Out With The Cold – Major Warming Trend Ahead – THURSDAY Video

Good Morning!  We’re in the 20’s again this morning but our ‘Arctic Sample’ is about to come to a rather abrupt end.  A major warning trend is on the menu for the weekend and beyond.  But, that’s just part of the story.  The Temperature Rollercoaster, over the next 10 days, has some radical ups and downs.  Plus – a wetter pattern is on the way soon.  I’ll walk you through the details on your Thursday morning personal weather briefing.


Things are about to turn around.  The arctic cold will depart and a big warming trend will begin.  Today, temperatures start to moderate.

Amazing warming trend through the weekend and through mid week. The risk of showers will return as a series of disturbances brush by the area.  Maybe some thunderstorms next week.

By mid week (next week), especially by Wednesday/Thursday, instability increases leading to thunderstorms.  Could see some strong/severe storms?   Too early to say.  SPC is certainly hinting that could be the case, as an important cold front approaches Thursday.

And then, how about another quick surge of arctic air at the end of next week.

The EURO model out ten days, profiles the wild temperature rollercoaster ride we’ll be on.


Arctic Cold May not Last for Long – WEDNESDAY Video

Good Morning!  Brutal arctic air grips much of the nation this morning.  Here in Alabama, we are only feeling a little ‘sample’ of the cold.  For many, today will be the coldest morning of the winter so far.  But, hang on.  Looks like we will climb out of the arctic cellar rather quickly over the next several days.  I’ll show you a major warming trend which will start the new month of February.  And, we’ll head to the mountaintop and look at the distant horizon.  When will the next arctic invasion arrive?


Brutal, dangerous Arctic Cold grips much of the Nation this morning, especially in the Midwest, The Great Lakes and east to the Ohio Valley.

How cold is it?  CHICAGO right now (at 4:30AM) -19, wind chill -44. (broke the record of -12) Today’s high -12. Tonight’s low -24. That’s just a sample. Some cities are much colder.   Look at this wind chill map this morning!


In Alabama, we are just feeling a tiny SAMPLE of the Arctic Cold.  Sunshine will push the high near 50 today, but we are headed for the mid 20’s again tonight.

The arctic cold won’t last long. An amazing warming trend will greet us as we begin the month of February near 70 on Monday.

The spring-like warmth, in the 70’s will be around for much of next week.

Each day will be warmer through next Wednesday.  Then another arctic blast will bring us back to reality at the end of next week.  Winter will return.

Our next arctic invasion will arrive late next week.

Winter Weather Advisory Cancelled – Sunshine by Afternoon.

UPDATE:  Winter Weather Advisory CANCELLED for Autauga, Bibb, Calhoun, Chambers, Chilton, Clay, Cleburne, Coosa, Dallas, Elmore, Greene, Hale, Marengo, Perry, Randolph, Shelby, Sumter, Talladega, Tallapoosa.  Sunshine already in west Alabama. The clearing line has made it to about Huntsville to Birmingham to Marion. Sunshine for many of us by afternoon. Windy & colder.



Here comes Winter.     Arctic air is funneling into the state.  We’ll be drastically colder by morning.  I have updated the numbers. The brutally cold temperatures may not stick around long, though.  Wait till you see the drastic temperature rollercoaster ride in the week ahead.  Talk about big changes!

Low to mid 20’s by Wednesday morning.  Wind chill in the teens.  Back to the mid 20’s Thursday morning.

After the cold colmes a big warming trend starting Friday through the weekend.  Scattered showers Sunday.

Drastic temperature change from today to next Tuesday.  Dangerous Record Cold over the Midwest and heartland today, to Much above normal by next Tuesday.

The models bring 70’s back at us by next week…Monday through Thursday!   How about that for a big change.








UPDATE: Who Will See Snow Accumulation Tuesday? – MONDAY Video

Good Morning! Much to talk about.  Much of north Alabama now under a Winter Storm Warning.  Winter weather advisory covering much of central Alabama now including a good part of the river region.  We’ll talk details and timeline and accumulation potential on a special Monday morning weather briefing.


Winter Storm Warning for north Alabama from Birmingham/Tuscaloosa northward.  2″+ snow possible with extremely dangerous travel.  Lighter accumulation in the Winter Weather Advisory area which includes Tallapoosa, Elmore, Autauga, and Dallas.  Slippery travel expected tomorrow morning, with accumulations mostly 21″ or under.

Heaviest accumulation in north Alabama with 2″+ from Birmingham, Tuscaloosa northward.  Lighter accumulation south to the River region.

Parts of Tallapoosa, Elmore, Autauga and Dallas could see up to 1″  (.5 to 1″)   Perhaps a minor dusting south to I-85 and Montgomery

Low 20’s by Wednesday morning, wind chill in the teens.

Moderating temps by Friday & Saturday…




Tuesday’s Winter Weather Threat Updated

The National Weather Service has issued a Winter Storm Watch, issued as far south as Perry, and Marengo and Coosa counties. It includes Birmingham, Tuscaloosa and Clanton. It does NOT include Alex City, Auburn, Selma or Montgomery. Accumulation 1-2+”. Dangerous travel conditions possible.  Farther south of the watch area a few slick spots are possible on roadways as far south as the I-85 corridor.

AFTERNOON MODEL ACCUMULATION TRENDS:    First, here is the Model Blend…a believable trustable forecast based on everything we know.   It shows some 1-2″ amounts (locally 2″+) up closer to the I-20 corridor in the Birmingham/Tuscaloosa area northward.  It shows .5 to 1″ amounts south to near Alex City to Selma to Monroeville line line.  South to Montgomery area, along the I-85 corridor, just a dusting to perhaps .5″ is forecast.

The GFS has been rather consistent.  It prints some 2 and 3 inch totals north of I-20.  It shows a light dusting as far south as just north of I-85.

The accumulation on the band continues to be displaced farther south than the GFS.   It shows a band of 1 to 2″+ totals in a band generally centered over Birmingham.  It also shows accumulating snow much farther south into Dallas, Wilcox and Monroe county, with a light dusting near the I-65/I-85 intersection.

The NAM shows the most widespread snow area covering a little more than the northern half of the state.  It shows the heaviest snow band over a Anniston/Birmingham line, with some 2″+ amounts in spots.