MONDAY UPDATE: Significant Tuesday Storm System – Colder air Ahead

Good morning!  Our string of nice days will end today.  There will be a good but of sunshine.  Expect a warm and comfortable day with highs aiming for the upper 70’s.  We’ll be dry through the evening hours tonight.  Tuesday will be very wet and stormy.  Locally heavy rain.  Severe Weather is also possible. There is a Marginal Severe Risk for a large chunk of the state, .Much colder air in our future.  Expect lows in the 30’s Wednesday through Sunday morning.  Thursday and Friday’s highs will only be in the 50’s. There’s a good chance we’ll see our first frost by late week.  Here’s my brief video forecast discussion.

Sharply cooler air will follow the front for the later part of next week. Even Some nights in the 30’s.  Coldest air of the season so far. Here’s My brief video forecast discussion.

TODAY:  Patchy morning fog.  Otherwise, expect q good bit of sunshine  High 78.  (Normal 69/43)   East wind 6 to 12 mph.  Cloudy tonight but dry through the evening area.  Risk of rain begins after Mdinight.  Showers likely in the overnight hours.

COLD FRONT APPROACHING:  A ”Big Deal” Cold front and deep upper through will bring in our next significant rain chance, starting late tonight, in the overnight hours, and especially Tuesday and ending by late Tuesday night. Rainfall will be locally heavy at times Tuesday.  This will involve some of the leftover tropical moisture from Sara.  Actually two fronts are approaching.

Also, much of the area is in a level two severe weather risk.  Damaging winds would be the main threat, but tornados can’t be ruled out.

  The second Cold Front Wednesday will deliver sharply colder air.

NEXT FEW DAYS:  ”Big Deal” Cold Front front and deep upper through will bring in our next significant rain chance. Tuesday will be very wet and stormy.  Locally heavy rain.  Severe Weather is also possible. .Much colder air in our future.  Expect lows in the 30’s Wednesday through Sunday morning.  Thursday and Friday’s highs will only be in the 50’s. There’s a good chance we’ll see our first frost by late week.  Some towns may see there first freeze by late week. 

Many  of us could see 2-3” of rain with this approaching front and upper trough.  Very beneficial.  South Alabama will see even heavier totals.

The 10 Day Model Blend Temperature Trend. There’s much colder air in our future following the significant cold frontal passage Wednesday.  Expect lows in the 30’s Wednesday through Sunday morning.  There’s a good chance we’ll see our first frost by late week.  Some towns may see there first freeze by late week. 

The Average Date of the first freeze is this week.  Last year the first freeze was November 2nd at MGM with 28 degrees. 

TROPICAL UPDATE:  Tropical Depression has dissipated near the Yucatan after causing catastrophic rainfall over central America.  But, Sara’s leftover moisture will get picked up by our approaching Cold front, enhancing our expected rainfall totals.

Thanks for reading the blog. There will be another complete Blog update and video forecast discussion tomorrow morning.  This morning, everything is normal including LIVE on the Radio from 6 to 9AM on NewsTalk 93.1 – WACV.  Have a nice day!  

–Rich

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