MAJOR NEW YEARS STORM SYSTEM – Updated

A significant, 2-part New Years storm system, will produce heavy rainfall amounts and maybe a severe weather threat by Monday.  Scattered showers are already drenching parts of the state.  The showers on this New Years Eve daytime will be scattered in nature, but they will become more numerous and frequent this evening and heavier in the overnight hours.  For New Years Celebrations across the area, Midnight will be a very wet affair, indeed, with the temperature near 50.  Rainfall amounts tonight, could total 1-2” by morning. Here’s a future radar snapshot at Midnight.

NEW YEARS DAY: Periods of rain & thunderstorms will be around much of New Years Day.  There could be a brief late afternoon/early evening break, perhaps, before the rain begins again. Highs in the mid to upper 60’s.

SEVERE THREAT:  Monday will be another very wet day as round 2 begins to affect the area.  In fact, some stronger thunderstorms are possible by Monday afternoon/Monday night, which could become severe.  Much of the state is included in a Marginal Severe Risk.  The primary threat will be damaging wind gusts, but the tornado threat is not zero.

HOW MUCH RAIN?: Total rainfall amounts from the 3-Day storms system could be rather excessive, especially across the southern part of Alabama where some spots could easily get 5-6”+.  4-5” amounts extend northward into central Alabama.  Already most of southwest Alabama is under a Flash Flood Watch.

WINTER BLAST IN A FEW DAYS:  Late next week, Thursday through Saturday we are  expecting a dramatic temperature plunge as some bitter cold air engulfs state.  In fact, I don’t think the models even have a good handle on how cold we will get.  Here’s a peek at the Euro 10 days numbers, but I will caution you, the lows will be much lower than the model indicates.  Probably we will see highs in the 40’s and lows in the 20’s or teens.  Stay tuned.  We will refine as we get closer.

NO SNOW?:  Well maybe no snow for most of us, but, the northern stretch of counties in Alabama could see a bout of winter weather, including maybe some snow Friday night into early Saturday.  Stay tuned.  We will monitor any changes in this scenario that could affect us.  At the moment – all RAIN.

TEMPORARY ANDROID APP GLITCH:  Some of you are having a temporary problem seeing the 10 day forecast.  Only Day 1 is showing.  This is a problem only affecting ANDROID customers and it is a problem that will go away at Midnight. The developers know about this issue. It’s a glitch in the software, which somehow involves the end of the year (tonight). The problem will go away at Midnight and your 10 day forecast will return. For APPLE/IPHONE/IPAD users…everything is fine. The technical folks are “writing” a fix in the code so that this will not happen again. Please bear with us. Thanks for your patience.  -Rich

Major New Years Storm System starts 2017– Friday Video

FRIDAY VIDEO UPDATE (5:00AM 12/29/16)   Good Morning!  It’s roughly 40 degrees colder this morning than yesterday!  On this video I’ll bring you up to date on a New Years storm system (Sat Nt. – Monday) that will bring some drenching rainfall totals and maybe even some severe weather. Could affect your Midnight plans New Years Eve.  Plus, hang on.  The next 10 days will involve some more wild temperature swings.  Apparently, we are in for a real dose of winter roughly 7 or 8 days down the road.   Your Friday morning, New Years weekend weather briefing.

 

Excessive rainfall totals Saturday night through Monday.  Many places receiving 4 to 5″.  Some spots more.   Maybe even some strong to severe storms by Monday evening.

Euro model shows an active 10 days ahead.  Wild temperature swings.  At least a couple of storm systems.  A big Winter Blast about a week away.  And, maybe some winter mischief too?  Not out of the question.

 

The Big Winter Blast is about a week away.

 

Sharply colder – Then, Major New Years Storm system – Thursday Video

Good Morning!  Morning showers, then a temperature plunge today & tonight.  I’ll have the latest numbers on this reality check.  A major storm system is looming for New Years Day and Monday.  Could be some whopping rain totals to get 2017 started, and maybe some strong thunderstorms, too.  And wait until you see the wild temperature ride in store for us next 10 days, and beyond.  Strap yourself in.  Your brief Thursday morning video  is ready.  Have a great day.  –Rich

Wild ride ahead next 10 days according to the Euro model, which clearly shows the Roller Coaster Temperature swings and 2 storm systems looming on the horizon.

Rainfall amounts could be excessive with the New Years weekend storm system, Sunday & Monday.  And severe weather can’t be ruled out on part 2, Monday.

 

Here’s a snapshot of your New Years weekend forecast

 

 

 

Cold Front Approaches – Wednesday Video

WEDNESDAY  VIDEO UPDATE (5:00AM 12/28/16)   Good Morning!  After a string of Christmas week record highs, a cold front is approaching.  I’ll update the rain chances with the front, and the big drop that follows.  Plus, the latest on a major 2 part New Years storm system,  which could bring a lot of rain & the threat of storms.  A wild temperature  ride over the next 10 days.  Sit back for about 2 minutes.  This is your Wednesday morning weather briefing.

Storm Prediction Center says thunderstorms will affect tonight, some of which could be severe, especially across the northwest counties.

Get ready for a wild temperature ride next 10 days.  Nothing tells that story better than this graph from the Euro model.

Rainfall amounts from the New Years Day/Monday storm system could be excessive.  And, severe weather is not completly out of the question.  More on that as we get closer.

 

CHANGES: 2 Cold Fronts Next 7 Days – Tuesday Video

Good Morning!  Back to work for many, and soon back to reality for all of us as colder air returns by late week. First, patchy fog is an issue on this Tuesday morning until 9.  Two cold fronts will have a big effect on our forecast from now through New Years weekend.  First one Thursday.  Second one New Years Day.  Much cooler air will bring another change of wardrobe and hopefully some decent rainfall amounts. Wild u.p and down temp swings.   I’ll update the new numbers for temps and expected rain, on your Tuesday morning weather briefing.

The Euro Model shows wild temperature swings next 10 days, plus a significant storm system Jan. 1-2.

Could be some significant rain totals next 7 days, especially with the storm system Sunday & Monday.