TUESDAY Blog Update: First Day of Fall will Feel like Fall! – Beta will Bring Rain to Alabama Later This Week

**PLEASE forgive me.  Due to an extreme migraine headache this morning, I had to shift gears and produce a blog update instead or a video.  A Blog can be produced in half the time.  Please bear with me. Thank you.  

Good morning!  Welcome to the first day of Fall. Today’s first day of Fall will feel a lot like the last day of summer…comfortably cool, with a nice breeze and dry.  Considerable cloudiness will be the product of high clouds streaming off of tropical storm Beta in the west Gulf.  More on Beta and it’s future effects on our weather below. 

TODAY: Considerable high cloudiness from Beta.  Pleasantly cool.  Breezy again with East wind 11 to 16 mph.  High 76.  Low tonight 62.

TROPICAL STORM BETA:  Beta is a minimal Tropical Storm with winds of 40 mph expected to stall on the Texas coast near Port O’Connor.   It will then be picked up and slide northeastward as a Depression through Louisiana and Mississippi through Thursday night, dumping heavy rainfall amounts.

BETA’S RAIN WILL MOVE EAST: Beta will be a tropical depression by mid-week.  We’ll be on the wet side f the system.  Expect a round f of occasional tropical downpours Wednesday night through Friday and some lingering showers Saturday.

NEXT FEW DAYS:  Dry and comfortable today.  Risk of isolated showers Wednesday.  But, look for an increasing chance of showers and storms and heavy downpours.  We’ll be on the east side of Tropical Depression Beta’s track. We’ll be back in the 80’s Friday through Sunday. 

Most areas should see 1-3″ Rainfall amounts from BETA

AUTUMNAL EQUINOX:  Fall officially arrives this morning at 8:31 AM CDT.  Equinox means equal day and equal night at the equator.  Here, it’s not exactly equal but kinda close.  Sunrise at 6:33 AM  an sunset at 6:41 PM. 

ELSEWHERE IN THE TROPICS:  Large, dangerous Teddy continues to be the star of the show, as it makes a steady trek toward the Canadian maritime provinces.  Wilfred is dead and off the map.  The remnants of Paulette have re-intensified into and eastern Atlantic tropical storm. There is also an area  to watch near the Florida Keys.

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I promise, we’ll be back to a regular video schedule first thing tomorrow morning.  Bear with me as I try to cope with this series of migraines.  Thanks for understanding. 

–Rich

Comfortable Last Day of Summer – Watching Beta’s Future Track by Late Week – MONDAY Video

Welcome to the last day of summer.  Fall officially begins Tuesday morning.  The first couple of days of this week will be cool, comfortable and dry.  Meanwhile, we continue to monitor the future of Tropical Storm Beta in the western Gulf.  Model trends shows Beta migrating towards us later in the week.  That could bring some tropical downpours to the state by Wednesday evening, through the end of the week, and possibly part of the weekend.  What else are we tracking in the tropics?  Is there anything which could be a threat to the United States?   

 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mvtdGNEQgyk

Pleasantly cool air is in place on this last day of summer. Breezy, comfortable and dry.

Nice Day today
Great First day of Fall tomorrow. Tropical moisture from Beta will begin to effect us by Wednesday night through Thursday and Friday. Tropical downpours.

Tropical Storm BETA will tease the Texas and LA coasts for the next few days, before turning northeastward toward the Mississippi river, probably as a Tropical Depression.

TEDDY is the BIG BOY on the map. An Extremely dangerous hurricane which will be affecting the Canadian Maritime providences.

PLEASE BEAR WITH ME… I’m dealing with a new BLOG editor this morning, and a lot of the easy convenient features I’m used to are gone forever. 🙂 Bear with me. I’ll get the hang of it in a few weeks/months.

–Rich

SUNDAY UPDATE:  Summer Ends on a Cool Note – How Could Tropical Storm Beta Effect Alabama Later This Week?

Good morning!  We have been enjoying some very comfortable temperatures on this last full weekend of Summer.  We should be in the very comfortable mid 70’s again today, and on the last day of summer, Monday.  Nights continue pleasantly cool.

We continue to watch very slow moving Beta.  It is still possible that the moisture from Beta could affect us later in the week.  Meanwhile, the clouds above us for the next several days are a product of Tropical Storm Beta.

TROPICAL STORM BETA:  Beta is undergoing a little shear tis morning.  It’s a 60 mph Tropical Storm, 205 miles SE of Galveston, moving west at 3.  A hurricane watch continues on the on the Texas coast.  A Tropical Storm Warning continues for part of the TX and LA coast.  Beta will tease the Texas coast for a few days with very heavy rainfall.  Then, it will curve northeastward and eastward into LA.  The cone of uncertainty now touches the west Alabama border.

TODAY:  Sunshine mixed with high clouds.  Should be dry.  High in the mid 70’s again.  (We had a high of 74 Saturday).   Nice breeze!  (East wind at 11 to18 mph)   Upper 50’s tonight.

NEXT FEW DAYS:   Pleasantly cool and comfortable.  Highs in the 70s and lows in the 50’s through Wednesday.  Chance of showers from Beta by Tuesday and Thursday and Friday.  Details on how Beta might effect us are still fuzzy.

ELSEWHERE IN THE TROPICS:   Obviously, extremely dangerous Cat. 3 Teddy is still very much the star of the show.  Even though it will miss the U.S., large swells and surf will continue to batter the east coast.  Teddy will effect the Canadian Maritime providences on Tuesday evening.  And, it could still be a Tropical Storm when it approaches Greenville.  Also, there is weak Tropical Storm Wilfred, and post tropical cyclone Paulette.  Close to the Florida coast is an Area to Watch with a small chance of development.

