The shower risk exits early Saturday, followed by a primarily dry weekend with a warming trend, back into the 60’s   Next big deal storm system comes in as a cold front approaches Monday night into Tuesday.,

Next big deal storm system comes in as a cold front approaches Monday night into Tuesday.  Will there be some stronger storms with this system?   Too early to say..

Sharply colder air floods in late Tuesday into Wednesday.  Looks for a Huge Plunge.

 

 

 

Cold Fronts Approach – Big Changes – TUESDAY VIDEO

Good Morning!  Two cold fronts are on the way.  The first will deliver a band of showers and possibly a thunderstorm by mid-day.  The second will deliver sharply colder air, as we drop from the 70’s to the 50’s for highs for the rest of the week.  On this video I have an update on timing and details.  Storm system number two could affect us by the end of the week.  What about the weekend.  I’ll show you another cold blast next week, too.

 

Our high temperature will occur early in the day, as cold front number one brings in a line of showers (thundershowers) by mid-day.  Cooler this afternoon.  Rain chance continues tonight.

There will be a nasty ribbon of snow & ice and a wintry mix from Texas to Arkansas to Tennessee, possibly affecting north MS and extreme north Alabama late tonight and early Wednesday.

MUCH Colder Wednesday and Thursday.  More rain by Thursday night into Friday.  The shower threat ends Saturday.  Mild weekend.  Back in the 60’s

Gulf storm system could bring drenching rain to the southeast part of the state on Friday.