Wet, Unsettled Pattern Continues – Wednesday Video

Good Morning!  We will be in a moist & unsettled pattern for the rest of the week, as a series of disturbances drift through.  That will lead to periods of random showers and a few thunderstorms at times.  On this video, I’ll break down which days have the better rain chances, and how much rain we can expect through the weekend.  Plus, with hurricane season starting at Midnight tonight, I’ll show you a little disturbance in the Gulf that has my attention.  All that and your weekend forecast in your brief 2 minute personal weather briefing.

 

A series of disturbances will continue to swing across the Gulf States next few days, producing waves of random showers and storms at times.

Wet at times through Sunday.  The Euro model still says the southern counties could see the heaviest rainfall.

With Hurricane season starting at Midnight tonight, a little disturbance in the SW Gulf  has my attention.

 

 

The Week Ahead- Wet at Times – Tuesday Video

Good Morning!  There’s more rain in the forecast today.  And, in fact, wait until you see the maps.  There is a mention of rain in the forecast for the next several days.  I’ll walk through this shortened work week and through what could be a wet next weekend.  We’ll look at how much could fall and a peak into some mid June heat, too.  Here’s your 2 minute Tuesday morning personal weather briefing, with your toast and coffee this morning.

A stalled frontal system will be one of the culprits for a very wet Tuesday across the Gulf South.

The next 7 days could be quite wet at times over much of the eastern half of the nation.

In fact, take a look at some potential rainfall totals through this coming Sunday off the Euro model guidance.

 

The Montgomery Airport has already reached the wettest May on Record at 12.28″ with 2 days left in the month.

 

 

 

MEMORIAL DAY: Showers At Times – Not a Wash Out

I don’t think your outdoor BBQ plans need to be cancelled.  Just be flexible. Have a Plan B ready.  Showers and storms will be around from time to time.  The computer models have had an awful time deciphering this weather situation.  It does appear, however, clusters of storms will be around at times with large lulls in between. Details below.

MEMORIAL DAY – Today:  Not a “wash out”, but a pretty significant chance of showers/storms from time to time just about any time.  I still have kept the rain chance at 60%.  High 85.  A couple storms could be strong.  I’m not expecting any organized severe weather.

FUTURE RADAR:  Here’s a peak at the most trusted of the hi-res future radar models.  But, I would caution you.  DO NOT take theses literally.  These models have had an awful, miserable time with the details this particular weather pattern.  I show you these merely as guidance.  It suggests a pretty good chance of getting wet late morning through early afternoon, followed by more “scattered” activity later in the afternoon & into early evening, followed by improved rain chances tonight.

SEVERE WEATHER RISK:  Once again today, SPC has most of the state in a Marginal Severe Risk.  A few storms could reach severe limits.  Greatest threat would be wind damage/hail.  I do not, however, expect an organized severe risk today or tonight.

 

 

NEXT FEW DAYS:  Here’s the forecast through Thursday.  Chance of showers every day, but the best rain chances from Today through Tuesday. Then the shower threat will thin our late week.

 

Have a great Memorial Day.  Do not forget the reason for this holiday. So many have given so much sacrifice, so that we can be free.   I will have another video for you tomorrow.  It should be online before 5AM. Be safe, but have fun!

-Rich

UPDATE: Rain Chances Improving

I’ve had to nudge the rain chances up a notch for today.  The showers will be spotty, but still, you could encounter a shower or two today.  Many will have no rain.  I still think the best rain chances will arrive late tonight and tomorrow for Memorial Day.  Be flexible.  Have a Plan B ready.  Early this morning, as I prepare to post this, a narrow ribbon of showers is stretched across central Alabama, moving southward.  This is the remnants of strong storms in north Alabama overnight.

TODAY:   We’ll call it partly sunny.  Hi 89.  Scattered showers and thunderstorms will be around.  Coverage will be about 30%.  Breezy today.  Wind gusts to 20 mph.  Here’s a couple of future radar snapshots from one model.  Don’t take these literally.  They just give you an idea of the rain coverage.  Some of the storms could reach severe limits.  (see Severe Weather Threat below)

SUNDAY NIGHT:  Scattered showers/storms possible.  50% , especially by late tonight.  chance.  Low 72.

SEVERE WEATHER RISK:   The storm Prediction Center has most of the state in a Marginal Severe Risk today.  Parts of west Alabama are under a Slight Risk.  Main threat damaging wind gusts.

MEMORIAL DAY – Monday:  Not a “wash out”, but a pretty significant chance of showers/storms from time to time just about any time Monday, as a frontal system approaches..  I have kept the rain chance at 60%.  High 85.  A few storms could be strong to Severe.  In fact the Storm Prediction Center has us in a Marginal Severe Risk for tomorrow.  Damaging wind gusts are the main threat.

NEXT FEW DAYS:  Here’s the forecast in a nutshell.  Best rain chances from Sunday night through Tuesday.

 

Have a great weekend.  I will have another post of you Monday morning with Future Radar to help in your Memorial Day planning. .  Be safe, but have fun!

-Rich

WEEKEND FORECAST UPDATED – Memorial Day Showers

For most of us in central & south Alabama today & Sunday will be routine, and just about ideal for your Holiday Weekend outdoor plans, whether you have a backyard BBQ, or a trip to the Lake.  Memorial Day could be problem with showers & storms around at times.  Have a Plan B ready.

It should be noted, that while our weather is nice, a nasty storm system, producing a significant severe weather threat is lurking just north of us, and covers much of the nation.  Keep that mind if you will be traveling north.  In fact, even parts of extreme north Alabama may be grazed by a few storms today, tonight and Sunday.  The severe weather risk includes the farther northern counties.

TODAY:  A sun/cloud mix..  High near 90.  Low tonight 72.  Rain chance about 10%

 

 

SUNDAY:  Cloudy in the morning, then a sun and Cloud mix in the afternoon.  Hi 91.  Isolated storms can’t be ruled out.  I’ll keep a 20% chance in the forecast.  Should be a pretty good day, again.

SUNDAY NIGHT:  Scattered showers/storms possible.  40% chance.  Low 72.

MEMORIAL DAY – Monday:  Not a “wash out”, but a pretty significant chance of showers/storms from time to time just about anytime Monday.  I have kept the rain chance at 60%.  High 85.  A few storms could be strong.  I’m not expecting any organized severe weather, but I can’t rule out a warning or two.

NEXT 4 DAYS:  Here’s the forecast in a nutshell.  Best rain chances from Sunday night through Tuesday.

BEACH FORECAST:  Really a pretty good Beach forecast, all things considered through Sunday.  Scattered showers and thunderstorms will be an issue Monday & Tuesday.  BE CAREFUL!  Moderate rip current risk continues.  There were several water rescues on Thursday & Friday.  At least one person was killed.  Please observe the flags at your particular beach.

Our Weather App will come in very handy during this holiday weekend. Among other things, it will keep you update to day on current conditions, hourly forecasts, radar and future radar…plus easily access to my blog updates. PLUS, if you are traveling, it will travel with you – proving local weather for wherever you are headed. That includes push notifications for watches and warnings. It’s free! Go to the App store and search Rich Thomas Weather. Thanks to Alabama Broadcaster’s Association for the Abby award for Best App. We’re proud of it!

Have a great weekend.  There will be other weather posts along the way, especially Monday morning with future radar.  Be safe, but have fun!

-Rich