FALL BEGINS TUESDAY:  Monday is the last day of summer, officially.  Tuesday Fall begins.  It’s the Autumnal equinox, when the direct rays of the sun cross the Equator.  Equinox meaning equal day and equal night.  Fall officially begins at 8:30AM CDT.

I’ll have a complete video Monday morning. There may be additional updates today as needed.  Stay safe and well. Enjoy your Sunday.

–Rich

SATURDAY UPDATE:  Cooler Comfortable Weekend – All Eyes on BETA in the Western Gulf

10:00am  UPDATE:

Interesting to see the evolution of Beta’s future track. Beta is 60 mph Trop. Storm in the western Gulf, which will interact with the Texas coast perhaps as a hurricane Tuesday, before looping the northeast and east into LA Thursday. It’s been a busy season for Gulf landfalls.  

EARLY MORNING UPDATE:  

Good morning!  How about a taste of cooler, much more comfortable air on the last full weekend of summer?  No, we are not expecting blue skies and sunshine, but, that’s the trade off for now.  If you look at the radar this morning,  it looks like it’s raining all over south Alabama.  It isn’t. Clouds and moisture are streaming into the state from Tropical Storm Beta.  However, the air near surface is very dry.  Most raindrops  falling are drying out before they reach the ground.  It’s an effect called virga.

So, we’re in for cloudy weather today, light showers at times, but the days and nights will be comfortable this weekend.  We could even see some lows in the 50’s by Sunday and Monday night.  Fall officially begins on Tuesday.

Then there is Tropical Storm Beta in the western Gulf, which is expected to become a hurricane within 36 hours.  Is Beta just  a Texas/Louisiana problem?  Or could we be dealing with Beta’s effects later this week here along the central Gulf coast.? It depends on which model you look at.  Obviously, after dealing with Sally this week, NOBODY wants to worry about tracking another potential tropical threat.  Much more on Beta, below.  We are now two letters into the Greek alphabet.

TODAY:  Cloudy.  Spotty isolated showers are possible at times today and tonight.  High in the upper 70’s. Low tonight 61.  East wind at 5 to 10 mph.

 TROPICAL STORM BETA:  Beta is a 60 mph tropical storm in the western Gulf, halfway between the mouth of the Rio Grande and the mouth of the Mississippi.  It’s moving north at 8 now, but, it’ll drift west to closer to Texas later in the weekend.  It’s expected to become a hurricane.  A hurricane watch is in effect along the Texas coast.

CURRENT SET-UP AND BETA’S FUTURE:  Right now, the Jetstream has reached south to the Gulf coast.  That’s why we are enjoying this nice cool-down.  It’s also keeping Beta away from us.  In a few days the Jetstream will retreat.

After the jet retreats, will that allow the tropical system to move eastward later in the week?   How strong would it be?  What effect could it have on us?   We simply don’t know.  It would be late week.

 

ELSEWHERE IN THE TROPICS:  There’s two other named systems out there.  Teddy is the most interesting.  It’s still a Cat 4 hurricane with 125 mph winds.  It is causing tremendous wave action in much of the Atlantic islands and along the east coast.  It could have a profound impact on the Canadian maritime provinces by late Tuesday. Wilfred is a weak tropical storm.  And there are two other areas on interest out there in the eastern Atlantic.  One of them is the remnants of Paulette.

THE GREEK ALPHABET:  It’s out with the old hurricane list and into the Greek Alphabet.  Already we are two names in.  We’ve only had to use this list one other time in 2005.  We got down to Zeta that year.

NEXT FEW DAYS:   Comfortable weekend!   Look at those morning lows Monday through Wednesday.  By Wednesday and Thursday, will we be dealing with some of the moisture from Beta?  We just don’t know.

FALL BEGINS TUESDAY:  Monday is the last day of summer.  Fall begins Tuesday.

I’ll have another blog update in the morning, or later today if needed.   I’ll have new information from the National Hurricane Center.

Stay safe and well. Enjoy your weekend!

–Rich

Cooler, Comfortable Weekend – Watching the Western Gulf – FRIDAY Video

11:30 AM Update:

Hold the phone…we are now into the Greek alphabet with Tropical Storm Alpha. But, wait. It’s not that system in the Gulf (TD 22). No. This is a storm off the coast of Portugal heading toward Spain. Next up, could we see “Beta” in the Gulf later this afternoon? CRAZY.

10:00AM Update:  

Guess what? Wilfred is born, but not in the Gulf. It’s a tropical storm in the eastern Atlantic with 40 mph winds. We’ve run out of names. That means if TD 22 in the Gulf gets upgraded today, it will get the name Alpha, from the Greek alphabet.

EARLY MORNING UPDATE: 

Good Morning!   First the good news.  The last weekend of summer will be very comfortable indeed.  How about highs in the 70’s, and some much cooler nights?  Perhaps lows in the 50’s starting Sunday night.  But, out in the western Gulf, we’re monitoring more Tropical Trouble.  Do we need to worry about this new tropical threat?  Elsewhere, the tropics continue to be very busy.

Tiny rain chance today.  Cooler air is on the way for the weekend!

Elsewhere in the tropics…Teddy is a 140 mph Cat 4 Hurricane.  Invest 98-L is likely to become a depression or tropical storm.  And there are two other areas to watch in the eastern Atlantic.