THURSDAY UPDATE:  Friday/Saturday Storm System – Severe Weather Risk

Good morning!  Our nice break between storm systems continues today.  We’re headed for the upper 80’s. Clouds will increase later, but we will be  dry through the evening hours. Risk of more scattered showers & storms begins in the wee hours late tonight.  Showers and thunderstorms are likely by tomorrow afternoon, Friday night and Saturday.  Some storms could be strong/severe.  There is now a Level 2 Severe Risk from about I-65 westward. Mostly skies return Sunday and Monday.  We’ll be near 90 by Monday & Tuesday.  Here’s my brief forecast discussion. 

TODAY:  Mostly sunny and warm.  High 88.   Clouds will increase late.  Risk of more scattered showers & storms by the wee hours late tonight.  Low tonight 68.

NEXT FEW DAYS:  Showers and thunderstorms are likely by tomorrow afternoon, Friday night and Saturday.  Some storms could be strong/severe.  Mostly skies return Sunday and Monday.  We’ll be near 90 by Monday & Tuesday.

Here’s the set-up on Friday as the next storm system approaches.  Level 2 risk covers the western half of the state, especially from I-65 westward.  All modes of severe weather are possible including tornadoes.  Unfortunately, the severe threat continues in the overnight hours Friday.  The Day 2 Risk map from SPC continues through 7AM Saturday.

The risk of strong/severe storms will be ongoing Saturday morning and will be shifting into Southeast Alabama.  The Day 3 Risk map begins at 7AM Saturday.   

Locally heavy rainfall amounts are possible especially in central and western Alabama. 

2 to 4″ of rain generally with local amounts up to 6″ in the Excessive Rainfall Moderate Risk Area. A Flash Flood Watch will be issued this afternoon.

Ok Weather Geeks.. Here’s the technical forecast discussion from National Weather Service in Birmingham (BMX). This is called the AFD. Area forecast discussion.

https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=AFD&issuedby=BMX

BEACH FORECAST:  Be flexible with your Beach Plans this weekend.  Scattered showers and storm will be likely at times. Most concentrated storms by Friday PM and Saturday.  Potentially Severe.  Gulf water 78. 

Thanks for reading the blog. There will be another complete Blog update and video forecast discussion tomorrow morning.  This morning, everything is normal including LIVE on the Radio from 6 to 9AM on NewsTalk 93.1 – WACV.  Have a nice day!  

–Rich

· · ·