Good morning! Yesterday radar was lively, Not every town got wet, but the Airport had .15”. Hopefully your town had some rain. Today, unfortunately, showers will be rather isolated in nature. They will be few and far between. There will be at least a risk for widely scattered showers in the forecast Thursday through Veterans Day Monday. But, the daily rain chance will be quite low. Temperatures will remain above normal. Expect 80 or above at least through Saturday. Upper 70’s are likely Sunday through most of next week, expect 60’s at night, Hurricane Rafael in the Gulf will have no impact on our weather. Here’s my brief forecast discussion.
TODAY: Mostly cloudy. Still Warm. High near 82. Normal 73/46 Widely scattered showers and possibly a thunderstorm today and tonight. Fairly isolated in nature. East wind 6 to 12 mph. Low tonight near 68.
Future Radar. Any showers that do pop up today will be very isolated in nature.
Here’s the map set-up. We’re in between a front to the northwest of us, and a tropical wave over Georgia. Not much rain, in the middle, in our area. RAINFALL in Georgia has been absolutely ridiculous. Wow. Multiple Flash Flood Warnings still in effect. Valdosta had a Flash Flood Emergency. By the Way, as I mentioned, the new Drought monitor map comes out this morning at 8AM.
NEXT FEW DAYS: The risk of showers will continue each day through Monday, but the daily rain chance will be relatively small each day. Highs will be mostly near 80 each day through Saturday., with 60’s at night. Expect upper 70’s Sunday and beyond We are not expecting Rafael to impact are forecast, at all.
The 10 Day Model Blend Temperature Trend. It shows a gradual cooling trend starting next week, and especially that following weekend, November 16-17. By then with highs in the 70’s, lows at night will fall into the 40’s. That’s actually closer to the normal of 73/46.
This map of potential rainfall next 6 days. Not as much rain as we would like in Alabama. The NEW Drought monitor map comes out later this morning.
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TROPICAL UPDATE: Hurricane Rafael is now a Cat 2 Hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico (after peaking at 115 before it crossed western Cuba) NHC’s new cone is now in much better agreement with the major models bending Rafael to the extreme left. Eventually, it will encounter hostile wind shear and begin a weakening trend in the central Gulf.
Elsewhere, there is an Area to Watch being monitored by NHC, located north of the Greater Antilles with a 30% chance of development.
Thanks for reading the blog. There will be another complete Blog update and video forecast discussion tomorrow morning. This morning, everything is normal including LIVE on the Radio from 6 to 9AM on NewsTalk 93.1 – WACV. Please vote today!
–Rich